Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares Russell 2000 ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The market continues to send mixed signals - some neutral or healthy signals but some risk-off signals as well.</li>
<li>As long as the Russell 2000 index (IWM) is above $208, Russell Micro Cap index (IWC) is above $134-$135, and the S&amp;P 500 is above 4495, we cannot be bearish.</li>
<li>Treasury yields are not breaking down below 1.40%-1.45% support on the 10-year Treasury yield and 1.76% support on the 30-year Treasury yield.</li>
</ul>


The market continues to send mixed signals - some neutral or healthy signals but some risk-off signals as well.
As long as the Russell 2000 index (IWM) is above $208, Russell Micro Cap index (IWC) is above $134-$135, and the S&amp;P 500 is above 4495, we cannot be bearish.
Treasury yields are not breaking down below 1.40%-1.45% support on the 10-year Treasury yield and 1.76% support on the 30-year Treasury yield.


Continued Absence Of Breakdowns Is A Positive Sign; Many Bottoms-Up Stock Recommendations

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Luxshare Precision Industry / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/luxshare-precision-industry-co-ltd-3f59eaa1-da7f-4d9b-add0-c8efccfee0d5" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:50296:1" rel="noopener">Luxshare Precision Industry (2475 HK)</a> priced its H Share at HK$63.28, raising HK$24,266.2 million (US$3.1 billion) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <strong><em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/luxshare-h-share-listing-2475-hk-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:245383" rel="noopener">Luxshare H Share Listing (2475 HK): The Investment Case</a></em></strong>. </li>
<li>The H Share listing price implies a 12.1% AH discount (based on the last close of the A Share price), which is unattractive.</li>
</ul>



Luxshare Precision Industry (2475 HK) priced its H Share at HK$63.28, raising HK$24,266.2 million (US$3.1 billion) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.
I discussed the H Share listing in Luxshare H Share Listing (2475 HK): The Investment Case. 
The H Share listing price implies a 12.1% AH discount (based on the last close of the A Share price), which is unattractive.


Luxshare H Share Listing (2475 HK): Valuation Insights

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/luxshare-precision-industry-co-ltd-3f59eaa1-da7f-4d9b-add0-c8efccfee0d5" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:50296:1" rel="noopener">Luxshare Precision Industry (2475 HK)</a> is a leading manufacturer of electronic components. It is seeking to raise US$3.1 billion.</li>
<li>Luxshare is a global leader in the PIMS industry, holding top positions in the PIMS markets of consumer electronics, automotive electronics, and data centres by revenue in 2025.</li>
<li>The investment case is based on a strong market position, acquisition-driven growth, a relatively stable margin profile, an expected return to cash generation, and a strong balance sheet.  </li>
</ul>



Luxshare Precision Industry (2475 HK) is a leading manufacturer of electronic components. It is seeking to raise US$3.1 billion.
Luxshare is a global leader in the PIMS industry, holding top positions in the PIMS markets of consumer electronics, automotive electronics, and data centres by revenue in 2025.
The investment case is based on a strong market position, acquisition-driven growth, a relatively stable margin profile, an expected return to cash generation, and a strong balance sheet.  


Luxshare H Share Listing (2475 HK): The Investment Case

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>We consider <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/luxshare-precision-industry-co-ltd-3f59eaa1-da7f-4d9b-add0-c8efccfee0d5" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:50296:1" rel="noopener">Luxshare Precision Industry (2475 HK)</a>'s H-share IPO not expensive, especially given its gigantic market capitalisation which will attract interests. </li>
<li>Its 3-year EPS CAGR is forecast at 19.2%, and its position as a local and global leader in precision intelligent manufacturing solutions justify a premium to peers. </li>
<li>The IPO price is set at 17.6% discount to the A-share. It can at least trade on 10% discount, translating into a price of HK$69.12, or 9.2% upside.</li>
</ul>


We consider Luxshare Precision Industry (2475 HK)'s H-share IPO not expensive, especially given its gigantic market capitalisation which will attract interests. 
Its 3-year EPS CAGR is forecast at 19.2%, and its position as a local and global leader in precision intelligent manufacturing solutions justify a premium to peers. 
The IPO price is set at 17.6% discount to the A-share. It can at least trade on 10% discount, translating into a price of HK$69.12, or 9.2% upside.


