HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-zhipu-huazhang-technology-co-ltd-knowledge-atlas-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44500:1" rel="noopener">Knowledge Atlas Technology (2513 HK)</a>'s debut is lukewarm, and currently trading on 37.8x P/S for FY27, it is close to fairly valued. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/minimax-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46185:1" rel="noopener">MiniMax (100 HK)</a>'s B2C focus and its 3-year revenue CAGR of 126.8% (vs. 63.9%) warrants FY27 P/S of 55.1x, up from 48.8x as its peer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/moore-threads-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40221:1" rel="noopener">Moore Threads (688795 CH)</a> rallied. </li>
<li>Our fair value of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/minimax-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46185:1" rel="noopener">MiniMax (100 HK)</a> equals a 45% premium to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-zhipu-huazhang-technology-co-ltd-knowledge-atlas-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44500:1" rel="noopener">Knowledge Atlas Technology (2513 HK)</a>, justified by its above-sector momentum and "winner-take-all" characteristics.</li>
</ul>



Knowledge Atlas Technology (2513 HK)'s debut is lukewarm, and currently trading on 37.8x P/S for FY27, it is close to fairly valued. 

MiniMax (100 HK)'s B2C focus and its 3-year revenue CAGR of 126.8% (vs. 63.9%) warrants FY27 P/S of 55.1x, up from 48.8x as its peer Moore Threads (688795 CH) rallied. 
Our fair value of MiniMax (100 HK) equals a 45% premium to Knowledge Atlas Technology (2513 HK), justified by its above-sector momentum and "winner-take-all" characteristics.


Knowledge Atlas (2513 HK) & MiniMax Group (100 HK): Comparison, Debuts and Implications

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 100 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on PING AN INSURANCE, CITIC SECURITIES, SHANDONG GOLD MINING, POLY DEVELOPMENTS AND, EAST MONEY INFORMATION, Longi Green, ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT, SERES.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 100 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on PING AN INSURANCE, CITIC SECURITIES, SHANDONG GOLD MINING, POLY DEVELOPMENTS AND, EAST MONEY INFORMATION, Longi Green, ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT, SERES.


CSI 100 Index Earning Revision (Dec): PING AN INSURANCE, CITIC SECURITIES, SHANDONG GOLD MINING

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/minimax" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46185:1" rel="noopener">MiniMax (100 HK)</a> is a viable AI foundation model company, with highly ranked product suites and increasingly more adoption by customers around the world. </li>
<li>The fair value is at HK$216 per share, reflecting its strong potential to capture the AI growth, solid market position and the scarcity value on the Hong Kong market.</li>
<li>At fair FY27F P/S of 48.8x, this equals 18% discount to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/moore-threads-intelligent-technology-beijing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40221:1" rel="noopener">Moore Threads Intelligent (688795 CH)</a> and 35% premium to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-biren-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39934:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Biren Technology (6082 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>



MiniMax (100 HK) is a viable AI foundation model company, with highly ranked product suites and increasingly more adoption by customers around the world. 
The fair value is at HK$216 per share, reflecting its strong potential to capture the AI growth, solid market position and the scarcity value on the Hong Kong market.
At fair FY27F P/S of 48.8x, this equals 18% discount to the Moore Threads Intelligent (688795 CH) and 35% premium to Shanghai Biren Technology (6082 HK). 


MiniMax Group (100 HK) IPO: Estimate of Fair Value

Biren Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-biren-intelligent-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39934:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Biren Intelligent Tech (6082 HK)</a> is expected to receive an overwhelming response in its Hong Kong IPO. The public offer is reported to be at least 513.2x oversubscribed.</li>
<li>Since it will remain loss-making in FY27F, we calculate its fair value at HK$21.72 by applying the average HA discount and a 20% discount to its peer P/S multiple.  </li>
<li>Given that its FY27F revenue is smaller than MetaX Integrated Circuit (688802 CH), MetaX's P/S of 41.8x serves as Biren's ceiling, and any price over HK$23.75 appears expensive. </li>
</ul>



Shanghai Biren Intelligent Tech (6082 HK) is expected to receive an overwhelming response in its Hong Kong IPO. The public offer is reported to be at least 513.2x oversubscribed.
Since it will remain loss-making in FY27F, we calculate its fair value at HK$21.72 by applying the average HA discount and a 20% discount to its peer P/S multiple.  
Given that its FY27F revenue is smaller than MetaX Integrated Circuit (688802 CH), MetaX's P/S of 41.8x serves as Biren's ceiling, and any price over HK$23.75 appears expensive. 


