Podcast from BlackRock, The Bid

The Bid

Podcast from BlackRock

The Bid breaks down what’s happening in the world of investing and explores the forces changing the economy and finance. From stock market outlooks and megatrends to geopolitics and technology, BlackRock speaks to thought leaders and industry experts from around the globe about the biggest trends moving markets.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Japan peaked in 1989, but then experienced decades of underperformance and false dawns in terms of economic growth and stock market valuations</li><li>Recent changes in Japan, including increased inflation, wage growth, and more shareholder-friendly behavior from corporations, are leading to renewed optimism for investors</li><li>Japan's history of stagnation and deflation created risk-averse investors, but recent policies and efforts are turning the economy around, making it an exciting investment opportunity</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Japan peaked in 1989, but then experienced decades of underperformance and false dawns in terms of economic growth and stock market valuationsRecent changes in Japan, including increased inflation, wage growth, and more shareholder-friendly behavior from corporations, are leading to renewed optimism for investorsJapan's history of stagnation and deflation created risk-averse investors, but recent policies and efforts are turning the economy around, making it an exciting investment opportunityThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Best Of: Is Japan At An Inflection Point?

Metals, Ores, and Mining Firms, Mint Finance

Pranay Yadav

Metals, Ores, and Mining Firms

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>CPI dropped to 2.9% YoY in July, the lowest since March 2021, while Core CPI cooled to 3.2% YoY, reflecting a broad-based softening in inflation.</li>
<li>Retail sales surged 1% MoM, driven by a volatile 3.6% rise in motor vehicle sales, signaling resilient consumer spending despite mixed economic conditions.</li>
<li>Manufacturing and industrial production contracted, pushing the GDPNow forecast down to 2.4%, highlighting persistent weakness in these sectors.</li>
</ul>


CPI dropped to 2.9% YoY in July, the lowest since March 2021, while Core CPI cooled to 3.2% YoY, reflecting a broad-based softening in inflation.
Retail sales surged 1% MoM, driven by a volatile 3.6% rise in motor vehicle sales, signaling resilient consumer spending despite mixed economic conditions.
Manufacturing and industrial production contracted, pushing the GDPNow forecast down to 2.4%, highlighting persistent weakness in these sectors.


Mint Macro Roundup: U.S. Inflation Dips Below 3% Amid Stronger Retail Sales

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

<ul><li>This week likely marks the end of the positioning squaring phase, as multiple positioning gauges now signal that trades are no longer as extended as they were 2-3 weeks ago across various assets.</li><li>This shift provides an opportunity to revisit our strategies and assess where macroeconomic trends might be steering global assets next, now that the worst of speculative activity has subsided.</li><li>As we all know, the CFTC report is always a week behind in updating markets on positioning, making last Friday’s report particularly interesting.</li></ul>

This week likely marks the end of the positioning squaring phase, as multiple positioning gauges now signal that trades are no longer as extended as they were 2-3 weeks ago across various assets.This shift provides an opportunity to revisit our strategies and assess where macroeconomic trends might be steering global assets next, now that the worst of speculative activity has subsided.As we all know, the CFTC report is always a week behind in updating markets on positioning, making last Friday’s report particularly interesting.

Positioning Watch – Positioning Squaring in JPY is Complete

Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets, At Any Rate

At Any Rate

Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets

Analysts from J.P. Morgan’s Research team take a closer look at the stories behind some of the biggest trends, themes and developments in markets today.

<ul><li>Carry strategies experiencing drawdowns, wiping out YTD gains</li><li>Market expected to stabilize after recent shocks, carry strategy appeal diminished</li><li>Yen likely to take a breather, BOJ stance unchanged, market normalization ongoing.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Carry strategies experiencing drawdowns, wiping out YTD gainsMarket expected to stabilize after recent shocks, carry strategy appeal diminishedYen likely to take a breather, BOJ stance unchanged, market normalization ongoing.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

<ul><li>Happy Sunday, folks!I hope you’ve enjoyed the weekend.</li><li>After a bizarre week, starting with the rug-pulling in Japan on Monday morning, it was time for a well-deserved break over the past two days.</li><li>We’ve encountered tons of questions about the size of the USDJPY carry trade, and here’s what we’ll say on the topic: Those claiming that the carry trade is 10-20 trillion USD have very little understanding of the netting of derivatives and/or the FX hedging policies of international investors.</li></ul>

Happy Sunday, folks!I hope you’ve enjoyed the weekend.After a bizarre week, starting with the rug-pulling in Japan on Monday morning, it was time for a well-deserved break over the past two days.We’ve encountered tons of questions about the size of the USDJPY carry trade, and here’s what we’ll say on the topic: Those claiming that the carry trade is 10-20 trillion USD have very little understanding of the netting of derivatives and/or the FX hedging policies of international investors.

Steno Signals #112 – Liquidity is BOTTOMING

Japan

The Japanese yen is the official currency of Japan. 

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Best Of: Is Japan At An Inflection Point?

The Japanese stock market peaked in December 1989 at 45% of the world's market capitalization, but experienced two decades of low growth and...

The Bid

Mint Macro Roundup: U.S. Inflation Dips Below 3% Amid Stronger Retail Sales

U.S. inflation fell below 3% for the first time in over three years. Despite mixed signals from the manufacturing sector, retail sales showed...

Mint Finance

Positioning Watch – Positioning Squaring in JPY is Complete

Hello everyone, and welcome back to our weekly positioning update. This week likely marks the end of the positioning squaring phase, as multiple...

Steno Research

Global FX: Weeks where decades happen

Carry models have seen drawdowns of 10% erasing YTD gains, central banks cutting rates have diminished the appeal of carry trading, and the Bank of...

At Any Rate

Steno Signals #112 – Liquidity is BOTTOMING

Happy Sunday, folks!I hope you’ve enjoyed the weekend. After a bizarre week, starting with the rug-pulling in Japan on Monday morning, it was time...

Steno Research

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