External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Scotiabank

Scotiabank

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Scotiabank’s global foreign exchange strategy team provides in-depth regional insights and macro-economic analysis for G10 and advanced economies, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Find technical and fundamental strategy reports focused on trade ideas, market risks, and the unfolding macro outlook. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>After a couple of weeks of indecisive positioning, CFTC data for the week through April 8 showed a more obvious shift in Non-Commercial (speculative) traders’ sentiment against the USD.</li><li>Aggregate net USD shorts increased USD5.5bn, taking the prior week’s small, speculative net USD long to the biggest bear punt on the USD in six months.</li><li>The change in sentiment was reflected in positioning among Real Money (institutional) and Leveraged (hedge fund) traders as well. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

After a couple of weeks of indecisive positioning, CFTC data for the week through April 8 showed a more obvious shift in Non-Commercial (speculative) traders’ sentiment against the USD.Aggregate net USD shorts increased USD5.5bn, taking the prior week’s small, speculative net USD long to the biggest bear punt on the USD in six months.The change in sentiment was reflected in positioning among Real Money (institutional) and Leveraged (hedge fund) traders as well. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - USD Sentiment Weakens, JPY Bullish Mood Builds

Equity Derivatives Broker - Delta One Japan, Vantage Capital Markets Japan

François-Xavier Pustoc'h

Equity Derivatives Broker - Delta One Japan

Independent Financial Broker

Vantage Capital Markets Japan

We provide world class financial solutions to our extensive institutional client base including rapidly growing corporations, leading investment banks, commercial banks, asset managers, private equity funds, family offices and hedge funds.

Our services include capital market offerings and placements, wholesale brokerage and execution of cash and derivative products (both listed and OTC) across a range of asset classes.

VCM has offices in London, Hong Kong, Tokyo and Dubai from where we service our global client base. Our strength lies in the experience and quality of our teams, supported by excellent operations and infrastructure.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Global equities trading off the lows with Japan Equities up 3.46% vs US +6.79%, China +2.68% and World +7.99%.</li><li>Japan Sectors: Nonferrous Metals +7.58%, Electric Appliances +5.72% and Rubber Products +5.19% while Banks only up 2.04%, Insurance -0.90%.</li><li>JPY 5Y Rates stable down 3bps, ITRAXX Japan 5Y moving back to 71.58 (-8.05).</li></ul>

Global equities trading off the lows with Japan Equities up 3.46% vs US +6.79%, China +2.68% and World +7.99%.Japan Sectors: Nonferrous Metals +7.58%, Electric Appliances +5.72% and Rubber Products +5.19% while Banks only up 2.04%, Insurance -0.90%.JPY 5Y Rates stable down 3bps, ITRAXX Japan 5Y moving back to 71.58 (-8.05).

Weekly Macroeconomic Report (Apr 15th, 2025)

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Both Nikkei and USD/JPY re-tested levels last seen in early August, with Nikkei implied vols surging.</li>
<li>Beyond tariffs, we explore what may become the dominant driver of market movements in the weeks ahead.</li>
<li>Skew steepened materially; we examine how open interest at current spot levels could shape the spot-vol relationship going forward.</li>
</ul>


Both Nikkei and USD/JPY re-tested levels last seen in early August, with Nikkei implied vols surging.
Beyond tariffs, we explore what may become the dominant driver of market movements in the weeks ahead.
Skew steepened materially; we examine how open interest at current spot levels could shape the spot-vol relationship going forward.


Nikkei Index Options Weekly (Apr 07 – 11): Vol Spikes, Skew Steepens, Macro Shifts Unfold

<ul><li>Speculative sentiment towards the USD improved in the week through April 1, the first positive shift in Non-Commercial (speculative) accounts’ positioning in the USD in ten weeks.</li><li>Overall speculative positioning showed a near USD4bn swing in aggregate in favour of the USD over the most recent week’s data, likely reflecting investor caution around tariff news.</li><li>Additional data shows Real Money (institutional) traders were a little less negative on the USD overall as well, paring net USD shorts USD2bn or so to USD21.bn. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Speculative sentiment towards the USD improved in the week through April 1, the first positive shift in Non-Commercial (speculative) accounts’ positioning in the USD in ten weeks.Overall speculative positioning showed a near USD4bn swing in aggregate in favour of the USD over the most recent week’s data, likely reflecting investor caution around tariff news.Additional data shows Real Money (institutional) traders were a little less negative on the USD overall as well, paring net USD shorts USD2bn or so to USD21.bn. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - Speculative Traders Edge Back to the USD