Biren Technology (6082 HK) IPO: What Valuations?

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

<ul>
<li>Biren Technology, a Shanghai-based fabless chip design company that develops intelligent processors for GPU and DSA computation architectures, filed to go public in Hong Kong.  </li>
<li>Biren Technology was founded in 2019 by CEO &amp; Chairman Mr. Wen Zhang, who previously worked at AI software company SenseTime Group Inc.   </li>
<li>This is a red-hot upcoming IPO to watch, in my view. Moore Threads and MetaX Integrated Circuits have recently raised $1.1B and ~$600M in their public share offerings in Shanghai.</li>
</ul>


Biren Technology, a Shanghai-based fabless chip design company that develops intelligent processors for GPU and DSA computation architectures, filed to go public in Hong Kong.  
Biren Technology was founded in 2019 by CEO &amp; Chairman Mr. Wen Zhang, who previously worked at AI software company SenseTime Group Inc.   
This is a red-hot upcoming IPO to watch, in my view. Moore Threads and MetaX Integrated Circuits have recently raised $1.1B and ~$600M in their public share offerings in Shanghai.


Biren Technology IPO: China’s “NVIDIA Moment” and The Rise of a Homegrown AI Chip Champion

China

Hygon Information Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes computer components. The Company produces high end processors, deep computing processors, accelerators, calculator chips, and other related products. Hygon Information Technology markets its products worldwide.

Hygon Information Technology C (688041 CH)

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Hygon Information Technology C (688041 CH)

Knowledge Atlas (2513 HK) & MiniMax Group (100 HK): Comparison, Debuts and Implications

Debut of Knowledge Atlas is lukewarm, trading close to fair value at 37.8x P/S for FY27, while MiniMax's B2C focus and strong revenue growth...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CSI 100 Index Earning Revision (Dec): PING AN INSURANCE, CITIC SECURITIES, SHANDONG GOLD MINING

We highlighted EPS revision on PING AN INSURANCE, CITIC SECURITIES, SHANDONG GOLD MINING, POLY DEVELOPMENTS AND, EAST MONEY INFORMATION, Longi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MiniMax Group (100 HK) IPO: Estimate of Fair Value

MiniMax is a promising AI company with strong product suites and growing customer adoption, valued at HK$216 per share due to its potential in the...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Biren Technology (6082 HK) IPO: What Valuations?

Biren's HK IPO is expected to be heavily oversubscribed, but its fair value is calculated to be HK$21.72. Anything above HK$23.75 is expensive...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Biren Technology IPO: China’s “NVIDIA Moment” and The Rise of a Homegrown AI Chip Champion

Shanghai-based fabless chip design company Biren Technology plans to go public in Hong Kong in January, following blockbuster offerings by Moore...

Andrei Zakharov

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Knowledge Atlas (2513 HK) & MiniMax Group (100 HK): Comparison, Debuts and Implications

​Debut of Knowledge Atlas is lukewarm, trading close to fair value at 37.8x P/S for FY27, while MiniMax's B2C focus and strong revenue growth...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CSI 100 Index Earning Revision (Dec): PING AN INSURANCE, CITIC SECURITIES, SHANDONG GOLD MINING

We highlighted EPS revision on PING AN INSURANCE, CITIC SECURITIES, SHANDONG GOLD MINING, POLY DEVELOPMENTS AND, EAST MONEY INFORMATION, Longi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MiniMax Group (100 HK) IPO: Estimate of Fair Value

​MiniMax is a promising AI company with strong product suites and growing customer adoption, valued at HK$216 per share due to its potential in the...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Biren Technology (6082 HK) IPO: What Valuations?

​Biren's HK IPO is expected to be heavily oversubscribed, but its fair value is calculated to be HK$21.72. Anything above HK$23.75 is expensive...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Biren Technology IPO: China’s “NVIDIA Moment” and The Rise of a Homegrown AI Chip Champion

​Shanghai-based fabless chip design company Biren Technology plans to go public in Hong Kong in January, following blockbuster offerings by Moore...

Andrei Zakharov

Debut of Knowledge Atlas is lukewarm, trading close to fair value at 37.8x P/S for FY27, while MiniMax's B2C focus and strong revenue growth...

MiniMax is a promising AI company with strong product suites and growing customer adoption, valued at HK$216 per share due to its potential in the...

Biren's HK IPO is expected to be heavily oversubscribed, but its fair value is calculated to be HK$21.72. Anything above HK$23.75 is expensive...

Shanghai-based fabless chip design company Biren Technology plans to go public in Hong Kong in January, following blockbuster offerings by Moore...