Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>On Friday after the close, the S&amp;P DJI Index Committee announced changes to the S&amp;P 100, S&amp;P500, S&amp;P MidCap400, and S&amp;P SmallCap600. Changes happen at the close 15 March 2024.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/super-micro-computer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7921:1" rel="noopener">Super Micro Computer (SMCI US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/deckers-outdoor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3028:1" rel="noopener">Deckers Outdoor (DECK US)</a> replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zions-bancorporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9490:1" rel="noopener">Zions Bancorporation (ZION US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/whirlpool-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1538:1" rel="noopener">Whirlpool Corp (WHR US)</a> in the S&amp;P500. 2 changes to 400, 6 to 600.</li>
<li>The immediate reaction was to send SMCI up 12.5%. That's shortsighted. It pays to count the pennies involved. There are a LOT of pennies.</li>
</ul>


On Friday after the close, the S&amp;P DJI Index Committee announced changes to the S&amp;P 100, S&amp;P500, S&amp;P MidCap400, and S&amp;P SmallCap600. Changes happen at the close 15 March 2024.

Super Micro Computer (SMCI US) and Deckers Outdoor (DECK US) replace Zions Bancorporation (ZION US) and Whirlpool Corp (WHR US) in the S&amp;P500. 2 changes to 400, 6 to 600.
The immediate reaction was to send SMCI up 12.5%. That's shortsighted. It pays to count the pennies involved. There are a LOT of pennies.


S&P 500/400/600 Index Rebal - It's Not The Trade You Think

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/super-micro-computer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7921:1" rel="noopener">Super Micro Computer (SMCI US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/deckers-outdoor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3028:1" rel="noopener">Deckers Outdoor (DECK US)</a> replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/whirlpool-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1538:1" rel="noopener">Whirlpool Corp (WHR US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zions-bancorporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9490:1" rel="noopener">Zions Bancorporation (ZION US)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX</a> at the close on 15 March.</li>
<li>There are a bunch of inclusions, deletions and migrations across the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)</a>, the S&amp;P Midcap 400 Index, and the S&amp;P SmallCap 600 Index.</li>
<li>The largest flows will be in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)</a> adds and the largest impact in the adds to the S&amp;P SmallCap 600 Index.</li>
</ul>



Super Micro Computer (SMCI US) and Deckers Outdoor (DECK US) replace Whirlpool Corp (WHR US) and Zions Bancorporation (ZION US) in the S&amp;P 500 INDEX at the close on 15 March.
There are a bunch of inclusions, deletions and migrations across the S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX), the S&amp;P Midcap 400 Index, and the S&amp;P SmallCap 600 Index.
The largest flows will be in the S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX) adds and the largest impact in the adds to the S&amp;P SmallCap 600 Index.


S&P500 Index Rebalance: SPCY Additions & Large Impact

Equity Research Analyst - Long-Short

Raj S, CA, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

Beijing Roborock Technology  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Roborock's margins are expected to bottom-out after a tough four quarters of strategically prioritizing market share at the cost of margins. 3Q-4Q25 will mark the start of new margin cycle.</li>
<li>Margins stabilizing at the new normal of 12-14% NPM will mean earnings will track revenue growth going forward. Meanwhile, revenues can surprise on the upside with &gt;25% CAGR in medium-term.</li>
<li>
HK-Listing into 2H25/ 1H26 is a strong catalyst which can bring in fresh money, and improve disclosure standards - a key concern. We expect 70% upside in our bull case.
</li>
</ul>


Roborock's margins are expected to bottom-out after a tough four quarters of strategically prioritizing market share at the cost of margins. 3Q-4Q25 will mark the start of new margin cycle.
Margins stabilizing at the new normal of 12-14% NPM will mean earnings will track revenue growth going forward. Meanwhile, revenues can surprise on the upside with &gt;25% CAGR in medium-term.

HK-Listing into 2H25/ 1H26 is a strong catalyst which can bring in fresh money, and improve disclosure standards - a key concern. We expect 70% upside in our bull case.



