Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The return of Mr. Tan as CEO suggests that spinning off or selling  Intel Foundry will accelerate, Intel’s focus should improve.</li>
<li>It probably also means scaling down considerably Intel manufacturing plans and outsourcing more to TSMC. If you can’t beat them, join them.</li>
<li>Now is not a good time to buy Semiconductor stocks. It will take a couple of years to fix Intel’s problems. TSMC will benefit.</li>
</ul>


The return of Mr. Tan as CEO suggests that spinning off or selling  Intel Foundry will accelerate, Intel’s focus should improve.
It probably also means scaling down considerably Intel manufacturing plans and outsourcing more to TSMC. If you can’t beat them, join them.
Now is not a good time to buy Semiconductor stocks. It will take a couple of years to fix Intel’s problems. TSMC will benefit.


Intel: A Better CEO that Understand that Intel Should Fix Its Own Problems, Not Compete with TSMC

Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

<ul>
<li>We see early signs of recovery in PC and smartphone markets, stable server market (strengths in AI server, stable in non-AI server market), but weaknesses in automotive and industrial.</li>
<li>We expect the PC semi market recovery of more than 10% y/y in 2024/2025, driven by inventory rebuild and silicon contents increase by adding AI into PC.</li>
<li>We expect the smartphone semi market recovery of 7-8% y/y in 2024/2025, driven by inventory rebuild and adopting 3nE foundry node. But, Huawei/HiSilicon will take some of the growth.</li>
</ul>


We see early signs of recovery in PC and smartphone markets, stable server market (strengths in AI server, stable in non-AI server market), but weaknesses in automotive and industrial.
We expect the PC semi market recovery of more than 10% y/y in 2024/2025, driven by inventory rebuild and silicon contents increase by adding AI into PC.
We expect the smartphone semi market recovery of 7-8% y/y in 2024/2025, driven by inventory rebuild and adopting 3nE foundry node. But, Huawei/HiSilicon will take some of the growth.


First Run of Global Semis' Guidances to Tell Early Signs of Recovery

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

<ul>
<li>Intel's upcoming Meteor Lake family of chips will include a new specific component specifically for running AI processes locally on PCs.</li>
<li>Meteor Lake will enable mass market adoption of AI PCs by providing a platform for developers to create more advanced AI PC applications than are currently possible.</li>
<li>Meteor Lake's launch could start by end-October. Intel's Innovation conference September 19-20th will likely add visibility. Intel's potential supports a Long thesis for Taiwan's PC supply chain.</li>
</ul>


Intel's upcoming Meteor Lake family of chips will include a new specific component specifically for running AI processes locally on PCs.
Meteor Lake will enable mass market adoption of AI PCs by providing a platform for developers to create more advanced AI PC applications than are currently possible.
Meteor Lake's launch could start by end-October. Intel's Innovation conference September 19-20th will likely add visibility. Intel's potential supports a Long thesis for Taiwan's PC supply chain.


Intel's Meteor Lake Chips Could Make It 'Cool' Again; Will Enable Mass Market Adoption of AI PCs

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors, Fabricated Knowledge

Douglas O'Laughlin

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors

Fabricated Knowledge

Learn more about the world's most important manufactured product. Meaningful insight, timely analysis, and an occasional investment idea.

<ul>
<li>Hello from Kyoto! If there was a single big story from VLSI this year, it had to be Backside Power Delivery (BSPDN). VLSI is one of the premier conferences for semiconductor design and has been held since the 1980s.</li>
<li>Today it’s one of the best places to present cutting-edge research in circuit technology.</li>
<li>The key revolutionary announcement at VLSI this year was BSPDN. Let’s discuss.</li>
</ul>


Hello from Kyoto! If there was a single big story from VLSI this year, it had to be Backside Power Delivery (BSPDN). VLSI is one of the premier conferences for semiconductor design and has been held since the 1980s.
Today it’s one of the best places to present cutting-edge research in circuit technology.
The key revolutionary announcement at VLSI this year was BSPDN. Let’s discuss.


