HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Following a 20% rally in 1H25, the market has built in excessive optimism on the HSI. Historically, average returns for Jul-Oct are negative, suggesting caution is needed.</li>
<li>The top 10 best-performing constituents are sitting on 24x FY25F PER, much higher than 11x for the Index, implying that earnings excitement has been well factored in. </li>
<li>Among the worst-performing ones in 1H25, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-electronic-international-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1927:1" rel="noopener">BYD Electronics (285 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/techtronic-industries-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4561:1" rel="noopener">Techtronic Industries (669 HK)</a> look appealing in 2H25.</li>
</ul>


Following a 20% rally in 1H25, the market has built in excessive optimism on the HSI. Historically, average returns for Jul-Oct are negative, suggesting caution is needed.
The top 10 best-performing constituents are sitting on 24x FY25F PER, much higher than 11x for the Index, implying that earnings excitement has been well factored in. 
Among the worst-performing ones in 1H25, BYD Electronics (285 HK), Haier Smart Home (6690 HK), and Techtronic Industries (669 HK) look appealing in 2H25.


Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 20th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Baba, Chow Tai Fook, Za Online, Cspc Pharma, BOC, Petrochina.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 20th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Baba, Chow Tai Fook, Za Online, Cspc Pharma, BOC, Petrochina.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Baba, Chow Tai Fook, Za Online, Cspc Pharma, BOC, Petrochina

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 13th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Beke, Zijin Mining, Wuxi Apptec, AIA, Tencent, BYD, Li Auto.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 13th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Beke, Zijin Mining, Wuxi Apptec, AIA, Tencent, BYD, Li Auto.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Beke, Zijin Mining, Wuxi Apptec, AIA, Tencent, BYD, Li Auto

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 20th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CCB, Meituan, CMB, China Life, Ke, Tencent, Alibaba, Xiaomi, CNOOC, HKEx.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 20th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for CCB, Meituan, CMB, China Life, Ke, Tencent, Alibaba, Xiaomi, CNOOC, HKEx.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jun 20th): CCB, Meituan, CMB, China Life, Ke, Tencent, Alibaba, Xiaomi

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 13th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for BYD, Meituan, CCB, Innovent Biologics, Petrochina, Tencent, Xiaomi, Alibaba, Kuaishou, Xpeng.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 13th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for BYD, Meituan, CCB, Innovent Biologics, Petrochina, Tencent, Xiaomi, Alibaba, Kuaishou, Xpeng.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jun 13th): BYD, Meituan, CCB, Innovent Biologics, Petrochina, Tencent

China

JD Health International Inc. operates drug stores. The Company retails Chinese and Western medicines, nutrition products, health care products, and other products. JD Health International markets its products throughout China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

JD Health International (6618 HK)

HK Strategy: Some Ideas for 2H25

Excessive optimism on HSI after a 20% rally YTD, caution needed for Jul-Oct as historically returns are negative. BYD Electronic, Haier Smart...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HK Short Interest Weekly: Baba, Chow Tai Fook, Za Online, Cspc Pharma, BOC, Petrochina

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 20th and highlight short interest changes in Baba, Chow Tai Fook, Za...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Beke, Zijin Mining, Wuxi Apptec, AIA, Tencent, BYD, Li Auto

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 13th and highlight short interest changes in Beke, Zijin Mining, Wuxi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jun 20th): CCB, Meituan, CMB, China Life, Ke, Tencent, Alibaba, Xiaomi

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for last week and highlighted flows for CCB, Meituan, CMB, China Life, Ke, Tencent, Alibaba, Xiaomi,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jun 13th): BYD, Meituan, CCB, Innovent Biologics, Petrochina, Tencent

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for last week and highlighted flows for BYD, Meituan, CCB, Innovent Biologics, Petrochina, Tencent,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Strategy: Some Ideas for 2H25

​Excessive optimism on HSI after a 20% rally YTD, caution needed for Jul-Oct as historically returns are negative. BYD Electronic, Haier Smart...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HK Short Interest Weekly: Baba, Chow Tai Fook, Za Online, Cspc Pharma, BOC, Petrochina

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 20th and highlight short interest changes in Baba, Chow Tai Fook, Za...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Beke, Zijin Mining, Wuxi Apptec, AIA, Tencent, BYD, Li Auto

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 13th and highlight short interest changes in Beke, Zijin Mining, Wuxi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jun 20th): CCB, Meituan, CMB, China Life, Ke, Tencent, Alibaba, Xiaomi

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for last week and highlighted flows for CCB, Meituan, CMB, China Life, Ke, Tencent, Alibaba, Xiaomi,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jun 13th): BYD, Meituan, CCB, Innovent Biologics, Petrochina, Tencent

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for last week and highlighted flows for BYD, Meituan, CCB, Innovent Biologics, Petrochina, Tencent,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Excessive optimism on HSI after a 20% rally YTD, caution needed for Jul-Oct as historically returns are negative. BYD Electronic, Haier Smart...