Beijing Roborock (688169.SS): Structural Margin Recovery to Drive Re-Rating; HK Listing Key Catalyst

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Midea Group Co Ltd A / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16185:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)</a> priced its H Share at HK$54.80 to raise HK$31,014 million (US$4.0 billion) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.</li>
<li>The H Share listing price implies an AH discount of 21.4% at the A Share price of RMB63.51. This compares to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)</a>'s AH discount of 13.8%.</li>
<li>Futu grey market data shows that the H Shares closed 5.1% higher at HK$57.60. Our valuation analysis suggests that the H Share listing price is attractive.</li>
</ul>



Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH) priced its H Share at HK$54.80 to raise HK$31,014 million (US$4.0 billion) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.
The H Share listing price implies an AH discount of 21.4% at the A Share price of RMB63.51. This compares to Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)'s AH discount of 13.8%.
Futu grey market data shows that the H Shares closed 5.1% higher at HK$57.60. Our valuation analysis suggests that the H Share listing price is attractive.


Midea Group H Share Listing (300 HK): Trading Debut

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16185:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)</a> has launched its H Share listing at HK$52.00-54.80 per share. Pricing will be on 13 September, and the listing on 17 September.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the listing in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/midea-group-h-share-listing-latest-updates-points-to-a-business-in-rude-health" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:157653" rel="noopener">Midea Group H Share Listing: Latest Updates Points to a Business in Rude Health</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/midea-group-h-share-listing-ah-discount-views" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:157868" rel="noopener">Midea Group H Share Listing: AH Discount Views</a>. </li>
<li>Our valuation analysis suggests that the H Share listing range is attractive. We would participate in the listing.</li>
</ul>



Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH) has launched its H Share listing at HK$52.00-54.80 per share. Pricing will be on 13 September, and the listing on 17 September.
We previously discussed the listing in Midea Group H Share Listing: Latest Updates Points to a Business in Rude Health and Midea Group H Share Listing: AH Discount Views. 
Our valuation analysis suggests that the H Share listing range is attractive. We would participate in the listing.


Midea Group H Share Listing (300 HK): Valuation Insights

United States

iRobot Corporation manufactures robots that vacuum and wash floors and perform battlefield reconnaissance and bomb disposal. The Company markets its products to consumers through retailers, the United States military, and other government agencies worldwide.

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iRobot Corp (IRBT US)

S&P 500/400/600 Index Rebal - It's Not The Trade You Think

The S&P DJI Index Committee announced the March index rebals. Everybody is looking at SMCI because it has run hard til now. That's missing the...

Travis Lundy

S&P500 Index Rebalance: SPCY Additions & Large Impact

There are bunch of adds, deletes and migrations for the SnP 500/400/600 indices in March. The largest inflows are on the SP500 adds but the largest...

Brian Freitas

Beijing Roborock (688169.SS): Structural Margin Recovery to Drive Re-Rating; HK Listing Key Catalyst

We just published a quarterly update note on this Beijing Roborock Margin Recovery story post 3Q earnings, and the way forward. Beijing Roborock is...

Raj S, CA, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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S&P 500/400/600 Index Rebal - It's Not The Trade You Think

​The S&P DJI Index Committee announced the March index rebals. Everybody is looking at SMCI because it has run hard til now. That's missing the...

Travis Lundy

S&P500 Index Rebalance: SPCY Additions & Large Impact

There are bunch of adds, deletes and migrations for the SnP 500/400/600 indices in March. The largest inflows are on the SP500 adds but the largest...

Brian Freitas

Beijing Roborock (688169.SS): Structural Margin Recovery to Drive Re-Rating; HK Listing Key Catalyst

We just published a quarterly update note on this Beijing Roborock Margin Recovery story post 3Q earnings, and the way forward. Beijing Roborock is...

Raj S, CA, CFA

Midea Group H Share Listing (300 HK): Trading Debut

The H Share listing and Futu grey market price imply an AH discount of 21.4% and 17.4%, respectively, which is attractive compared to Haier, its...

Arun George

Midea Group H Share Listing (300 HK): Valuation Insights

Midea has launched its H Share listing. Our valuation analysis suggests that the range is attractive, so we would participate in the listing.

Arun George

The S&P DJI Index Committee announced the March index rebals. Everybody is looking at SMCI because it has run hard til now. That's missing the...