Luxshare Precision (2475 HK) IPO: We See Some Potential Upside

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>Luxshare Precision launched Hongkong IPO to raise nearly HK$24.3B. They are providers of precision intelligent manufacturing solutions (PIMS) making components and modules to systems in consumer electronics, automotive electronics etc.</li>
<li>Luxshare intends to use the proceeds to expand production capacity, for technology R&amp;D, for strategic investment/acquisition, to repay loans and working capital.</li>
<li>Luxshare Precision has witnessed robust growth and financial performance. The valuation sought seems fairly reasonable. Investors can surely give it a go.</li>
</ul>


Luxshare Precision launched Hongkong IPO to raise nearly HK$24.3B. They are providers of precision intelligent manufacturing solutions (PIMS) making components and modules to systems in consumer electronics, automotive electronics etc.
Luxshare intends to use the proceeds to expand production capacity, for technology R&amp;D, for strategic investment/acquisition, to repay loans and working capital.
Luxshare Precision has witnessed robust growth and financial performance. The valuation sought seems fairly reasonable. Investors can surely give it a go.


Luxshare Precision IPO: Precise and Modulated Growth Engine

United States

Jabil Circuit, Inc. is an electronic manufacturing services provider for international electronics companies in the communications, personal computer, peripheral, consumer, and automotive markets.  The Company offers circuit design, board design from schematic, prototype assembly, volume board assembly, system assembly, repair, and warranty services.

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Jabil Circuit (JBL US)

Continued Absence Of Breakdowns Is A Positive Sign; Many Bottoms-Up Stock Recommendations

As long as the Russell 2000 index (IWM) is above $208, the Russell Micro Caps index (IWC) is above $134-$135, and the S&P 500 is above 4495, we...

Vermilion Research

Luxshare Precision (2475 HK) IPO: We See Some Potential Upside

Luxshare Precision Industry's H-share IPO is attractively priced with strong growth potential and a discount to A-share, offering upside potential.

Osbert Tang, CFA

Luxshare Precision IPO: Precise and Modulated Growth Engine

Luxshare Precision launches Hong Kong IPO to raise HK$24.3B for expansion, R&D, and strategic investments. Strong growth and financial performance...

Tina Banerjee

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Continued Absence Of Breakdowns Is A Positive Sign; Many Bottoms-Up Stock Recommendations

As long as the Russell 2000 index (IWM) is above $208, the Russell Micro Caps index (IWC) is above $134-$135, and the S&P 500 is above 4495, we...

Vermilion Research

Luxshare H Share Listing (2475 HK): Valuation Insights

Luxshare Precision priced its H Share at HK$63.28, raising US$3.1 billion in gross proceeds. In this note, I discuss valuation.

Arun George

Luxshare H Share Listing (2475 HK): The Investment Case

Luxshare, a leading manufacturer of electronic components, is seeking to raise US$3.1 billion. In this note, I discuss the investment case.

Arun George

Luxshare Precision (2475 HK) IPO: We See Some Potential Upside

​Luxshare Precision Industry's H-share IPO is attractively priced with strong growth potential and a discount to A-share, offering upside potential.

Osbert Tang, CFA

Luxshare Precision IPO: Precise and Modulated Growth Engine

​Luxshare Precision launches Hong Kong IPO to raise HK$24.3B for expansion, R&D, and strategic investments. Strong growth and financial performance...

Tina Banerjee

Luxshare Precision Industry's H-share IPO is attractively priced with strong growth potential and a discount to A-share, offering upside potential.

Luxshare Precision launches Hong Kong IPO to raise HK$24.3B for expansion, R&D, and strategic investments. Strong growth and financial performance...