Telco/Internet specialist

Kirk Boodry

Redex Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>We plan to do a deep dive on Didi Chuxing now that the prospectus is out but there are a few points related to Softbank that are worth highlighting in advance. In general, the IPO needs to be wildly successful to provide a meaningful bump in sentiment and anything less is probably factored into Softbank’s share price already. At equity valuations of $70-100bn, the upside for SBG shareholders would be ¥93-291/share. That is positive of course but relatively less than what Uber shareholders could expect (6% Didi exposure v SBG 4%) and also a smaller gain that that offered by the headline listings from Beike, DoorDash and Coupang in the last three periods. The good news is a placement before quarter-end helps the public portfolio which is down $8bn+ QTD.</p>

We plan to do a deep dive on Didi Chuxing now that the prospectus is out but there are a few points related to Softbank that are worth highlighting in advance. In general, the IPO needs to be wildly successful to provide a meaningful bump in sentiment and anything less is probably factored into Softbank’s share price already. At equity valuations of $70-100bn, the upside for SBG shareholders would be ¥93-291/share. That is positive of course but relatively less than what Uber shareholders could expect (6% Didi exposure v SBG 4%) and also a smaller gain that that offered by the headline listings from Beike, DoorDash and Coupang in the last three periods. The good news is a placement before quarter-end helps the public portfolio which is down $8bn+ QTD.

Softbank Group - Initial Thoughts on the Didi Chuxing IPO Filing

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>We do not believe that the death of the founder will negatively impact BEKE.</li>
<li>The 1Q21 result is much better than the market consensus.</li>
<li>The booming existing home is exactly the market BEKE is good at.</li>
<li>We believe the stock will have an upside of 36% for the end of 2022.</li>
</ul>


We do not believe that the death of the founder will negatively impact BEKE.
The 1Q21 result is much better than the market consensus.
The booming existing home is exactly the market BEKE is good at.
We believe the stock will have an upside of 36% for the end of 2022.


BK (BEKE): Buy for Strong Quarter When Others Fear for Founder’s Death

<p>When you go to a live music show in Japan there is almost always an encore. In fact, that is the standard. If an artist has truly done well, there may be a second encore. And if the performance has been legendary, there might even be a third. That is how the last year with Vision Fund has felt...</p>

When you go to a live music show in Japan there is almost always an encore. In fact, that is the standard. If an artist has truly done well, there may be a second encore. And if the performance has been legendary, there might even be a third. That is how the last year with Vision Fund has felt...

Softbank Group: Q4 20 Results – Will There Be an Encore?

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

<p>Anjuke, a real estate information and transaction service provider, is looking to raise around US$1bn in its Hong Kong listing. The company is a division of 58.com which was privatised in 2020 and is now being spun out as its real estate division.</p><p>It provides online marketing services for new and existing properties under Anjuke and 50 Real Estate brands.  It also operates Aifang, a new property transaction services platform that facilitates developers’ new property sales through brokerage brands and agents. Anjuke also provides property brokerage brands and agents with its cloud-native, purpose-built SaaS solutions through Qiaofang,</p><p>Based on iResearch’s report, the company was the market leader by average mobile monthly active users (MAU) in 4Q20 at 67m. As of Dec 20, it had over 726,000 paying agents on its platform. Anjuke was also the leader in online marketing service revenue in 2020 with 66.8% market share.</p><p>Its financial performance has been sort of a mixed bag with Anjuke reporting 21.9% YoY growth in revenue in FY19, 17.6% growth in gross profit, 23% growth in EBITDA and 21% increase in PATMI. However, in FY20, revenue growth slowed down to 6.24% YoY and even though the company managed to grow its gross profit by 7.8%, EBITDA was down 9% YoY, while PATMI was down 15% YoY.</p><p>In addition, there are also related parties and other issues that one needs to be aware of.</p>

Anjuke, a real estate information and transaction service provider, is looking to raise around US$1bn in its Hong Kong listing. The company is a division of 58.com which was privatised in 2020 and is now being spun out as its real estate division.It provides online marketing services for new and existing properties under Anjuke and 50 Real Estate brands.  It also operates Aifang, a new property transaction services platform that facilitates developers’ new property sales through brokerage brands and agents. Anjuke also provides property brokerage brands and agents with its cloud-native, purpose-built SaaS solutions through Qiaofang,Based on iResearch’s report, the company was the market leader by average mobile monthly active users (MAU) in 4Q20 at 67m. As of Dec 20, it had over 726,000 paying agents on its platform. Anjuke was also the leader in online marketing service revenue in 2020 with 66.8% market share.Its financial performance has been sort of a mixed bag with Anjuke reporting 21.9% YoY growth in revenue in FY19, 17.6% growth in gross profit, 23% growth in EBITDA and 21% increase in PATMI. However, in FY20, revenue growth slowed down to 6.24% YoY and even though the company managed to grow its gross profit by 7.8%, EBITDA was down 9% YoY, while PATMI was down 15% YoY.In addition, there are also related parties and other issues that one needs to be aware of.

