HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The elevated crude oil prices are expected to drive persistent inflationary pressure, and this will benefit high dividend yield stocks.</li>
<li>The top 10 high-yield HSI constituents have an average dividend yield of 6.7% for CY26. Since the War, they have outperformed the Index by an average of 1.1pp.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-unicom-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1016:1" rel="noopener">China Unicom HK (762 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:872:1" rel="noopener">Link REIT (823 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tingyi-cayman-islands-holding-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14016:1" rel="noopener">Tingyi Holding (322 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-hongqiao-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1909:1" rel="noopener">China Hongqiao (1378 HK)</a> are at the top of the list.</li>
</ul>


The elevated crude oil prices are expected to drive persistent inflationary pressure, and this will benefit high dividend yield stocks.
The top 10 high-yield HSI constituents have an average dividend yield of 6.7% for CY26. Since the War, they have outperformed the Index by an average of 1.1pp.

China Unicom HK (762 HK), China Mobile (941 HK), Link REIT (823 HK), Tingyi Holding (322 HK), and China Hongqiao (1378 HK) are at the top of the list.


HK Strategy: Winners of Potentially Higher Inflation

Asia Real Estate News Tracker, Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate News Tracker

Tracking developments across Asia's regional real estate markets

<ul><li>Goldman Sachs is launching a $500 million real estate fund focused on opportunities in Japan.</li><li>Significant APAC real estate transactions include a $145 million sale of Incheon Hyatt's wing.</li><li>Alibaba and Ant's $925 million office purchase indicates increased activity in Hong Kong's market.</li></ul>

Goldman Sachs is launching a $500 million real estate fund focused on opportunities in Japan.Significant APAC real estate transactions include a $145 million sale of Incheon Hyatt's wing.Alibaba and Ant's $925 million office purchase indicates increased activity in Hong Kong's market.

Asia Real Estate Tracker (06-Jan-2026): Goldman Sachs launches $500M Japan real estate fund.

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>H1/Q2 results largely match tone of management guidance from the IPO process</li>
<li>Revenue barely grew, and margins shrank due to higher Fulfilment costs (tied to oil)</li>
<li>Shares are down over 27% from IPO; any break from fuel costs could boost bottom-line</li>
</ul>


H1/Q2 results largely match tone of management guidance from the IPO process
Revenue barely grew, and margins shrank due to higher Fulfilment costs (tied to oil)
Shares are down over 27% from IPO; any break from fuel costs could boost bottom-line


SHEIN H1/Q2 Results | Slow Top-Line Growth, More Margin Compression | Fulfilment Costs Up Sharply

<ul>
<li>The top ten highest-yielding stocks under our coverage have an average yield of 7.4% for FY25F and 7.2% for FY26F, attractive amid the declining interest rate environment.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinotrans-limited-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1321:1" rel="noopener">Sinotrans (598 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anhui-expressway-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5236:1" rel="noopener">Anhui Expressway Co Ltd H (995 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-railway-signal-communication-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:613:1" rel="noopener">China Railway Signal &amp; Communication (3969 HK)</a> are better quality ones with 6-7% average yield.</li>
<li>Chinese airlines are low on yields given they are still loss-making, but they have a good earnings rebound in 2H25, making them suitable for aggressive investors.</li>
</ul>


The top ten highest-yielding stocks under our coverage have an average yield of 7.4% for FY25F and 7.2% for FY26F, attractive amid the declining interest rate environment.

Sinotrans (598 HK), Anhui Expressway Co Ltd H (995 HK), and China Railway Signal &amp; Communication (3969 HK) are better quality ones with 6-7% average yield.
Chinese airlines are low on yields given they are still loss-making, but they have a good earnings rebound in 2H25, making them suitable for aggressive investors.


China & HK Strategy: The High-Yield Playbook

<ul>
<li>China-Listed express firms reported softer volume growth in August (vs July and Q2)</li>
<li>SF Holding and Yunda Holding continued to lose share in August; STO Express gained</li>
<li>We believe softer volume growth in August could indicate weak online retail activity</li>
</ul>


China-Listed express firms reported softer volume growth in August (vs July and Q2)
SF Holding and Yunda Holding continued to lose share in August; STO Express gained
We believe softer volume growth in August could indicate weak online retail activity


Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | August Growth Slowed Vs July, Q2 | Suggests Softer Online Retail

China

JD Logistics is a technology-driven supply chain solutions and logistics services provider, offering warehousing, distribution, and express and freight delivery. It serves various industries including fast-moving consumer goods, apparel, and automotive. The company is headquartered in Beijing, China, and was founded in 2007.

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JD Logistics (2618 HK)

HK Strategy: Winners of Potentially Higher Inflation

Elevated crude oil prices are driving inflation, benefiting high dividend yield HSI constituent stocks like China Unicom, China Mobile, Link REIT,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Asia Real Estate Tracker (06-Jan-2026): Goldman Sachs launches $500M Japan real estate fund.

Goldman Sachs plans a $500M real estate fund for Japan, amid notable APAC transactions including a $145M Hyatt sale and Alibaba's $925M Hong Kong...

Asia Real Estate Tracker

SHEIN H1/Q2 Results | Slow Top-Line Growth, More Margin Compression | Fulfilment Costs Up Sharply

SHEIN disclosed H126 financial results, which show few surprises: revenue growth is still depressed, and margins continue to shrink due to high...

Tracking Traffic

China & HK Strategy: The High-Yield Playbook

With the increase in volatility in the near term due to the uncertainties from potentially higher tariffs and the Trump-Xi meeting in APEC, there...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | August Growth Slowed Vs July, Q2 | Suggests Softer Online Retail

Chinese domestic express parcel volume growth slowed in August (vs July and Q2), suggesting softer online retail activity. For stronger growth in...

Tracking Traffic

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Strategy: Winners of Potentially Higher Inflation

​Elevated crude oil prices are driving inflation, benefiting high dividend yield HSI constituent stocks like China Unicom, China Mobile, Link REIT,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Asia Real Estate Tracker (06-Jan-2026): Goldman Sachs launches $500M Japan real estate fund.

Goldman Sachs plans a $500M real estate fund for Japan, amid notable APAC transactions including a $145M Hyatt sale and Alibaba's $925M Hong Kong...

Asia Real Estate Tracker

SHEIN H1/Q2 Results | Slow Top-Line Growth, More Margin Compression | Fulfilment Costs Up Sharply

SHEIN disclosed H126 financial results, which show few surprises: revenue growth is still depressed, and margins continue to shrink due to high...

Tracking Traffic

China & HK Strategy: The High-Yield Playbook

With the increase in volatility in the near term due to the uncertainties from potentially higher tariffs and the Trump-Xi meeting in APEC, there...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | August Growth Slowed Vs July, Q2 | Suggests Softer Online Retail

Chinese domestic express parcel volume growth slowed in August (vs July and Q2), suggesting softer online retail activity. For stronger growth in...

Tracking Traffic

Elevated crude oil prices are driving inflation, benefiting high dividend yield HSI constituent stocks like China Unicom, China Mobile, Link REIT,...