External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>J&amp;T’s parcel volume growth in 3Q25 reached 23% YoY, driven by outstanding growth of 79% in SEA.</li><li>While the parcel volume growth in China slowed to 10% due to the “anti-involution” campaign, it was alongside a rebound of ASP.</li><li>In view of the strong growth in SEA, we see upside to J&amp;T’s full-year parcel volume growth guidance (+56% in SEA). We continue to like J&amp;T, due to (1) the unmatched competitive edge and market share gain potential in SEA (32.8% in 1H25), and (2) strong potential in New markets such as Brazil and the Middle East. We have left our SOTP-based TP unchanged at HK$13.4. Reiterate BUY.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

J&amp;T’s parcel volume growth in 3Q25 reached 23% YoY, driven by outstanding growth of 79% in SEA.While the parcel volume growth in China slowed to 10% due to the “anti-involution” campaign, it was alongside a rebound of ASP.In view of the strong growth in SEA, we see upside to J&amp;T’s full-year parcel volume growth guidance (+56% in SEA). We continue to like J&amp;T, due to (1) the unmatched competitive edge and market share gain potential in SEA (32.8% in 1H25), and (2) strong potential in New markets such as Brazil and the Middle East. We have left our SOTP-based TP unchanged at HK$13.4. Reiterate BUY.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

J&T Express (1519 HK) - Parcel Growth in SEA Further Accelerated in 3Q25

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The consortium has decided NOT to exercise its right to increase the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ane-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35025:1" rel="noopener">ANE Cayman Inc (9956 HK)</a> share alternative cap from 5.00% to 7.50% of outstanding shares. </li>
<li>The positive read-across is that it signals the consortium’s confidence that the vote will pass, as reflected in the quick decision not to lift the cap (deadline was 12 December). </li>
<li>The negative readacross is that shareholders requesting the scrip option likely exceeded the 7.5% upper threshold, and the consortium is hoping that these shareholders will instead take the mix option.</li>
</ul>


The consortium has decided NOT to exercise its right to increase the ANE Cayman Inc (9956 HK) share alternative cap from 5.00% to 7.50% of outstanding shares. 
The positive read-across is that it signals the consortium’s confidence that the vote will pass, as reflected in the quick decision not to lift the cap (deadline was 12 December). 
The negative readacross is that shareholders requesting the scrip option likely exceeded the 7.5% upper threshold, and the consortium is hoping that these shareholders will instead take the mix option.


ANE (9956 HK): Tempting Fate Through an Unchanged Share Alternative Cap?

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>On Friday 22 August, the Hang Seng Index team announced the changes to the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index for the September 2025 rebalance.</li>
<li>Team Quiddity expected 1 ADD (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pop-mart-international-group-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29016:1" rel="noopener">Pop Mart (9992 HK)</a>) and 1 DEL (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/j-t-global-express-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36819:1" rel="noopener">J&amp;T Global Express (1519 HK)</a>) and those names were announced as the sole ADD/DEL pair.</li>
<li>HSCEI sees some capping and re-capping flows but because it has relatively low tracking AUM, the total flows here are limited to about US$400mm.</li>
</ul>


On Friday 22 August, the Hang Seng Index team announced the changes to the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index for the September 2025 rebalance.
Team Quiddity expected 1 ADD (Pop Mart (9992 HK)) and 1 DEL (J&amp;T Global Express (1519 HK)) and those names were announced as the sole ADD/DEL pair.
HSCEI sees some capping and re-capping flows but because it has relatively low tracking AUM, the total flows here are limited to about US$400mm.


[Quiddity Index] Sep25 HSCEI Review Announced; 1 ADD, 1 DEL, Minor Flows

<ul><li>J&amp;T reported an impressive set of operating data in 2Q25, with parcel volume growing at an average of 24% YoY, driven by the robust SEA market (+66% YoY).</li><li>We revise our earnings forecast in 2025E/26E by +18%/-2%, after revising up our parcel volume forecast with a slightly reduction on pricing assumptions.</li><li>Our SOTP-based TP is revised up to HK$10 (from HK$6.9). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</li></ul>

J&amp;T reported an impressive set of operating data in 2Q25, with parcel volume growing at an average of 24% YoY, driven by the robust SEA market (+66% YoY).We revise our earnings forecast in 2025E/26E by +18%/-2%, after revising up our parcel volume forecast with a slightly reduction on pricing assumptions.Our SOTP-based TP is revised up to HK$10 (from HK$6.9). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

J&T Express (1519 HK) - Impressive Parcel Volume Growth in SEA

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

<ul>
<li>Last week J&amp;T Global Express reported Q324 express parcel volume by segment</li>
<li>Volume growth in all segments slowed dramatically compared to Q224</li>
<li>Without needed context, we believe the numbers undermine J&amp;T growth story</li>
</ul>


Last week J&amp;T Global Express reported Q324 express parcel volume by segment
Volume growth in all segments slowed dramatically compared to Q224
Without needed context, we believe the numbers undermine J&amp;T growth story


Quick Take on J&T Global Express Q324: Volume Growth in All Segments Slowed Dramatically

Hong Kong

J&T Global Express Limited operates as a global logistics service provider. The Company offers road express delivery, air express transportation, supply chain warehousing, and other value added services. J&T Global Express conducts business in China, Philippines, Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam, and other countries.

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J&T Global Express (1519 HK)

J&T Express (1519 HK) - Parcel Growth in SEA Further Accelerated in 3Q25

While the parcel volume growth in China slowed to 10% due to the “anti-involution” campaign, it was alongside a rebound of ASP.

CMB International

[Quiddity Index] Sep25 HSCEI Review Announced; 1 ADD, 1 DEL, Minor Flows

The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index sees 1 ADD (Pop Mart) and 1 DEL (J&T Global Express) as expected. Both might be OK shorts. Capping is final...

Travis Lundy

J&T Express (1519 HK) - Impressive Parcel Volume Growth in SEA

J&T reported an impressive set of operating data in 2Q25, with parcel volume growing at an average of 24% YoY, driven by the robust SEA market...

CMB International

Quick Take on J&T Global Express Q324: Volume Growth in All Segments Slowed Dramatically

Last week J&T Global Express reported a sharp slowdown in average daily parcel volume in all of its operating segments. We think the numbers...

Tracking Traffic

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)

J&T Express (1519 HK) - Parcel Growth in SEA Further Accelerated in 3Q25

While the parcel volume growth in China slowed to 10% due to the “anti-involution” campaign, it was alongside a rebound of ASP.

CMB International

ANE (9956 HK): Tempting Fate Through an Unchanged Share Alternative Cap?

The potential negative read-across from an unchanged share cap and uncertainty regarding CDH's stake have lowered my conviction. Safety first is...

Arun George

[Quiddity Index] Sep25 HSCEI Review Announced; 1 ADD, 1 DEL, Minor Flows

The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index sees 1 ADD (Pop Mart) and 1 DEL (J&T Global Express) as expected. Both might be OK shorts. Capping is final...

Travis Lundy

J&T Express (1519 HK) - Impressive Parcel Volume Growth in SEA

J&T reported an impressive set of operating data in 2Q25, with parcel volume growing at an average of 24% YoY, driven by the robust SEA market...

CMB International

Quick Take on J&T Global Express Q324: Volume Growth in All Segments Slowed Dramatically

Last week J&T Global Express reported a sharp slowdown in average daily parcel volume in all of its operating segments. We think the numbers...

Tracking Traffic