Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Tbk / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the LQ45 Index October rebalance ended 30 September. The changes should be announced the last week of October, becoming effective after the close on 31 October.</li>
<li>We highlight 4 potential inclusions and 5 potential exclusions for the index at the rebalance. The actual number of changes could be lower at 2-3 a side.</li>
<li>There are a few stocks that will have over 1x ADV to trade from passive trackers if they are added to or deleted from the index.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the LQ45 Index October rebalance ended 30 September. The changes should be announced the last week of October, becoming effective after the close on 31 October.
We highlight 4 potential inclusions and 5 potential exclusions for the index at the rebalance. The actual number of changes could be lower at 2-3 a side.
There are a few stocks that will have over 1x ADV to trade from passive trackers if they are added to or deleted from the index.


LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Oct 2024): Identifying Potential Index Changes

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/berli-jucker-public-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3685:1" rel="noopener">Berli Jucker</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/catur-sentosa-adiprana-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18671:1" rel="noopener">Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk (CSAP IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lippo-karawaci-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3121:1" rel="noopener">Lippo Karawaci,</a>  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/silverlake-axis-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14150:1" rel="noopener">Silverlake Axis</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nsl-ltd-singapore" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12666:1" rel="noopener">NSL Ltd (NSL SP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mr-diy-holding-thailand" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43926:1" rel="noopener">DIY Holding (Thailand)</a>.</li>
<li>There was also a macro insight on Indonesia Strategy, and insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sri-trang-gloves-thailand-pcl-6b5341fe-4d93-483e-9cb0-d5d833cdc53e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29141:1" rel="noopener">Sri Trang Gloves Thailand (STGT TB)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/petrovietnam-oil-corporation-pv-oil" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43954:1" rel="noopener">PetroVietnam Oil (OIL VN)</a>, </li>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom, from across Southeast Asia.</li>
</ul>


The past week saw insights on Berli Jucker, Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk (CSAP IJ), Lippo Karawaci,  Silverlake Axis, NSL Ltd (NSL SP), and DIY Holding (Thailand).
There was also a macro insight on Indonesia Strategy, and insights on Sri Trang Gloves Thailand (STGT TB), and PetroVietnam Oil (OIL VN), 
The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom, from across Southeast Asia.


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma  - Berli Jucker, CSAP, and Silverlake Asia

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>IOH establishes another distribution layer with Indosat retailers to transition away from low ARPU to high ARPU potential users in ex-Java.</li><li>IOH implements 5-9% price hikesto maintain revenue resilience in 2H24 while it anticipates the sector to recover by 1Q25.</li><li>We maintain our BUY rating on IOH (TP: Rp13,300), implying premium valuation driven by growth from IOH's expanding distribution.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

IOH establishes another distribution layer with Indosat retailers to transition away from low ARPU to high ARPU potential users in ex-Java.IOH implements 5-9% price hikesto maintain revenue resilience in 2H24 while it anticipates the sector to recover by 1Q25.We maintain our BUY rating on IOH (TP: Rp13,300), implying premium valuation driven by growth from IOH's expanding distribution.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ISAT IJ -  Aggressive Distribution Fuels Future Growth...

<ul>
<li>The past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adaro-energy-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6061:1" rel="noopener">Adaro Energy (ADRO IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bangkok-dusit-medical-services-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:875:1" rel="noopener">Bangkok Dusit Medical Services (BDMS TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lippo-karawaci-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3121:1" rel="noopener">Lippo Karawaci (LPKR IJ)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gajah-tunggal-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1632:1" rel="noopener">Gajah Tunggal (GJTL IJ)</a>.</li>
<li>There were also macro insights on the Singapore Economy, Malaysian Politics, and the Indonesian economy, as well as Helitap on natural rubber. </li>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom, from across Southeast Asia.</li>
</ul>


The past week saw insights on GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ), Adaro Energy (ADRO IJ), Bangkok Dusit Medical Services (BDMS TB), Lippo Karawaci (LPKR IJ), and Gajah Tunggal (GJTL IJ).
There were also macro insights on the Singapore Economy, Malaysian Politics, and the Indonesian economy, as well as Helitap on natural rubber. 
The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom, from across Southeast Asia.


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma  - GoTo & Baba, Adaro Energy, and Bangkok Dusit Medical

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>TSEL moderates its TSEL Lite promotions and 30-day 6GB packs to avoid downtrading amid soft outlook, and in turn, soften the competition.</li><li>We continue to see pathways for ARPU upsides for IOH through online/ offline channels and for XL through its recent price increases.</li><li>We believe telcos are equipped to meet our FY24 and FY25-26 est. We maintain OW rating with top picks ISAT and TLKM.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

TSEL moderates its TSEL Lite promotions and 30-day 6GB packs to avoid downtrading amid soft outlook, and in turn, soften the competition.We continue to see pathways for ARPU upsides for IOH through online/ offline channels and for XL through its recent price increases.We believe telcos are equipped to meet our FY24 and FY25-26 est. We maintain OW rating with top picks ISAT and TLKM.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Telco: Navigating the 3Q24 Soft Season Challenges and Capitalizing on 4Q24 Opportunities

Indonesia

PT Indosat Tbk is a telecommunication and information service provider in Indonesia that provides cellular services (prepaid and postpaid), fixed data services or MIDI (Multimedia, Internet & Data Communication) and fixed voice services including fixed wireless access services.

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Indosat Tbk PT (ISAT IJ)

LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Oct 2024): Identifying Potential Index Changes

We have identified potential changes for the LQ45 Index in October. There will also be capping flows for BBCA and BBRI. Historically, adds and...

Brian Freitas

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Berli Jucker, CSAP, and Silverlake Asia

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

ISAT IJ - Aggressive Distribution Fuels Future Growth...

IOH establishes another distribution layer with Indosat retailers to transition away from low ARPU to high ARPU potential users in ex-Java.

BRI Danareksa Research

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - GoTo & Baba, Adaro Energy, and Bangkok Dusit Medical

The past week saw insights on GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ), Adaro Energy (ADRO IJ), Bangkok Dusit Medical Services (BDMS TB), Lippo Karawaci...

Angus Mackintosh

Telco: Navigating the 3Q24 Soft Season Challenges and Capitalizing on 4Q24 Opportunities

TSEL moderates its TSEL Lite promotions and 30-day 6GB packs to avoid downtrading amid soft outlook, and in turn, soften the competition.

BRI Danareksa Research

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52-week Range

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