Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The global semiconductor industry is poised for substantial growth by 2026, driven by advancements in AI technology.</li><li>BYD is strategically positioning itself to overtake SAIC MG in the German market by 2026 through innovative pricing strategies.</li><li>Taiwan's TASA iSPARK space accelerator aims to enhance its role in the global space supply chain and boost the local notebook industry.</li></ul>

The global semiconductor industry is poised for substantial growth by 2026, driven by advancements in AI technology.BYD is strategically positioning itself to overtake SAIC MG in the German market by 2026 through innovative pricing strategies.Taiwan's TASA iSPARK space accelerator aims to enhance its role in the global space supply chain and boost the local notebook industry.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (13-Feb-2026): Global semiconductor industry outlook for 2026.

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

<ul>
<li>The amount of deposits in the US banking system are substantial in absolute terms and compared with recent periods and older periods</li>
<li>Of the USD17.4tr in deposits in the US banking system, 86% is liquid, available to access</li>
<li>Alongside concerns about the S&amp;P 500 Index or the broad US stock market, we believe it is worthwhile to keep in mind the amount of depositor liquidity</li>
</ul>


The amount of deposits in the US banking system are substantial in absolute terms and compared with recent periods and older periods
Of the USD17.4tr in deposits in the US banking system, 86% is liquid, available to access
Alongside concerns about the S&amp;P 500 Index or the broad US stock market, we believe it is worthwhile to keep in mind the amount of depositor liquidity


US Stock Market - US Banks Have Total Deposits of USD17.4tr, Which Was USD3-4tr ~30 Yrs Ago

<ul>
<li>US banks show continued strength and the overall economy, from the weekly balance sheet data and the CP market</li>
<li>Total loans continue to accelerate in most recent week to 5.4% and loan loss reserves show almost no growth, for many weeks</li>
<li>CP growth rate is less, but it remains high at 26% and this is a good sign of industrial demand for working capital</li>
</ul>


US banks show continued strength and the overall economy, from the weekly balance sheet data and the CP market
Total loans continue to accelerate in most recent week to 5.4% and loan loss reserves show almost no growth, for many weeks
CP growth rate is less, but it remains high at 26% and this is a good sign of industrial demand for working capital


US Banks - Further Accelerating Loans 5.4% YoY, Benign 0.56% LLR YoY, Credit Conditions Very Good

<ul>
<li>New high frequency data from the Fed in its weekly H8 series for US banks, shows loan growth at 5.22% YoY in week 12 November</li>
<li>There has not been a higher rate in a long time, since mid FY23 where the data is distorted from a low base effect in FY22</li>
<li>Steepening slope of weekly loan growth together with no real rise in loan loss allowance, gives a strong view of US credit metrics, demand</li>
</ul>


New high frequency data from the Fed in its weekly H8 series for US banks, shows loan growth at 5.22% YoY in week 12 November
There has not been a higher rate in a long time, since mid FY23 where the data is distorted from a low base effect in FY22
Steepening slope of weekly loan growth together with no real rise in loan loss allowance, gives a strong view of US credit metrics, demand


US Banks - New HFD Shows Loans Accelerating Further at 5.22% YoY, Highest Pace in 2 Years

<ul>
<li>There is good HFD out from the Fed on weekly balance sheets and commercial paper outstanding, suggesting continued underlying strength</li>
<li>CP outstanding for non-financials is rising at rate of 19% YoY in most recent week, which is relatively strong growth for short duration working capital</li>
<li>Weekly loan growth data is 5.09% YoY for week of 5 November, one of highest growth rates in recent weeks, with LDR expansion accelerating</li>
</ul>


There is good HFD out from the Fed on weekly balance sheets and commercial paper outstanding, suggesting continued underlying strength
CP outstanding for non-financials is rising at rate of 19% YoY in most recent week, which is relatively strong growth for short duration working capital
Weekly loan growth data is 5.09% YoY for week of 5 November, one of highest growth rates in recent weeks, with LDR expansion accelerating


US Banks - CP at +19% YoY, LDR Expansion Accelerates, Weekly Loans +5% YoY

United States

JPMorgan Chase & Co. provides global financial services and retail banking. The Company provides services such as investment banking, treasury and securities services, asset management, private banking, card member services, commercial banking, and home finance. JP Morgan Chase serves business enterprises, institutions, and individuals.

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JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM US)

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (13-Feb-2026): Global semiconductor industry outlook for 2026.

The semiconductor industry is set for growth by 2026, with Nvidia praising Foxconn, BYD targeting Germany, Z.ai launching GLM-5, Taiwan's space...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

US Stock Market - US Banks Have Total Deposits of USD17.4tr, Which Was USD3-4tr ~30 Yrs Ago

Total deposits now USD18.5 trillion at 26 November. This is up ~USD663 billion during this year alone. There remains plenty of liquidity in low...

Daniel Tabbush

US Banks - Further Accelerating Loans 5.4% YoY, Benign 0.56% LLR YoY, Credit Conditions Very Good

US banks show continued strength in weekly balance sheets, accelerating loan growth at 5.43% YoY with only 0.56% YoY growth in loan loss reserves....

Daniel Tabbush

US Banks - New HFD Shows Loans Accelerating Further at 5.22% YoY, Highest Pace in 2 Years

New weekly data from the Fed shows loans accelerating for US banks and with loan loss reserves still stable, suggesting strong credit market, overall.

Daniel Tabbush

US Banks - CP at +19% YoY, LDR Expansion Accelerates, Weekly Loans +5% YoY

High frequency data from Fed on commercial paper and balance sheets is positive. Loans are accelerating to 5% YoY and CP is at 19% YoY, with LDR...

Daniel Tabbush

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