Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Implied volatility rose across most markets in October, and a continuing trend in vol premium warrants attention.  </li>
<li>November has historically produced strong price returns and positive volatility premiums across global markets.</li>
<li>Implied volatility displays clustering across markets, with two distinct groupings beginning to take shape.</li>
</ul>


Implied volatility rose across most markets in October, and a continuing trend in vol premium warrants attention.  
November has historically produced strong price returns and positive volatility premiums across global markets.
Implied volatility displays clustering across markets, with two distinct groupings beginning to take shape.


Macro Monthly (November): Rising Volatility, Positive Seasonals and a Concerning Trend

<ul>
<li>Busy news week with trade and deal headlines taking center stage.</li>
<li>Stock have been treading water aside from the Materials Sector with breadth reversing from last week’s rebound.</li>
<li>The thick of earnings season is past with only 15 companies reporting in the next week.</li>
</ul>


Busy news week with trade and deal headlines taking center stage.
Stock have been treading water aside from the Materials Sector with breadth reversing from last week’s rebound.
The thick of earnings season is past with only 15 companies reporting in the next week.


Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Oct 27 – 31): Market Cools After Busy News Week

<ul>
<li>Third straight week in which HSI recorded a weekly absolute price change greater than 3%.</li>
<li>Breadth improved sharply, though single stock option volumes remained subdued. Strong North American market son Friday point to higher open for stocks on Monday. </li>
<li>A heavy slate of earnings reporters awaits in the week ahead.</li>
</ul>


Third straight week in which HSI recorded a weekly absolute price change greater than 3%.
Breadth improved sharply, though single stock option volumes remained subdued. Strong North American market son Friday point to higher open for stocks on Monday. 
A heavy slate of earnings reporters awaits in the week ahead.


Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Oct 20–24): Subdued Volumes Ahead of Busy Earnings Schedule

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

<ul>
<li>A look at our probabilistic tactical models for US and Asian Equities: comparing which stocks are overbought and which ones are oversold.</li>
<li>Between the US Stocks we track, all seems to have room to rally, short-term, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amazon-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:409:1" rel="noopener">Amazon (AMZN US)</a> is actually <strong>oversold (buy opportunity)</strong>. </li>
<li>The Asian Stocks we track instead show a less homogeneous picture, but <strong>several Asian stocks are incredibly overbought. Same as Gold. </strong>
</li>
</ul>


A look at our probabilistic tactical models for US and Asian Equities: comparing which stocks are overbought and which ones are oversold.
Between the US Stocks we track, all seems to have room to rally, short-term, and Amazon (AMZN US) is actually oversold (buy opportunity). 
The Asian Stocks we track instead show a less homogeneous picture, but several Asian stocks are incredibly overbought. Same as Gold. 



Cross-Market Outlook: US Vs Asia — Who’s Overbought, Who’s Oversold?

<ul>
<li>Single stock options showed early signs of stress, with both volumes and implied vols moving higher as Put trading outpaced Calls.</li>
<li>Breadth was weak across single names, with only 3 of 11 sectors trading higher.</li>
<li>We provide a table of earnings events for the week ahead.</li>
</ul>


Single stock options showed early signs of stress, with both volumes and implied vols moving higher as Put trading outpaced Calls.
Breadth was weak across single names, with only 3 of 11 sectors trading higher.
We provide a table of earnings events for the week ahead.


Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Oct 13 – 17): Option Stress Builds, Breadth Weakens

Hong Kong

The Hang Seng Index is a free-float capitalization-weighted index of a selection of companies from the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong. The components of the index are divided into four subindices: Commerce and Industry, Finance, Utilities, and Properties. The index was developed with a base level of 100 as of July 31, 1964.

Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)

Macro Monthly (November): Rising Volatility, Positive Seasonals and a Concerning Trend

Rising volatility and firm seasonal patterns define November’s setup, though shifts in vol premium suggest a more fragile market backdrop.

John Ley

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Oct 27 – 31): Market Cools After Busy News Week

Busy news week with trade and deal headlines dominating, stock market mostly stagnant except for Materials Sector, earnings season winding down.

John Ley

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Oct 20–24): Subdued Volumes Ahead of Busy Earnings Schedule

Hong Kong equities extended their rebound with stronger breadth and cooler volatility, setting the stage for a busy earnings week. Strong NA...

John Ley

Cross-Market Outlook: US Vs Asia — Who’s Overbought, Who’s Oversold?

Probabilistic tactical models show Asian stocks and Gold are incredibly overbought if compared to US stocks: the latter have still room to rally...

Nico Rosti

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Oct 13 – 17): Option Stress Builds, Breadth Weakens

Single stock options are showing signs of stress as Put trading surpasses Calls, while only 3 of 11 sectors are trading higher. Upcoming earnings...

John Ley

Macro Monthly (November): Rising Volatility, Positive Seasonals and a Concerning Trend

Rising volatility and firm seasonal patterns define November’s setup, though shifts in vol premium suggest a more fragile market backdrop.

John Ley

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Oct 27 – 31): Market Cools After Busy News Week

​Busy news week with trade and deal headlines dominating, stock market mostly stagnant except for Materials Sector, earnings season winding down.

John Ley

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Oct 20–24): Subdued Volumes Ahead of Busy Earnings Schedule

Hong Kong equities extended their rebound with stronger breadth and cooler volatility, setting the stage for a busy earnings week. Strong NA...

John Ley

Cross-Market Outlook: US Vs Asia — Who’s Overbought, Who’s Oversold?

​Probabilistic tactical models show Asian stocks and Gold are incredibly overbought if compared to US stocks: the latter have still room to rally...

Nico Rosti

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Oct 13 – 17): Option Stress Builds, Breadth Weakens

​Single stock options are showing signs of stress as Put trading surpasses Calls, while only 3 of 11 sectors are trading higher. Upcoming earnings...

John Ley

Busy news week with trade and deal headlines dominating, stock market mostly stagnant except for Materials Sector, earnings season winding down.

Probabilistic tactical models show Asian stocks and Gold are incredibly overbought if compared to US stocks: the latter have still room to rally...

Single stock options are showing signs of stress as Put trading surpasses Calls, while only 3 of 11 sectors are trading higher. Upcoming earnings...