Anjuke Pre-IPO - Mixed (Positive and Negative) Developments

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/waterdrop-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33018:1" rel="noopener">Waterdrop Inc (WDH US)</a> is the largest independent third-party insurance platform in China as measured by life and health insurance first-year premiums (FYP) distributed in 2020, according to iResearch. Waterdrop is backed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Holdings (700 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swiss-re-ag-1f83dcbc-730e-46fa-82f2-bfe7e8e361a1" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27914:1" rel="noopener">Swiss Re AG (SREN SW)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>.</p></div><div><p>At the mid-point of the proposed IPO price range of $10.00-12.00 per ADS, Waterdrop will have a market cap of $4.3 billion. At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the net proceeds are $301.6 million. New and existing shareholders have indicated on $210 million of the IPO, including Boyu Capital ($100 million), HOPU Investments (at least $80 million), and Kevin Sunny Holding ($30 million). The indications of interest represent 63.6% of the ADSs on offer at the mid-point of the IPO price range.</p></div><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/waterdrop-ipo-initiation-going-for-brokers" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:50610" rel="noopener">Waterdrop IPO Initiation: Going for Brokers</a>, we opined that as a leading online third-party insurance broker, Waterdrop is well-positioned to benefit from favourable industry trends. The key unknown is whether the changing regulations will throw a spanner in the works. Notwithstanding the regulatory overhang, we concluded that Waterdrop is worth a look. Our analysis suggests that the IPO price range is full at the high-end but has some upside at the low-end. </p></div></div></div>

Waterdrop Inc (WDH US) is the largest independent third-party insurance platform in China as measured by life and health insurance first-year premiums (FYP) distributed in 2020, according to iResearch. Waterdrop is backed by Tencent Holdings (700 HK), Swiss Re AG (SREN SW) and Meituan (3690 HK).At the mid-point of the proposed IPO price range of $10.00-12.00 per ADS, Waterdrop will have a market cap of $4.3 billion. At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the net proceeds are $301.6 million. New and existing shareholders have indicated on $210 million of the IPO, including Boyu Capital ($100 million), HOPU Investments (at least $80 million), and Kevin Sunny Holding ($30 million). The indications of interest represent 63.6% of the ADSs on offer at the mid-point of the IPO price range.In Waterdrop IPO Initiation: Going for Brokers, we opined that as a leading online third-party insurance broker, Waterdrop is well-positioned to benefit from favourable industry trends. The key unknown is whether the changing regulations will throw a spanner in the works. Notwithstanding the regulatory overhang, we concluded that Waterdrop is worth a look. Our analysis suggests that the IPO price range is full at the high-end but has some upside at the low-end. 

China

KE Holdings Inc. operates as an integrated online and offline platform for housing transactions and services. The Company offers existing and new home sales, home rentals, home renovation, real estate financial solutions, and other services. KE Holdings conducts businesses in China.

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KE Holdings (BEKE US)

Softbank Group - Initial Thoughts on the Didi Chuxing IPO Filing

Softbank's reaction to Didi's IPO filing has been muted as expectations are set and only a wildly sucecssful debut would boost sentiment. Also,...

Kirk Boodry

BK (BEKE): Buy for Strong Quarter When Others Fear for Founder’s Death

We do not believe that the death of the founder will negatively impact BEKE. The 1Q21 result is much better than the market consensus. The booming...

Ming Lu

Softbank Group: Q4 20 Results – Will There Be an Encore?

Softbank reported record earnings but this was anticipated and what happens moving forward is more relevant. It has high exposure to a tech sell...

Kirk Boodry

Anjuke Pre-IPO - Mixed (Positive and Negative) Developments

Anjuke, a real estate information and transaction service provider, is looking to raise around US$1bn in its Hong Kong listing. The company is a...

Sumeet Singh

Waterdrop IPO: Valuation Insights

Waterdrop has launched its IPO to raise net proceeds of $301.6 million at the mid-point of the price range of $10-12. The price range is full at...

Arun George

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