<ul><li>Global equities selling off with Japanese equities down 10.33%, World -11.29% and US -11.54% this week. Chinese equities started to sell off now too with HSCE down 12.75%. The sell-off is now across asset class with Energy and Metals moving lower.</li><li>Japan Sectors: Nonferrous Metals -21.14, Banks -18.96%, Oil &amp; Coal -18.09%</li><li>JPY 5Y Rates down 31bps, ITRAXX Japan 5Y jumped 26.54 pts to 83.82</li></ul>

Global equities selling off with Japanese equities down 10.33%, World -11.29% and US -11.54% this week. Chinese equities started to sell off now too with HSCE down 12.75%. The sell-off is now across asset class with Energy and Metals moving lower.Japan Sectors: Nonferrous Metals -21.14, Banks -18.96%, Oil &amp; Coal -18.09%JPY 5Y Rates down 31bps, ITRAXX Japan 5Y jumped 26.54 pts to 83.82

Weekly Macroeconomic Report (Apr 9th, 2025)

Japan

The Japanese yen is the official currency of Japan. 

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
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JPY (USDJPY CURNCY)

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - USD Sentiment Weakens, JPY Bullish Mood Builds

After a couple of weeks of indecisive positioning, CFTC data for the week through April 8 showed a more obvious shift in Non-Commercial...

Scotiabank

Weekly Macroeconomic Report (Apr 15th, 2025)

Global equities trading off the lows with Japan Equities up 3.46% vs US +6.79%, China +2.68% and World +7.99%. Japan Sectors: Nonferrous Metals...

Vantage Capital Markets Japan

Nikkei Index Options Weekly (Apr 07 – 11): Vol Spikes, Skew Steepens, Macro Shifts Unfold

Nikkei and USD/JPY re-test August levels, with implied vols surging. Market movements may be driven by factors beyond tariffs, as open interest at...

John Ley

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - Speculative Traders Edge Back to the USD

Speculative sentiment towards the USD improved in the week through April 1, the first positive shift in Non-Commercial (speculative) accounts’...

Scotiabank

Weekly Macroeconomic Report (Apr 9th, 2025)

Global equities selling off with Japanese equities down 10.33%, World -11.29% and US -11.54% this week. Chinese equities started to sell off now...

Vantage Capital Markets Japan

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - USD Sentiment Weakens, JPY Bullish Mood Builds

After a couple of weeks of indecisive positioning, CFTC data for the week through April 8 showed a more obvious shift in Non-Commercial...

Scotiabank

Weekly Macroeconomic Report (Apr 15th, 2025)

Global equities trading off the lows with Japan Equities up 3.46% vs US +6.79%, China +2.68% and World +7.99%. Japan Sectors: Nonferrous Metals...

Vantage Capital Markets Japan

Nikkei Index Options Weekly (Apr 07 – 11): Vol Spikes, Skew Steepens, Macro Shifts Unfold

​Nikkei and USD/JPY re-test August levels, with implied vols surging. Market movements may be driven by factors beyond tariffs, as open interest at...

John Ley

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - Speculative Traders Edge Back to the USD

Speculative sentiment towards the USD improved in the week through April 1, the first positive shift in Non-Commercial (speculative) accounts’...

Scotiabank

Weekly Macroeconomic Report (Apr 9th, 2025)

Global equities selling off with Japanese equities down 10.33%, World -11.29% and US -11.54% this week. Chinese equities started to sell off now...

Vantage Capital Markets Japan

Nikkei and USD/JPY re-test August levels, with implied vols surging. Market movements may be driven by factors beyond tariffs, as open interest at...