European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Since mid-December, spreads have generally tightened across our European liquid universe of ordinary and preferred shares (10 have tightened, 7 widened, 2 at same level).</li>
<li>Recommended trades long preferred / short ordinary shares: Danieli, <strong>Grifols (the most </strong><strong>interesting situation in this report)</strong>, Media-for-Europe, Sixt, Volkswagen.</li>
<li>Recommended trades long ordinary / short preferred shares: Fuchs, Henkel, SSAB Svenska Stal.</li>
</ul>


Since mid-December, spreads have generally tightened across our European liquid universe of ordinary and preferred shares (10 have tightened, 7 widened, 2 at same level).
Recommended trades long preferred / short ordinary shares: Danieli, Grifols (the most interesting situation in this report), Media-for-Europe, Sixt, Volkswagen.
Recommended trades long ordinary / short preferred shares: Fuchs, Henkel, SSAB Svenska Stal.


Liquid Universe of European Ordinary and Preferred Shares: January‘24 Report

<ul>
<li>The discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have mainly widened during December. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 49.1% (vs. 47.1%); GBL, 36.6% (vs. 34.9%); Heineken Holding, 16.7% (vs. 14.5%);</li>
<li>Industrivärden C, 5.4% (vs.4.9%); Investor B, 13.5% (vs. 14.6%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 37.1% (vs. 39.9%).  The spread of Rio DLC widened to 24.2% (vs.17.2%).</li>
<li>What seems interesting: in holding trades, Porsche SE/vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC: long RIO LN/short RIO AU.</li>
</ul>


The discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have mainly widened during December. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 49.1% (vs. 47.1%); GBL, 36.6% (vs. 34.9%); Heineken Holding, 16.7% (vs. 14.5%);
Industrivärden C, 5.4% (vs.4.9%); Investor B, 13.5% (vs. 14.6%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 37.1% (vs. 39.9%).  The spread of Rio DLC widened to 24.2% (vs.17.2%).
What seems interesting: in holding trades, Porsche SE/vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC: long RIO LN/short RIO AU.


Selected European HoldCos and DLC: December’23 Report

<ul>
<li>The discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have all tightened during November. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 47.1% (vs. 47.8%); GBL, 34.9% (vs. 35.5%); Heineken Holding, 14.5% (vs. 14.9%);</li>
<li>Industrivärden C, 4.9% (vs. 6%); Investor B, 14.6% (vs. 16.5%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 39.9% (vs. 40.9%). The spread of Rio DLC tightened to 17.2% (vs. 21%).</li>
<li>What seems interesting: holding trades, Heineken Holding vs. Heineken, Porsche SE/vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC: long RIO LN/short RIO AU.</li>
</ul>


The discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have all tightened during November. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 47.1% (vs. 47.8%); GBL, 34.9% (vs. 35.5%); Heineken Holding, 14.5% (vs. 14.9%);
Industrivärden C, 4.9% (vs. 6%); Investor B, 14.6% (vs. 16.5%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 39.9% (vs. 40.9%). The spread of Rio DLC tightened to 17.2% (vs. 21%).
What seems interesting: holding trades, Heineken Holding vs. Heineken, Porsche SE/vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC: long RIO LN/short RIO AU.


Selected European HoldCos and DLC: November’23 Report

<ul>
<li>Since mid-October, spreads have generally widened across our European liquid universe of ordinary and preferred shares (8 have tightened, 10 widened, 1 at same level).</li>
<li>Recommended trades long preferred / short ordinary shares: Media-for-Europe, Sixt, Volkswagen (still the most interesting situation), Grifols, Atlas Copco.</li>
<li>Recommended trades long ordinary / short preferred shares: Fuchs, SSAB Svenska Stal.</li>
</ul>


Since mid-October, spreads have generally widened across our European liquid universe of ordinary and preferred shares (8 have tightened, 10 widened, 1 at same level).
Recommended trades long preferred / short ordinary shares: Media-for-Europe, Sixt, Volkswagen (still the most interesting situation), Grifols, Atlas Copco.
Recommended trades long ordinary / short preferred shares: Fuchs, SSAB Svenska Stal.


Liquid Universe of European Ordinary and Preferred Shares: November‘23 Report

<ul>
<li>The discounts to NAV of covered holdcos haven't shown a clear trend during October. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 47.8% (vs. 49.2%); GBL, 35.5% (vs. 35.3%); Heineken Holding, 14.9% (vs. 14.5%); </li>
<li>Industrivärden C, 6% (vs. 7.4%); Investor B, 16.5% (vs. 15.4%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 40.9% (vs. 41.1%). The spread of Rio DLC widened to 21% (vs. 15.8%).</li>
<li>What seems interesting: holding trades, Investor B vs. listed assets, Porsche SE/vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC: long RIO LN/short RIO AU.</li>
</ul>


The discounts to NAV of covered holdcos haven't shown a clear trend during October. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 47.8% (vs. 49.2%); GBL, 35.5% (vs. 35.3%); Heineken Holding, 14.9% (vs. 14.5%); 
Industrivärden C, 6% (vs. 7.4%); Investor B, 16.5% (vs. 15.4%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 40.9% (vs. 41.1%). The spread of Rio DLC widened to 21% (vs. 15.8%).
What seems interesting: holding trades, Investor B vs. listed assets, Porsche SE/vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC: long RIO LN/short RIO AU.


Selected European HoldCos and DLC: October’23 Report

Sweden

Investor AB is an industrial holding company. The Company owns significant shareholdings in major public multinational companies and conducts private equity activities in Europe, North America, and Asia. Investor takes an active ownership role in many of the companies it owns.

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Investor (INVEA SS)

Liquid Universe of European Ordinary and Preferred Shares: January‘24 Report

Since mid-December, spreads have generally tightened across our European liquid universe of ordinary and preferred shares. The spread of Grifols...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: December’23 Report

Discounts to NAV for covered holdcos have mainloy widened during December. What seems interesting: Porsche Automobile Holding and Rio DLC.

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: November’23 Report

Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos tightened in November. Interesting trades, in my view, include Heineken Holding vs. Heineken, Porsche SE vs....

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Liquid Universe of European Ordinary and Preferred Shares: November‘23 Report

Since mid-October, spreads have generally widened across our European liquid universe of ordinary and preferred shares (8 have tightened, 10...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: October’23 Report

Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos in October showed no clear trend. Interesting aspects include holding trades, Investor B vs. listed assets,...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Liquid Universe of European Ordinary and Preferred Shares: January‘24 Report

Since mid-December, spreads have generally tightened across our European liquid universe of ordinary and preferred shares. The spread of Grifols...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: December’23 Report

​Discounts to NAV for covered holdcos have mainloy widened during December. What seems interesting: Porsche Automobile Holding and Rio DLC.

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: November’23 Report

​Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos tightened in November. Interesting trades, in my view, include Heineken Holding vs. Heineken, Porsche SE vs....

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Liquid Universe of European Ordinary and Preferred Shares: November‘23 Report

Since mid-October, spreads have generally widened across our European liquid universe of ordinary and preferred shares (8 have tightened, 10...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: October’23 Report

​Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos in October showed no clear trend. Interesting aspects include holding trades, Investor B vs. listed assets,...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Discounts to NAV for covered holdcos have mainloy widened during December. What seems interesting: Porsche Automobile Holding and Rio DLC.

Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos tightened in November. Interesting trades, in my view, include Heineken Holding vs. Heineken, Porsche SE vs....

Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos in October showed no clear trend. Interesting aspects include holding trades, Investor B vs. listed assets,...