Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Japfa Comfeed Indonesia / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 2 constituent changes for the IDX30 Index, and 3 changes each for the LQ45 Index and IDX80 Index to be implemented at the close on 31 January.</li>
<li>The largest passive flows are expected in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indosat-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5737:1" rel="noopener">Indosat</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japfa-comfeed-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8258:1" rel="noopener">Japfa Comfeed Indonesia</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indocement-tunggal-prakarsa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4040:1" rel="noopener">Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dayamitra-telekomunikasi-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34741:1" rel="noopener">Dayamitra Telekomunikasi</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/map-aktif-adiperkasa-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27291:1" rel="noopener">MAP Aktif Adiperkasa</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-mandiri-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:441:1" rel="noopener">Bank Mandiri Persero</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ciputra-development-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5513:1" rel="noopener">Ciputra Development</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xl-axiata-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15028:1" rel="noopener">XL Axiata</a>.</li>
<li>With only 4 days to implementation, there could be relatively big moves on stocks that have large flow/impact from passive fund trading.</li>
</ul>


There are 2 constituent changes for the IDX30 Index, and 3 changes each for the LQ45 Index and IDX80 Index to be implemented at the close on 31 January.
The largest passive flows are expected in Bank Central Asia, Indosat, Japfa Comfeed Indonesia, Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa, Dayamitra Telekomunikasi, MAP Aktif Adiperkasa, Bank Mandiri Persero, Ciputra Development and XL Axiata.
With only 4 days to implementation, there could be relatively big moves on stocks that have large flow/impact from passive fund trading.


IDX30/​​LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: Big Impact in Some Stocks with 4 Days to Implementation

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/akr-corporindo-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13338:1" rel="noopener">AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wintermar-offshore-marine" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4064:1" rel="noopener">Wintermar Offshore Marine (WINS IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ultrajaya-milk-industry-trading-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13892:1" rel="noopener">Ultrajaya Milk (ULTJ IJ)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-thailand-pcl-98806732-8ac4-42b2-a565-ba32673d1e5a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20912:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB)</a>.</li>
<li>There was also a macro insight on the Johor-Singapore Special Economic Zone, and two economic insights on Vietnam and a sector insights looking at the property recovery there.</li>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom, from across Southeast Asia.</li>
</ul>


The past week saw insights on AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ), Wintermar Offshore Marine (WINS IJ), Ultrajaya Milk (ULTJ IJ), and Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB).
There was also a macro insight on the Johor-Singapore Special Economic Zone, and two economic insights on Vietnam and a sector insights looking at the property recovery there.
The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom, from across Southeast Asia.


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - AKRA's Smelting Up, Wintermar's Upside, and Ultrajaya

<ul>
<li>The review period for the LQ45 Index January rebalance ended 31 December. The changes should be announced the last week of January, becoming effective after the close on 31 January.</li>
<li>We highlight 4 potential inclusions and 4 potential exclusions for the index at the rebalance. The actual number of changes could be lower at 2-3 a side.</li>
<li>Nearly all stocks will have over 1x ADV to trade from passive trackers if they are added to or deleted from the index.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the LQ45 Index January rebalance ended 31 December. The changes should be announced the last week of January, becoming effective after the close on 31 January.
We highlight 4 potential inclusions and 4 potential exclusions for the index at the rebalance. The actual number of changes could be lower at 2-3 a side.
Nearly all stocks will have over 1x ADV to trade from passive trackers if they are added to or deleted from the index.


LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Jan 2025): Identifying Potential Index Changes

Equity Bottom-Up

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo Gojek Tokopedia</a> remains optimistic for the coming year, with increasing focus on converting hemat users to take up more premium products and it expands its suite of fintech offerings. </li>
<li>Focus on profitability will remain core, with an emphasis on product-led initiatives such as GoFood Plus and GoFood Express, and increasing emphasis on growing its fintech offering across products. </li>
<li>GoTo is increasingly using AI to improve both the customer experience and improve efficiencies. Advertising will increasingly become a tool to improve take rates with Tokopedia providing valuable cash flow.  </li>
</ul>



GoTo Gojek Tokopedia remains optimistic for the coming year, with increasing focus on converting hemat users to take up more premium products and it expands its suite of fintech offerings. 
Focus on profitability will remain core, with an emphasis on product-led initiatives such as GoFood Plus and GoFood Express, and increasing emphasis on growing its fintech offering across products. 
GoTo is increasingly using AI to improve both the customer experience and improve efficiencies. Advertising will increasingly become a tool to improve take rates with Tokopedia providing valuable cash flow.  


GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ) - Barbell Strategies and Fintech to Dominate in 2025

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>TSEL remains the download speed leader at 26.3 Mbps, narrowing the gap with peers while intensively utilizing its network for FMC synergies.</li><li>Hutch3 leads in upload speed at 11 Mbps and leads in gaming, video and voice experiences due to its stronger focus on latency experience. </li><li>Maintain Overweight as price hikes, justified by improved networks, shall allow for better monetization on the seasonal 4Q24, 1Q25 demand.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

TSEL remains the download speed leader at 26.3 Mbps, narrowing the gap with peers while intensively utilizing its network for FMC synergies.Hutch3 leads in upload speed at 11 Mbps and leads in gaming, video and voice experiences due to its stronger focus on latency experience. Maintain Overweight as price hikes, justified by improved networks, shall allow for better monetization on the seasonal 4Q24, 1Q25 demand.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Telco: OpenSignal 2H24 Results: Narrowing Gaps but Overall Better Network Capacities (OVERWEIGHT)

Indonesia

PT Indosat Tbk is a telecommunication and information service provider in Indonesia that provides cellular services (prepaid and postpaid), fixed data services or MIDI (Multimedia, Internet & Data Communication) and fixed voice services including fixed wireless access services.

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Indosat Tbk PT (ISAT IJ)

IDX30/LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: Big Impact in Some Stocks with 4 Days to Implementation

There are 2 constituent changes for the IDX30, and 3 each for LQ45 and IDX80 indices to be implemented at the close 31 Jan. There are stocks with...

Brian Freitas

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - AKRA's Smelting Up, Wintermar's Upside, and Ultrajaya

The past week saw insights on AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ), Wintermar Offshore Marine (WINS IJ), Ultrajaya Milk (ULTJ IJ), and Delta Electronics...

Angus Mackintosh

LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Jan 2025): Identifying Potential Index Changes

We have identified potential changes for the LQ45 Index in January. The potential adds have been outperforming the deletes. Historically, adds and...

Brian Freitas

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ) - Barbell Strategies and Fintech to Dominate in 2025

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia remains optimistic for the coming year, with an increasing focus on converting hemat users to take up more premium products...

Angus Mackintosh

Telco: OpenSignal 2H24 Results: Narrowing Gaps but Overall Better Network Capacities (OVERWEIGHT)

TSEL remains the download speed leader at 26.3 Mbps, narrowing the gap with peers while intensively utilizing its network for FMC synergies.

BRI Danareksa Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

IDX30/​​LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: Big Impact in Some Stocks with 4 Days to Implementation

There are 2 constituent changes for the IDX30, and 3 each for LQ45 and IDX80 indices to be implemented at the close 31 Jan. There are stocks with...

Brian Freitas

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - AKRA's Smelting Up, Wintermar's Upside, and Ultrajaya

The past week saw insights on AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ), Wintermar Offshore Marine (WINS IJ), Ultrajaya Milk (ULTJ IJ), and Delta Electronics...

Angus Mackintosh

LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Jan 2025): Identifying Potential Index Changes

We have identified potential changes for the LQ45 Index in January. The potential adds have been outperforming the deletes. Historically, adds and...

Brian Freitas

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ) - Barbell Strategies and Fintech to Dominate in 2025

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia remains optimistic for the coming year, with an increasing focus on converting hemat users to take up more premium products...

Angus Mackintosh

Telco: OpenSignal 2H24 Results: Narrowing Gaps but Overall Better Network Capacities (OVERWEIGHT)

TSEL remains the download speed leader at 26.3 Mbps, narrowing the gap with peers while intensively utilizing its network for FMC synergies.

BRI Danareksa Research

IDX30/LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: Big Impact in Some Stocks with 4 Days to Implementation