Research from Quam Securities, Quam Securities

Quam Securities Research

Research from Quam Securities

Quam Securities

Since its inception in 1986, Quam Securities Limited (Quam Securities) has grown to become one of the few mid-tier securities brokerages in Hong Kong with global execution capabilities for both private and institutional clients. It boasts a well-established network in Greater China including Taiwan and in major world markets through the Global Alliance Partners (GAP). Quam Securities is well-positioned not only to harness and drive business within the China Tonghai International Financial Limited but also between China and the world markets.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Despite shipment continued to fall y/y, all major markets experienced deceleration in decline.</li><li>DMs like US &amp; W Europe did better with more material deceleration, which helped Apple to solidify its market position.</li><li>EMs remained weak with APAC (ex-Jap &amp; China), CEE and MEA falling 17-20% y/y, which was a bigger headache to the Android camp, especially the Chinese players, among which, Xiaomi had relatively poorer performance.</li></ul></div></div></div></div>

Despite shipment continued to fall y/y, all major markets experienced deceleration in decline.DMs like US &amp; W Europe did better with more material deceleration, which helped Apple to solidify its market position.EMs remained weak with APAC (ex-Jap &amp; China), CEE and MEA falling 17-20% y/y, which was a bigger headache to the Android camp, especially the Chinese players, among which, Xiaomi had relatively poorer performance.

Smartphone – Global Vs China Decelerated Downtrends

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>For <strong>July 2026</strong>, ten new transactions (<strong>firm and non-binding</strong>) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall <strong>announced deal size of ~US$7bn</strong>.</li>
<li>The<strong> average premium</strong> for the new transactions announced (or first discussed)<strong> in July was ~51%</strong>, and a year-to-date average of ~<strong>48%</strong>.</li>
<li>The average premiums for transactions in 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, and 2019 were 49%, 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.</li>
</ul>


For July 2026, ten new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$7bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in July was ~51%, and a year-to-date average of ~48%.
The average premiums for transactions in 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, and 2019 were 49%, 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.


Asia-Pac M&A [July 2026 Wrap]: Dentsu Soken, Perpetual, OFX, Ns United Kaiun, Gabia, SK Signet, Dida

<ul>
<li>I tally xx - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.</li>
<li>No new deals were discussed on Smartkarma this week. <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/z-fin-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9999:1" rel="noopener">Z Fin (1168 HK)</a></strong> is suspended pursuant to the Takeovers Code. </li>
<li>Key updates/news also took place on: <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/perpetual-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:599:1" rel="noopener">Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU)</a></strong>, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vault-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46317:1" rel="noopener">Vault Minerals Ltd (VAU AU)</a></strong>, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/accent-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14283:1" rel="noopener">Accent Group (AX1 AU)</a></strong>, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/steadfast-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8181:1" rel="noopener">Steadfast (SDF AU)</a></strong>, and <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avarga-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13105:1" rel="noopener">Avarga (AVARGA SP)</a></strong>.</li>
</ul>


I tally xx - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.
No new deals were discussed on Smartkarma this week. Z Fin (1168 HK) is suspended pursuant to the Takeovers Code. 
Key updates/news also took place on: Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU), Vault Minerals Ltd (VAU AU), Accent Group (AX1 AU), Steadfast (SDF AU), and Avarga (AVARGA SP).


Asia-Pac Weekly Wrap: Perpetual, Vault Minerals, Accent Group, Steadfast, Avarga, Z Fin,

<ul>
<li>Stay long <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakaku-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7408:1" rel="noopener">Kakaku.com Inc (2371 JP)</a></strong>. Don't sell yet. And definitely stay long <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/digital-garage-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13747:1" rel="noopener">Digital Garage (4819 JP)</a></strong>.</li>
<li>The <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yamada-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16273:1" rel="noopener">Yamada Corp (6392 JP)</a></strong>/<strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/edion-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14358:1" rel="noopener">Edion Corp (2730 JP)</a></strong> combination gives both a platform. What they do with it is the question that the initial announcement left entirely unanswered.</li>
<li>At a multi-year low implied stub; and an all-time low simple ratio (<strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ytl-corp-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8553:1" rel="noopener">YTL (YTL MK)</a></strong>/<strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ytl-power-international-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1239:1" rel="noopener">YTL Power (YTLP MK)</a></strong>), if you can set up the stub here cleanly, do so.</li>
</ul>


Stay long Kakaku.com Inc (2371 JP). Don't sell yet. And definitely stay long Digital Garage (4819 JP).
The Yamada Corp (6392 JP)/Edion Corp (2730 JP) combination gives both a platform. What they do with it is the question that the initial announcement left entirely unanswered.
At a multi-year low implied stub; and an all-time low simple ratio (YTL (YTL MK)/YTL Power (YTLP MK)), if you can set up the stub here cleanly, do so.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Digital Garage/Kakaku.com, Yamada Corp/Edion Corp, YTL/YTL Power, Strategy

<ul>
<li>For June 2026, just six new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$6bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in June was ~38.5%, and a year-to-date average of 47%.</li>
<li>The average premiums for transactions in 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, and 2019 were 49%, 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.</li>
</ul>


For June 2026, just six new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$6bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in June was ~38.5%, and a year-to-date average of 47%.
The average premiums for transactions in 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, and 2019 were 49%, 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.


Asia-Pac M&A [June 2026 Wrap]: Steadfast, Con Aero Tech, Accent, Cygnus, Ajinomoto Malaysia

Hong Kong

Ju Teng International manufactures casings for notebooks, televisions, and handheld devices, specializing in plastic injection, metal stamping, and surface coating technologies. The company also provides mold development, design, and assembly services for computer, communication, and consumer electronics. It was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.

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Ju Teng International (3336 HK)

Smartphone – Global Vs China Decelerated Downtrends

Despite shipment continued to fall y/y, all major markets experienced deceleration in decline. DMs like US & W Europe did better with more material...

Quam Securities

Asia-Pac M&A [July 2026 Wrap]: Dentsu Soken, Perpetual, OFX, Ns United Kaiun, Gabia, SK Signet, Dida

For the month of July, 8 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of just ~US$5bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac Weekly Wrap: Perpetual, Vault Minerals, Accent Group, Steadfast, Avarga, Z Fin,

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week In Event SPACE: Digital Garage/Kakaku.com, Yamada Corp/Edion Corp, YTL/YTL Power, Strategy

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac M&A [June 2026 Wrap]: Steadfast, Con Aero Tech, Accent, Cygnus, Ajinomoto Malaysia

The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in June was ~38.5%, and a year-to-date average of 47%.

David Blennerhassett

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