Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

China Nonferrous Mining Corp / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The rally in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-nonferrous-mining-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6505:1" rel="noopener">China Nonferrous Mining Corp (1258 HK)</a>'s stock price over the last 6 months should result in the stock being added to a global index in November. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-nonferrous-mining-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6505:1" rel="noopener">China Nonferrous Mining Corp (1258 HK)</a> has outperformed a lot of its peers and now trades at higher valuations.</li>
<li>Positioning has increased sharply in the last 6 weeks, and yesterday's sharp fall could have been a result of unwinding of some of that positioning.</li>
</ul>


The rally in China Nonferrous Mining Corp (1258 HK)'s stock price over the last 6 months should result in the stock being added to a global index in November. 

China Nonferrous Mining Corp (1258 HK) has outperformed a lot of its peers and now trades at higher valuations.
Positioning has increased sharply in the last 6 weeks, and yesterday's sharp fall could have been a result of unwinding of some of that positioning.


China Nonferrous Mining (1258 HK): Volatility Increases as Global Index Inclusion Nears

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 58.2% as of Oct 10th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.9ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, financials, consumer discretionary and offset by utilities, information technology, communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Cosco Shipping Development, Innocare Pharma, Shanghai Electric, SMIC, CIMC, Gf Securities.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 58.2% as of Oct 10th.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.9ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, financials, consumer discretionary and offset by utilities, information technology, communication services.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Cosco Shipping Development, Innocare Pharma, Shanghai Electric, SMIC, CIMC, Gf Securities.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 10th): Cosco Shipping Development, Innocare Pharma, Shanghai Electric, SMIC

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>HSI extended gains to fresh highs, supported by strong breadth, surging Materials and IT names, and rising single stock option activity</li>
<li>Broad gains across all sectors highlighted strong momentum, with leadership from Materials and Information Technology.</li>
<li>We examine the distribution of returns since the April lows finding that the tails are distinctly unbalanced.</li>
</ul>


HSI extended gains to fresh highs, supported by strong breadth, surging Materials and IT names, and rising single stock option activity
Broad gains across all sectors highlighted strong momentum, with leadership from Materials and Information Technology.
We examine the distribution of returns since the April lows finding that the tails are distinctly unbalanced.


Hong Kong Single Stock Options (Sept 29 – Oct 03): Materials and IT Lead Amid Rising Option Activity

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 59.8% as of Sep 26th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 2.9ppt week-on-week, led by communication services, information technology, financials and offset by real estate, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Cosco Shipping, Zijin Mining, Anjoy Foods, Goldwind, Haier Smart Home, ICBC.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 59.8% as of Sep 26th.
The average A-H premium changed by 2.9ppt week-on-week, led by communication services, information technology, financials and offset by real estate, materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Cosco Shipping, Zijin Mining, Anjoy Foods, Goldwind, Haier Smart Home, ICBC.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 26th): Cosco Shipping, Zijin Mining, Anjoy Foods, Goldwind, Haier Smart Home

Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Commodities

<ul>
<li>Grasberg shock: Force majeure after mudflow cuts ~3% global supply; 50–60kt/month at risk; copper jumped to $10,300/t, near 2024 highs.</li>
<li>Asian impact: Indonesia’s downstream push stalls; Chinese smelters squeezed by collapsing TCs; Japanese/Korean smelters face higher costs; miners and traders gain leverage.</li>
<li>Winners: +$1,000/t adds ~6–8% EBITDA for Zijin, ~5–7% for Jiangxi; Japanese majors 15–45% exposed; Mitsui/Marubeni gain 0.5–2% via mine stakes/trading.</li>
</ul>


Grasberg shock: Force majeure after mudflow cuts ~3% global supply; 50–60kt/month at risk; copper jumped to $10,300/t, near 2024 highs.
Asian impact: Indonesia’s downstream push stalls; Chinese smelters squeezed by collapsing TCs; Japanese/Korean smelters face higher costs; miners and traders gain leverage.
Winners: +$1,000/t adds ~6–8% EBITDA for Zijin, ~5–7% for Jiangxi; Japanese majors 15–45% exposed; Mitsui/Marubeni gain 0.5–2% via mine stakes/trading.


Copper Tightens: Grasberg Disruption Pushes Market Toward $11k–13k/T

China

Jiangxi Copper Company Limited mines and distributes metal products. The Company produces nonferrous metals, ferrous metals, rare metals, and other products. Jiangxi Copper also produces chemical products.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Jiangxi Copper (600362 CH)

China Nonferrous Mining (1258 HK): Volatility Increases as Global Index Inclusion Nears

China Nonferrous Mining should be added to a global index in Nov. Shorts have increased a lot recently. The stock has outperformed most peers and...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 10th): Cosco Shipping Development, Innocare Pharma, Shanghai Electric, SMIC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Cosco Shipping Development, Innocare Pharma, Shanghai...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Single Stock Options (Sept 29 – Oct 03): Materials and IT Lead Amid Rising Option Activity

HSI extended its rally with broad-based gains, sector leadership from Materials and IT, and option activity climbing to the high end of its range.

John Ley

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 26th): Cosco Shipping, Zijin Mining, Anjoy Foods, Goldwind, Haier Smart Home

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Cosco Shipping, Zijin Mining, Anjoy Foods, Goldwind, Haier...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Copper Tightens: Grasberg Disruption Pushes Market Toward $11k–13k/T

Grasberg mudflow cuts global copper supply, prices soar, Asian downstream industry impacted, winners include Zijin and Jiangxi.

Rahul Jain

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China Nonferrous Mining (1258 HK): Volatility Increases as Global Index Inclusion Nears

China Nonferrous Mining should be added to a global index in Nov. Shorts have increased a lot recently. The stock has outperformed most peers and...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 10th): Cosco Shipping Development, Innocare Pharma, Shanghai Electric, SMIC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Cosco Shipping Development, Innocare Pharma, Shanghai...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Single Stock Options (Sept 29 – Oct 03): Materials and IT Lead Amid Rising Option Activity

HSI extended its rally with broad-based gains, sector leadership from Materials and IT, and option activity climbing to the high end of its range.

John Ley

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 26th): Cosco Shipping, Zijin Mining, Anjoy Foods, Goldwind, Haier Smart Home

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Cosco Shipping, Zijin Mining, Anjoy Foods, Goldwind, Haier...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Copper Tightens: Grasberg Disruption Pushes Market Toward $11k–13k/T

​Grasberg mudflow cuts global copper supply, prices soar, Asian downstream industry impacted, winners include Zijin and Jiangxi.

Rahul Jain

Grasberg mudflow cuts global copper supply, prices soar, Asian downstream industry impacted, winners include Zijin and Jiangxi.