APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Nicholas Tan

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/metaplanet-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2130:1" rel="noopener">Metaplanet (3350 JP)</a> is looking to raise around US$1bn from a primary placement.</li>
<li>The deal is a relatively small one, representing 4.4 days of the stock’s three month ADV, despite being 23.7% of total shares outstanding.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Metaplanet (3350 JP) is looking to raise around US$1bn from a primary placement.
The deal is a relatively small one, representing 4.4 days of the stock’s three month ADV, despite being 23.7% of total shares outstanding.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Metaplanet Placement: US$1bn Punt; Dependent on Bitcoin Performance

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rezil-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45661:1" rel="noopener">Rezil (176A JP)</a> has recommended a tender offer from Bain Capital at JPY2,750, a 57.1% premium to the undisturbed price of JPY1,750.</li>
<li>The offer is attractive as it aligns with the midpoint of the target IFA DCF valuation range, represents an all-time high and is 129.2% above the IPO price of JPY1,200. </li>
<li>This is a done deal as Hikari Tsushin, a cross-holder, tendering is sufficient to meet the minimum tendering condition. At the last close, the gross spread was 6.8%.</li>
</ul>



Rezil (176A JP) has recommended a tender offer from Bain Capital at JPY2,750, a 57.1% premium to the undisturbed price of JPY1,750.
The offer is attractive as it aligns with the midpoint of the target IFA DCF valuation range, represents an all-time high and is 129.2% above the IPO price of JPY1,200. 
This is a done deal as Hikari Tsushin, a cross-holder, tendering is sufficient to meet the minimum tendering condition. At the last close, the gross spread was 6.8%.


Rezil (176A JP): Bain’s Tender Offer Is a Done Deal

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>On 12 May 2025, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sankyo-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12385:1" rel="noopener">Sankyo Co Ltd (6417 JP)</a> announced earnings (Revenue -3.7%yoy, OP +1.5%, Net Profit +0.4%) with guidance for March 2026 showing Revs, OP, and NP all falling.</li>
<li>OP and NP would fall 14.4% and 18.5% respectively. The dividend is expected to fall ¥10 to ¥90/share which would be a 41.6% payout ratio.</li>
<li>The company also announced a BIG BUYBACK - Up to ¥60bn buying up to 30.0mm shares (13.66%), starting today and going through 31 March 2026.</li>
</ul>


On 12 May 2025, Sankyo Co Ltd (6417 JP) announced earnings (Revenue -3.7%yoy, OP +1.5%, Net Profit +0.4%) with guidance for March 2026 showing Revs, OP, and NP all falling.
OP and NP would fall 14.4% and 18.5% respectively. The dividend is expected to fall ¥10 to ¥90/share which would be a 41.6% payout ratio.
The company also announced a BIG BUYBACK - Up to ¥60bn buying up to 30.0mm shares (13.66%), starting today and going through 31 March 2026.


[Japan Buyback] Sankyo (6417) - Starts Buying Bigly. Again. Re-Levered It Has A Super-High ROE

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Since late-February (2/25/25 Compass and 2/27/25 Int'l Compass) we had been expecting an 8-10% pullback to provide a buying opportunity.</li>
<li>However, after getting the 10%+ pullback, we discussed in 4/1/25 and 4/3/25 reports how we no longer saw it as a buying opportunity, and we downgraded our outlook to bearish/cautious</li>
<li>While it is possible that the lows are in, we now are looking for the ACWI-US rally to fizzle, either here at $113.50-$115 or the 200-day MA (~$118).</li>
</ul>


Since late-February (2/25/25 Compass and 2/27/25 Int'l Compass) we had been expecting an 8-10% pullback to provide a buying opportunity.
However, after getting the 10%+ pullback, we discussed in 4/1/25 and 4/3/25 reports how we no longer saw it as a buying opportunity, and we downgraded our outlook to bearish/cautious
While it is possible that the lows are in, we now are looking for the ACWI-US rally to fizzle, either here at $113.50-$115 or the 200-day MA (~$118).


Still Bearish/Cautious; Stick With Defensives; Emerging Market Opportunities

<ul>
<li>The Berkshire Hathaway <a href="https://www.berkshirehathaway.com/2024ar/2024ar.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Annual Shareholder Letter for 2024</a> was released this weekend. Much was made in Japanese twitter-space of the comments he made on the Japanese trading houses. </li>
<li>He said Berkshire Hathaway's admiration of these companies "has consistently grown" and Berkshire likes their capital deployment, managements, and their attitude in respect to investors. They also pay themselves reasonably.</li>
<li>He mentioned Berkshire will increase their stakes somewhat in the trading houses "over time." That comment deserves some exploration, as does the comment about yen funding.</li>
</ul>


The Berkshire Hathaway Annual Shareholder Letter for 2024 was released this weekend. Much was made in Japanese twitter-space of the comments he made on the Japanese trading houses. 
He said Berkshire Hathaway's admiration of these companies "has consistently grown" and Berkshire likes their capital deployment, managements, and their attitude in respect to investors. They also pay themselves reasonably.
He mentioned Berkshire will increase their stakes somewhat in the trading houses "over time." That comment deserves some exploration, as does the comment about yen funding.


Warren Buffett and the Japanese Trading Houses I

Japan

HIKARI TSUSHIN, INC. is a mobile telecommunication service subscription agency. The Company also operates telecommunication services stores, HIT SHOP, which sell cellular telephones, and related goods.  Hikari Tsushin also sells office automation equipment and insurance.

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Hikari Tsushin (9435 JP)

Metaplanet Placement: US$1bn Punt; Dependent on Bitcoin Performance

Metaplanet is looking to raise around US$1bn from a primary placement to purchase bitcoin. In this note, we will talk about the placement and run...

Nicholas Tan

Rezil (176A JP): Bain’s Tender Offer Is a Done Deal

The offer is attractive as it aligns with the midpoint of the target IFA DCF valuation range, represents an all-time high and is 129.2% above the...

Arun George

[Japan Buyback] Sankyo (6417) - Starts Buying Bigly. Again. Re-Levered It Has A Super-High ROE

Sankyo Corp is a good business in an unloved industry. Multiples are low. Cashflows are often great, until they are not. This company is super cash...

Travis Lundy

Still Bearish/Cautious; Stick With Defensives; Emerging Market Opportunities

Still Bearish/Cautious; Stick With Defensives; Emerging Market Opportunities. Looking for the $ACWI rally to fizzle, either here at $113.50-$115 or...

Vermilion Research

Warren Buffett and the Japanese Trading Houses I

Today, National Indemnity - BRK's holdco for owning Japanese trading co shares - announced it had upped its stake in each of the five trading...

Travis Lundy

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