VLSI Japan : It’s Better on the Backside

<ul>
<li>Following Broadcom CEO saying “no” and TSMC investing another US$100bn in Arizona, speculations of an Intel takeover have subsided.</li>
<li>On the increase, rumors of further Intel 18A delays and production push out. This means more outsourcing to TSMC for longer as mentioned by Intel’s IR last week.</li>
<li>Now is not a good time to buy Semiconductor stocks, but AMD and TSMC will benefit.</li>
</ul>


Following Broadcom CEO saying “no” and TSMC investing another US$100bn in Arizona, speculations of an Intel takeover have subsided.
On the increase, rumors of further Intel 18A delays and production push out. This means more outsourcing to TSMC for longer as mentioned by Intel’s IR last week.
Now is not a good time to buy Semiconductor stocks, but AMD and TSMC will benefit.


The Intel Drama Goes On. No Buyer It Seems, Who Would? More Wafers Made at TSMC for Longer.

United States

Intel Corporation designs, manufactures, and sells computer components and related products.  The Company's major products include microprocessors, chipsets, embedded processors and microcontrollers, flash memory products, graphics products, network and communications products, systems management software, conferencing products, and digital imaging products.

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Intel Corp (INTC US)

Intel: A Better CEO that Understand that Intel Should Fix Its Own Problems, Not Compete with TSMC

Mr. Tan's return as CEO of Intel signals a likely acceleration in spinning off Intel Foundry and outsourcing more manufacturing to TSMC, impacting...

Nicolas Baratte

First Run of Global Semis' Guidances to Tell Early Signs of Recovery

After the first Run of global semis' guidance, it tells early signs of recovery in PC and smartphone but weaknesses in automotive and industrial,...

Andrew Lu

Intel's Meteor Lake Chips Could Make It 'Cool' Again; Will Enable Mass Market Adoption of AI PCs

Intel's Meteor Lake chip family will enable mass adoption of AI PCs and the company could become widely admired by the market again. This also...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

VLSI Japan : It’s Better on the Backside

If there was a single big story from VLSI this year, it had to be BSPDN. Intel announces its PowerVia technology, and scaling the backside is the...

Fabricated Knowledge

The Intel Drama Goes On. No Buyer It Seems, Who Would? More Wafers Made at TSMC for Longer.

Speculations of Intel takeover subside as TSMC invests in Arizona. Intel production delays lead to more outsourcing to TSMC. Semiconductor stocks...

Nicolas Baratte

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Intel: A Better CEO that Understand that Intel Should Fix Its Own Problems, Not Compete with TSMC

​Mr. Tan's return as CEO of Intel signals a likely acceleration in spinning off Intel Foundry and outsourcing more manufacturing to TSMC, impacting...

Nicolas Baratte

First Run of Global Semis' Guidances to Tell Early Signs of Recovery

After the first Run of global semis' guidance, it tells early signs of recovery in PC and smartphone but weaknesses in automotive and industrial,...

Andrew Lu

Intel's Meteor Lake Chips Could Make It 'Cool' Again; Will Enable Mass Market Adoption of AI PCs

Intel's Meteor Lake chip family will enable mass adoption of AI PCs and the company could become widely admired by the market again. This also...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

VLSI Japan : It’s Better on the Backside

If there was a single big story from VLSI this year, it had to be BSPDN. Intel announces its PowerVia technology, and scaling the backside is the...

Fabricated Knowledge

The Intel Drama Goes On. No Buyer It Seems, Who Would? More Wafers Made at TSMC for Longer.

​Speculations of Intel takeover subside as TSMC invests in Arizona. Intel production delays lead to more outsourcing to TSMC. Semiconductor stocks...

Nicolas Baratte

Mr. Tan's return as CEO of Intel signals a likely acceleration in spinning off Intel Foundry and outsourcing more manufacturing to TSMC, impacting...

Speculations of Intel takeover subside as TSMC invests in Arizona. Intel production delays lead to more outsourcing to TSMC. Semiconductor stocks...