Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Under the requirements of the Amended Mongolian Banking Law (Feb 2021), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/khan-bank-llc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36883:1" rel="noopener">Khan Bank (KHAN MO)</a> needed to IPO. It did, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hs-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7311:1" rel="noopener">HS Holdings (8699 JP)</a>'s stake fell to 49.77%. </li>
<li>It was de-consolidated. They were locked up for 6mos. The look-through financials are easier now. The company has bought back stock and trades at &lt;0.5x book.</li>
<li>But the Mongolian Banking Law required one more thing. All D-SIBs had to get all shareholders below 20% by 31 December 2023. It's not clear that happened. </li>
</ul>


Under the requirements of the Amended Mongolian Banking Law (Feb 2021), Khan Bank (KHAN MO) needed to IPO. It did, and HS Holdings (8699 JP)'s stake fell to 49.77%. 
It was de-consolidated. They were locked up for 6mos. The look-through financials are easier now. The company has bought back stock and trades at &lt;0.5x book.
But the Mongolian Banking Law required one more thing. All D-SIBs had to get all shareholders below 20% by 31 December 2023. It's not clear that happened. 


HS Holdings (8699) - New Year, New Issues So Lots of Value But Buyer Beware!

<ul>
<li>Today, it was announced that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hs-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7311:1" rel="noopener">HS Holdings (8699 JP)</a> subsidiary Khan Bank LLC - Mongolia's largest bank - would IPO this month. </li>
<li>This is a big deal. The IPO is for 10% of the bank (US$521mm equivalent). Priced at 4x Dec 2022 earnings for a bank which has ~ 25% ROE.</li>
<li>There is a reason to expect substantial realisation of this value within 2023 due to a section of Feb 2021 Amended Mongolian Banking Law. Plus there is boatloads of cash.</li>
</ul>


Today, it was announced that HS Holdings (8699 JP) subsidiary Khan Bank LLC - Mongolia's largest bank - would IPO this month. 
This is a big deal. The IPO is for 10% of the bank (US$521mm equivalent). Priced at 4x Dec 2022 earnings for a bank which has ~ 25% ROE.
There is a reason to expect substantial realisation of this value within 2023 due to a section of Feb 2021 Amended Mongolian Banking Law. Plus there is boatloads of cash.


Khan Bank IPO Is Here - At IPO Price, the Stake Is Worth More than HS Holdings' Share Price

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Nov 28th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD19,551m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in SBI, Advantest, Furukawa Electric, Mizuho Financial, Lasertec, Fujikura, Toyoda Gosei, Mitsubishi Electric, Mitsui E&amp;S, Daihen, Sbi, Advantest, Furukawa Electric, Mizuho Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Nov 28th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD19,551m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in SBI, Advantest, Furukawa Electric, Mizuho Financial, Lasertec, Fujikura, Toyoda Gosei, Mitsubishi Electric, Mitsui E&amp;S, Daihen, Sbi, Advantest, Furukawa Electric, Mizuho Financial.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Nov 28th): SBI, Advantest, Furukawa Electric, Mizuho Financial, Lasertec

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Nov 21st. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD19,632m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, SBI, Nippon Telegraph and Telephone, Sanrio, Tokyo Electric Power Company, Tokio Marine, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Furukawa Electric.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Nov 21st. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD19,632m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, SBI, Nippon Telegraph and Telephone, Sanrio, Tokyo Electric Power Company, Tokio Marine, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Furukawa Electric.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Nov 21st): SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, SBI

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Nov 14th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD20,683m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Sanrio, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Advantest, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Disco, Sony, Kasumigaseki Capital, Fujikura, Softbank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Sanrio.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Nov 14th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD20,683m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Sanrio, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Advantest, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Disco, Sony, Kasumigaseki Capital, Fujikura, Softbank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Sanrio.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Nov 14th): SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Sanrio

Japan

HS Holdings Co., Ltd. offers banking services. The Company provides deposits, loans, domestic settlement, fund management, and other services. HS Holdings also offers securities dealing, securities brokerage, securities underwriting, and other services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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P/E	0.00
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HS Holdings (8699 JP)

HS Holdings (8699) - New Year, New Issues So Lots of Value But Buyer Beware!

HS Holdings trades below 0.5x book where its major asset, comprising 60+% of book, trades with high growth, and at 4x PER. But it has to sell that...

Travis Lundy

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Nov 28th): SBI, Advantest, Furukawa Electric, Mizuho Financial, Lasertec

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted SBI (8473 JP), Advantest (6857 JP), Furukawa Electric (5801 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Nov 21st): SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, SBI

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted SoftBank (9984 JP), Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP), SBI...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Nov 14th): SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Sanrio

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted SoftBank (9984 JP), Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP), Sanrio...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HS Holdings (8699) - New Year, New Issues So Lots of Value But Buyer Beware!

HS Holdings trades below 0.5x book where its major asset, comprising 60+% of book, trades with high growth, and at 4x PER. But it has to sell that...

Travis Lundy

Khan Bank IPO Is Here - At IPO Price, the Stake Is Worth More than HS Holdings' Share Price

HS Holdings has been a discounted holdco where the main asset is a majority stake in the largest bank in Mongolia and most of the rest is cash. The...

Travis Lundy

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Nov 28th): SBI, Advantest, Furukawa Electric, Mizuho Financial, Lasertec

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted SBI (8473 JP), Advantest (6857 JP), Furukawa Electric (5801 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Nov 21st): SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, SBI

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted SoftBank (9984 JP), Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP), SBI...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Nov 14th): SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Sanrio

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted SoftBank (9984 JP), Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP), Sanrio...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM