Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Another play is spread trading Korea Zinc single-stock futures: go long on the front-month and short on the farther-out contract to profit from price convergence.</li>
<li>The key is when longer-dated futures' volume will rise and if the basis difference with front-month futures will create arbitrage opportunities. November's volume seems more for hedging than arbitrage.</li>
<li>MBK is likely to launch a second tender offer, potentially extending the spread trading timeline and giving us more chances to hit sweet spots.</li>
</ul>


Another play is spread trading Korea Zinc single-stock futures: go long on the front-month and short on the farther-out contract to profit from price convergence.
The key is when longer-dated futures' volume will rise and if the basis difference with front-month futures will create arbitrage opportunities. November's volume seems more for hedging than arbitrage.
MBK is likely to launch a second tender offer, potentially extending the spread trading timeline and giving us more chances to hit sweet spots.


Another Play to Consider: Spread Trading Korea Zinc Single-Stock Futures

<ul>
<li>MBK's strategy is clear: they believe they have the upper hand with the current price level and are optimistic about a favorable ruling on the second injunction.</li>
<li>All eyes are on Choi to raise the price by this Friday, the 11th, before the deadline, especially with the FSS's scrutiny looming.</li>
<li>If that happens, MBK will likely go all-in on the second injunction whose hearing is on the 18th. Choi raising the price this Friday won’t significantly boost Korea Zinc’s stock.</li>
</ul>


MBK's strategy is clear: they believe they have the upper hand with the current price level and are optimistic about a favorable ruling on the second injunction.
All eyes are on Choi to raise the price by this Friday, the 11th, before the deadline, especially with the FSS's scrutiny looming.
If that happens, MBK will likely go all-in on the second injunction whose hearing is on the 18th. Choi raising the price this Friday won’t significantly boost Korea Zinc’s stock.


MBK Rules Out Further Tender Price Hike for Korea Zinc, Game Plans Shift

<ul>
<li>It’s unclear if this will turn into a tender offer battle like Korea Zinc, and we need to assess both sides’ financial strength carefully.</li>
<li>Today’s reports suggest Sono has more financial flexibility than T'way Holdings, but we should be cautious. T'way Air might also consider buying back shares with borrowed funds.</li>
<li>T'way Air has fewer institutional investors and more available float than Korea Zinc, suggesting significant price swings and an attractive trading setup, as seen in today’s volume spike.</li>
</ul>


It’s unclear if this will turn into a tender offer battle like Korea Zinc, and we need to assess both sides’ financial strength carefully.
Today’s reports suggest Sono has more financial flexibility than T'way Holdings, but we should be cautious. T'way Air might also consider buying back shares with borrowed funds.
T'way Air has fewer institutional investors and more available float than Korea Zinc, suggesting significant price swings and an attractive trading setup, as seen in today’s volume spike.


Digging into Today’s Potential T'way Air Tender Offer Saga

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>We discuss the impact on the balance sheet and debt ratios of Korea Zinc's efforts to conduct a massive debt increase to buyback and cancel shares. </li>
<li>Although the Choi family may consider raising further debt to increase the tender offer price even further, we believe this could pose further balance sheet risk on Korea Zinc. </li>
<li>We provide sensitivity analysis of higher debt on the interest coverage ratios of Korea Zinc. </li>
</ul>


We discuss the impact on the balance sheet and debt ratios of Korea Zinc's efforts to conduct a massive debt increase to buyback and cancel shares. 
Although the Choi family may consider raising further debt to increase the tender offer price even further, we believe this could pose further balance sheet risk on Korea Zinc. 
We provide sensitivity analysis of higher debt on the interest coverage ratios of Korea Zinc. 


Impact on Korea Zinc's Balance Sheet and Debt Ratios Post Massive Debt Raise Proposed by Choi Family

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Oct 4th which has an aggregated holding worth USD530.1bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD711mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Oct 4th which has an aggregated holding worth USD530.1bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD711mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 4th): Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics

South Korea

Korea Zinc Co., Ltd. specializes in non-ferrous metal smelting industry.  The Company manufactures zinc ingots, electrolytic gold, silver, lead, sulfuric acid, and copper.  Korea Zinc provides its products to domestic and overseas markets.

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Korea Zinc (010130 KS)

Another Play to Consider: Spread Trading Korea Zinc Single-Stock Futures

This post explores spread trading Korea Zinc single-stock futures: go long on the front-month and short on the farther-out contract to profit from...

Sanghyun Park

MBK Rules Out Further Tender Price Hike for Korea Zinc, Game Plans Shift

Some potential key moves on Korea Zinc’s buyback tender and Choi’s SPC play on the Young Poong Precision offer just dropped. This intel’s fresh off...

Sanghyun Park

Digging into Today’s Potential T'way Air Tender Offer Saga

This post dives into today’s potential T'way Air tender offer saga, unpacking the local media reports that circulated in the market throughout the...

Sanghyun Park

Impact on Korea Zinc's Balance Sheet and Debt Ratios Post Massive Debt Raise Proposed by Choi Family

On 7 October, Korea Zinc announced that of the 1.5 trillion won in its own funds that it previously announced it would invest for the share...

Douglas Kim

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 4th): Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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