Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Back in January 2023, point-of-sale payments play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tyro-payments-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28393:1" rel="noopener">Tyro Payments (TYR AU)</a>  provided Potentia with due diligence to "develop a significantly improved proposal". Potentia subsequently walked away in May 2023.</li>
<li>On the 12th August 2025, Tyro announced it had received unsolicited NBIOs. This development also came to nought. </li>
<li>With shares down 13% YTD, reportedly M&amp;A is back in vogue for Tyro. A scrip Offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/judo-capital" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34571:1" rel="noopener">Judo Capital (JDO AU)</a> is one rumour doing the rounds.</li>
</ul>


Back in January 2023, point-of-sale payments play Tyro Payments (TYR AU)  provided Potentia with due diligence to "develop a significantly improved proposal". Potentia subsequently walked away in May 2023.
On the 12th August 2025, Tyro announced it had received unsolicited NBIOs. This development also came to nought. 
With shares down 13% YTD, reportedly M&amp;A is back in vogue for Tyro. A scrip Offer from Judo Capital (JDO AU) is one rumour doing the rounds.


Tyro Payments (TYR AU) Fielding Offers -  Again?

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Credit growth is persistently weak in Australia, and this is as good of a sign as any, of weak demand or / and worsening credit metrics. </li>
<li>Many other figures at the macro level point to weakness ahead (and now) for Australia's banks even if credit costs appear low.</li>
<li>WBC data on stressed corporate exposures shows all too well how migration can impact bad loans. BEN shows this too, with mortgage loans.</li>
</ul>


Credit growth is persistently weak in Australia, and this is as good of a sign as any, of weak demand or / and worsening credit metrics. 
Many other figures at the macro level point to weakness ahead (and now) for Australia's banks even if credit costs appear low.
WBC data on stressed corporate exposures shows all too well how migration can impact bad loans. BEN shows this too, with mortgage loans.


Australia Banks - Loan Growth Flat Line, Negative Building Approvals, WBC Credit Metrics Concerning

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

National Australia Bank / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: Upcoming ASX bank earnings are in focus, with recent results already triggering sharp one-week moves across the sector.</li>
<li>
Highlight: This Insight screens ASX-listed banks across correlation, dispersion, and dislocation to identify relative value opportunities.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Explore potential bank-sector dislocations around <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/national-australia-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15:1" rel="noopener">National Australia Bank (NAB AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/westpac-banking-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:444:1" rel="noopener">Westpac Banking (WBC AU),</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-queensland-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16606:1" rel="noopener">Bank of Queensland (BOQ AU)</a> ahead of several May earnings events.</li>
</ul>



Context: Upcoming ASX bank earnings are in focus, with recent results already triggering sharp one-week moves across the sector.

Highlight: This Insight screens ASX-listed banks across correlation, dispersion, and dislocation to identify relative value opportunities.

Why Read: Explore potential bank-sector dislocations around National Australia Bank (NAB AU), Westpac Banking (WBC AU), and Bank of Queensland (BOQ AU) ahead of several May earnings events.


ASX Banks: May Earnings Could Widen Relative Value Dislocations

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

JX Advanced Metals / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jx-advanced-metals-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44346:1" rel="noopener">JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP)</a> managed to hold on to its deal price, riding on the copper price resurgance.</li>
<li>On the placements front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/judo-capital" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34571:1" rel="noopener">Judo Capital (JDO AU)</a> was the only largish deal over the past week.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP) managed to hold on to its deal price, riding on the copper price resurgance.
On the placements front, Judo Capital (JDO AU) was the only largish deal over the past week.


ECM Weekly (24th Mar 2025) -JX Advance, DN Solutions, Nanshan Aluminimum, Anthem, EAAA, Judo Capital

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Nicholas Tan

APAC IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>Bain and GIC looking to raise US$130m by selling their remaining stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/judo-capital" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34571:1" rel="noopener">Judo Capital (JDO AU).</a>
</li>
<li>The deal will be a large one to digest at 30.8 days of the stock’s three month ADV, representing 9.2% of its shares outstanding.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


Bain and GIC looking to raise US$130m by selling their remaining stake in Judo Capital (JDO AU).

The deal will be a large one to digest at 30.8 days of the stock’s three month ADV, representing 9.2% of its shares outstanding.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Judo Capital Placement - Clean up but past Deal Didn’t Do Well

Australia

Judo Capital Holdings Limited operates as a holding company. The Company through its subsidairies, offers business loans, credit, and equipment loans, as well as renders financing and leasing services. Judo Capital serves customers in Australia.

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Judo Capital (JDO AU)

Tyro Payments (TYR AU) Fielding Offers - Again?

Tyro's metrics appear undemanding. However, there is currently no deal. And there may not be one anytime soon either; and shares continue to drift...

David Blennerhassett

Australia Banks - Loan Growth Flat Line, Negative Building Approvals, WBC Credit Metrics Concerning

Loan growth flat lining for a long time in Australia, with highly negative growth rates for building approvals, and WBC and BEN showing weakening...

Daniel Tabbush

ASX Banks: May Earnings Could Widen Relative Value Dislocations

ASX bank earnings are approaching, with the Big Four set to report in the first half of May. Recent moves already point to relative value...

Gaudenz Schneider

ECM Weekly (24th Mar 2025) -JX Advance, DN Solutions, Nanshan Aluminimum, Anthem, EAAA, Judo Capital

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Judo Capital Placement - Clean up but past Deal Didn’t Do Well

Bain and GIC looking to raise US$130m by selling their remaining stake in Judo Capital. In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the...

Nicholas Tan

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