Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>US large banks are showing sharply expanding loans in recent weeks, in granular HFD</li>
<li>This comes as their higher cost Jumbo Time Deposits are now showing negative growth</li>
<li>There are positive implications for net interest income, NIM and net profit delta of large US banks</li>
</ul>


US large banks are showing sharply expanding loans in recent weeks, in granular HFD
This comes as their higher cost Jumbo Time Deposits are now showing negative growth
There are positive implications for net interest income, NIM and net profit delta of large US banks


US Banks - HFD Shows Sharply Expanding Loans, with Newly Negative Growth in Jumbo Time Deposits

Podcast of business and financial stories, Behind the Money

Behind the Money

Podcast of business and financial stories

From hostile takeovers to C-suite intrigue, Behind the Money takes you inside the business and financial stories of the moment with reporting from Financial Times journalists around the world.

<ul><li>Uncertainty around Trump administration's policies, including deregulation and potential impacts on banking and the economy, may create challenges and opportunities for the banking sector in the next four years</li><li>The US banking sector is expected to remain strong and dominant, with potential growth for top banks like JP Morgan and Wells Fargo.</li><li>The future of banking may see a divide between larger, stronger banks and fewer smaller institutions, with potential changes in the private credit sector.</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

Uncertainty around Trump administration's policies, including deregulation and potential impacts on banking and the economy, may create challenges and opportunities for the banking sector in the next four yearsThe US banking sector is expected to remain strong and dominant, with potential growth for top banks like JP Morgan and Wells Fargo.The future of banking may see a divide between larger, stronger banks and fewer smaller institutions, with potential changes in the private credit sector.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

What Trump’s presidency means for banking

Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 01/Nov, US crude inventories rose by 2.1m barrels, contrary to expectations of a 0.3m barrel decrease. Gasoline and distillate stocks also bucked forecasts of a decline.</li>
<li>US natural gas inventories rose 69 Bcf for the week ending 01/Nov, higher than analyst expectations of a 67 Bcf buildup. Inventories are 5.8% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>Halliburton missed revenue and EPS estimates by 2.2% and 2.7%. While Aramco beat revenue and EPS estimates by 11.2% and 2.2%. Numerous analysts upgraded their 12-month PT for Chevron.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 01/Nov, US crude inventories rose by 2.1m barrels, contrary to expectations of a 0.3m barrel decrease. Gasoline and distillate stocks also bucked forecasts of a decline.
US natural gas inventories rose 69 Bcf for the week ending 01/Nov, higher than analyst expectations of a 67 Bcf buildup. Inventories are 5.8% above the 5-year seasonal average.
Halliburton missed revenue and EPS estimates by 2.2% and 2.7%. While Aramco beat revenue and EPS estimates by 11.2% and 2.2%. Numerous analysts upgraded their 12-month PT for Chevron.


[ETP 2024/45] WTI Drops on Trump’s Win and Rising Inventories, Henry Hub Gains on Supply Disruptions

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 11/Oct, US crude inventories decreased by 2.2m barrels, diverging from expectations of a 1.8m barrel build. Additionally, gasoline and distillate stockpiles also declined more than anticipated.</li>
<li>US natural gas inventories rose 76 Bcf for the week ending 11/Oct, lower than analyst expectations of an 80 Bcf buildup. Inventories are 4.6% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>Halliburton, Schlumberger, and Occidental’s target prices were cut. Notably, analysts kept their Buy ratings on Reliance despite its net profit falling by 4.8% YoY.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 11/Oct, US crude inventories decreased by 2.2m barrels, diverging from expectations of a 1.8m barrel build. Additionally, gasoline and distillate stockpiles also declined more than anticipated.
US natural gas inventories rose 76 Bcf for the week ending 11/Oct, lower than analyst expectations of an 80 Bcf buildup. Inventories are 4.6% above the 5-year seasonal average.
Halliburton, Schlumberger, and Occidental’s target prices were cut. Notably, analysts kept their Buy ratings on Reliance despite its net profit falling by 4.8% YoY.


[ETP 2024/42] WTI Falls as Supply Disruption Fears Subside, Nat-Gas Slides on Weaker Demand Outlook

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Third Plenum / Cover Story: China charts course for future growth with major reforms at key meeting</li><li>Investors /: China tweaks regulations to ease the way for qualified foreign investors</li><li>HSBC /: Former Credit Suisse exec appointed HSBC China’s head of global banking, document shows</li></ul>

Third Plenum / Cover Story: China charts course for future growth with major reforms at key meetingInvestors /: China tweaks regulations to ease the way for qualified foreign investorsHSBC /: Former Credit Suisse exec appointed HSBC China’s head of global banking, document shows

CX Daily:  China Charts Course for Future Growth with Major Reforms at Key Meeting 

United Kingdom

HSBC Holdings plc is a British universal bank and financial services group that provides banking and financial products and services worldwide. It offers retail, commercial and institutional banking, global banking and markets, wealth management, and private banking. The company was founded in 1865 and is headquartered in London, United Kingdom.

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HSBC (HSBC US)

US Banks - HFD Shows Sharply Expanding Loans, with Newly Negative Growth in Jumbo Time Deposits

US large banks show loans accelerating (but not riskier CRE loans) and with higher cost Jumbo time deposit growth now turning negative in new...

Daniel Tabbush

What Trump’s presidency means for banking

Uncertainty around Trump administration's policies, including deregulation and potential impacts on banking and the economy, may create challenges...

Behind the Money

[ETP 2024/45] WTI Drops on Trump’s Win and Rising Inventories, Henry Hub Gains on Supply Disruptions

US crude and natural gas inventories rose above expectations, while Halliburton missed estimates and Aramco exceeded them. Analysts upgrade target...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2024/42] WTI Falls as Supply Disruption Fears Subside, Nat-Gas Slides on Weaker Demand Outlook

US oil inventories see a surprise fall, while US nat-gas stock rises less than expected. Chevron sees a target price upgrade while HSBC expects a...

Mint Finance

CX Daily: China Charts Course for Future Growth with Major Reforms at Key Meeting

Third Plenum / Cover Story: China charts course for future growth with major reforms at key meeting At a key meeting held only twice a decade and...

Caixin Global

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

US Banks - HFD Shows Sharply Expanding Loans, with Newly Negative Growth in Jumbo Time Deposits

US large banks show loans accelerating (but not riskier CRE loans) and with higher cost Jumbo time deposit growth now turning negative in new...

Daniel Tabbush

What Trump’s presidency means for banking

Uncertainty around Trump administration's policies, including deregulation and potential impacts on banking and the economy, may create challenges...

Behind the Money

[ETP 2024/45] WTI Drops on Trump’s Win and Rising Inventories, Henry Hub Gains on Supply Disruptions

​US crude and natural gas inventories rose above expectations, while Halliburton missed estimates and Aramco exceeded them. Analysts upgrade target...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2024/42] WTI Falls as Supply Disruption Fears Subside, Nat-Gas Slides on Weaker Demand Outlook

​US oil inventories see a surprise fall, while US nat-gas stock rises less than expected. Chevron sees a target price upgrade while HSBC expects a...

Mint Finance

CX Daily: China Charts Course for Future Growth with Major Reforms at Key Meeting

Third Plenum / Cover Story: China charts course for future growth with major reforms at key meeting At a key meeting held only twice a decade and...

Caixin Global

US crude and natural gas inventories rose above expectations, while Halliburton missed estimates and Aramco exceeded them. Analysts upgrade target...

US oil inventories see a surprise fall, while US nat-gas stock rises less than expected. Chevron sees a target price upgrade while HSBC expects a...