Quantamental Researcher, JD Finance Quantamental Research

Ben Li

Quantamental Researcher

JD Finance Quantamental Research

JD Finance Big Data Quantamental Research is a data and insight provider of proprietary online eCommerce data, under the arm of big data analytics team in JD Finance. JD Finance is an affiliate of US listed JD, a leading eCommerce player in China. It is one of the largest fintech companies in China, with business spanning across consumer loans, fund distribution, and quantitative strategy research. 

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Premiumization in China has been an unstoppable trend as China’s economic reform continuously spurs the growth of consumer sector and benefits citizens’ everyday life. Among Chinese consumers, Millennials, defined as a cohort born between 1980 and 1995, have the strongest purchase power on e-commerce platforms with constantly rising online spending. We sorted out Millennials’ three shared values that affect their purchase decisions: Higher Quality, Better Lifestyle and Health Consciousness, and will discuss the impact of these principles on different consumer sectors in this article.

Premiumization in China has been an unstoppable trend as China’s economic reform continuously spurs the growth of consumer sector and benefits citizens’ everyday life. Among Chinese consumers, Millennials, defined as a cohort born between 1980 and 1995, have the strongest purchase power on e-commerce platforms with constantly rising online spending. We sorted out Millennials’ three shared values that affect their purchase decisions: Higher Quality, Better Lifestyle and Health Consciousness, and will discuss the impact of these principles on different consumer sectors in this article.

A Closer Look at Premiumization: Decoding Millennials Online Spending

Equity Research Analyst - Long-Short

Raj S, CA, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

Beijing Roborock Technology  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Roborock's margins are expected to bottom-out after a tough four quarters of strategically prioritizing market share at the cost of margins. 3Q-4Q25 will mark the start of new margin cycle.</li>
<li>Margins stabilizing at the new normal of 12-14% NPM will mean earnings will track revenue growth going forward. Meanwhile, revenues can surprise on the upside with &gt;25% CAGR in medium-term.</li>
<li>
HK-Listing into 2H25/ 1H26 is a strong catalyst which can bring in fresh money, and improve disclosure standards - a key concern. We expect 70% upside in our bull case.
</li>
</ul>


Roborock's margins are expected to bottom-out after a tough four quarters of strategically prioritizing market share at the cost of margins. 3Q-4Q25 will mark the start of new margin cycle.
Margins stabilizing at the new normal of 12-14% NPM will mean earnings will track revenue growth going forward. Meanwhile, revenues can surprise on the upside with &gt;25% CAGR in medium-term.

HK-Listing into 2H25/ 1H26 is a strong catalyst which can bring in fresh money, and improve disclosure standards - a key concern. We expect 70% upside in our bull case.



Beijing Roborock (688169.SS): Structural Margin Recovery to Drive Re-Rating; HK Listing Key Catalyst

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Midea Group Co Ltd A / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16185:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)</a> priced its H Share at HK$54.80 to raise HK$31,014 million (US$4.0 billion) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.</li>
<li>The H Share listing price implies an AH discount of 21.4% at the A Share price of RMB63.51. This compares to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)</a>'s AH discount of 13.8%.</li>
<li>Futu grey market data shows that the H Shares closed 5.1% higher at HK$57.60. Our valuation analysis suggests that the H Share listing price is attractive.</li>
</ul>



Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH) priced its H Share at HK$54.80 to raise HK$31,014 million (US$4.0 billion) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.
The H Share listing price implies an AH discount of 21.4% at the A Share price of RMB63.51. This compares to Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)'s AH discount of 13.8%.
Futu grey market data shows that the H Shares closed 5.1% higher at HK$57.60. Our valuation analysis suggests that the H Share listing price is attractive.


Midea Group H Share Listing (300 HK): Trading Debut

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16185:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)</a> has launched its H Share listing at HK$52.00-54.80 per share. Pricing will be on 13 September, and the listing on 17 September.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the listing in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/midea-group-h-share-listing-latest-updates-points-to-a-business-in-rude-health" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:157653" rel="noopener">Midea Group H Share Listing: Latest Updates Points to a Business in Rude Health</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/midea-group-h-share-listing-ah-discount-views" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:157868" rel="noopener">Midea Group H Share Listing: AH Discount Views</a>. </li>
<li>Our valuation analysis suggests that the H Share listing range is attractive. We would participate in the listing.</li>
</ul>



Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH) has launched its H Share listing at HK$52.00-54.80 per share. Pricing will be on 13 September, and the listing on 17 September.
We previously discussed the listing in Midea Group H Share Listing: Latest Updates Points to a Business in Rude Health and Midea Group H Share Listing: AH Discount Views. 
Our valuation analysis suggests that the H Share listing range is attractive. We would participate in the listing.


Midea Group H Share Listing (300 HK): Valuation Insights

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The last week was a very busy one. The coming week has some announcements and implementations but is a relatively quieter one.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> and STAR100 Index changes for March will be implemented at the close on Friday, the 8th.</li>
<li>Another week of inflows for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-emerging-markets-223f5da3-7054-4e4f-bc55-b7f0852c2581" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31998:1" rel="noopener">iShares Emerging Markets ex-China (EMXC US)</a> ETF as creations cross US$2bn for 2024. ETF AUM has gone from US$420m in 2021 to US$11bn now!</li>
</ul>


The last week was a very busy one. The coming week has some announcements and implementations but is a relatively quieter one.
The SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) and STAR100 Index changes for March will be implemented at the close on Friday, the 8th.
Another week of inflows for the iShares Emerging Markets ex-China (EMXC US) ETF as creations cross US$2bn for 2024. ETF AUM has gone from US$420m in 2021 to US$11bn now!


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: STAR50/100, FXI, NIFTY/NEXT50, S&P500, KOSPI, Goodman, Ecopro BM

United States

iRobot Corporation manufactures robots that vacuum and wash floors and perform battlefield reconnaissance and bomb disposal. The Company markets its products to consumers through retailers, the United States military, and other government agencies worldwide.

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iRobot Corp (IRBT US)

A Closer Look at Premiumization: Decoding Millennials Online Spending

Premiumization in China has been an unstoppable trend as China’s economic reform continuously spurs the growth of consumer sector and benefits...

Ben Li

Beijing Roborock (688169.SS): Structural Margin Recovery to Drive Re-Rating; HK Listing Key Catalyst

We just published a quarterly update note on this Beijing Roborock Margin Recovery story post 3Q earnings, and the way forward. Beijing Roborock is...

Raj S, CA, CFA

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: STAR50/100, FXI, NIFTY/NEXT50, S&P500, KOSPI, Goodman, Ecopro BM

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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A Closer Look at Premiumization: Decoding Millennials Online Spending

Premiumization in China has been an unstoppable trend as China’s economic reform continuously spurs the growth of consumer sector and benefits...

Ben Li

Beijing Roborock (688169.SS): Structural Margin Recovery to Drive Re-Rating; HK Listing Key Catalyst

We just published a quarterly update note on this Beijing Roborock Margin Recovery story post 3Q earnings, and the way forward. Beijing Roborock is...

Raj S, CA, CFA

Midea Group H Share Listing (300 HK): Trading Debut

The H Share listing and Futu grey market price imply an AH discount of 21.4% and 17.4%, respectively, which is attractive compared to Haier, its...

Arun George

Midea Group H Share Listing (300 HK): Valuation Insights

Midea has launched its H Share listing. Our valuation analysis suggests that the range is attractive, so we would participate in the listing.

Arun George

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: STAR50/100, FXI, NIFTY/NEXT50, S&P500, KOSPI, Goodman, Ecopro BM

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas