Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>MBK officially disclosed that they scooped up 5.34% of the Korea Zinc (010130 KS) shares in the tender that wrapped up today.</li>
<li>MBK scored a partial win by securing more voting rights than Choi, with unexpected backing from foreign and local institutions, likely due to proration risk over legal issues.</li>
<li>Still, securing just 5.34% puts MBK in a tough position, requiring them to navigate minority shareholder votes while pushing hard on the legal front to block the buyback.</li>
</ul>


MBK officially disclosed that they scooped up 5.34% of the Korea Zinc (010130 KS) shares in the tender that wrapped up today.
MBK scored a partial win by securing more voting rights than Choi, with unexpected backing from foreign and local institutions, likely due to proration risk over legal issues.
Still, securing just 5.34% puts MBK in a tough position, requiring them to navigate minority shareholder votes while pushing hard on the legal front to block the buyback.


MBK's Korea Zinc & Young Poong Precision Tender Results Officially Out

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Oct 11th which has an aggregated holding worth USD532.4bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD61mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Sk Hynix, Hanwha Aerospace, Korzinc, Samsung Electronics, Samsung Elec (PREF).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Oct 11th which has an aggregated holding worth USD532.4bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD61mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Sk Hynix, Hanwha Aerospace, Korzinc, Samsung Electronics, Samsung Elec (PREF).


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 11th): Sk Hynix, Hanwha Aerospace, Korzinc, Samsung Electronics

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guotai-junan-securities-co-ltd-5dfaf2c5-76d3-4f34-a77d-118787fd7091" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23752:1" rel="noopener">Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haitong-securities-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5665:1" rel="noopener">Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK)</a> merger is a done deal.  The key risk, as with<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-traditional-chinese-medicine" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:351:1" rel="noopener">TCM (570 HK)</a>'s Offer, is one of timing.</li>
<li>IF you are an arbitrageur,  Buy <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shin-kong-financial-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15351:1" rel="noopener">Shin Kong Financial Holding (2888 TT)</a> vs A Basket of FHC Peers (not including Taishin).</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/first-pacific-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:173:1" rel="noopener">First Pacific Co (142 HK)</a>'s 46.2% share of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/metro-pacific-investments-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1054:1" rel="noopener">Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM)</a>at delisting last year was worth ~US$1.25bn. It is now potentially worth ~US$3.21bn. </li>
</ul>


The Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK)/Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK) merger is a done deal.  The key risk, as withTCM (570 HK)'s Offer, is one of timing.
IF you are an arbitrageur,  Buy Shin Kong Financial Holding (2888 TT) vs A Basket of FHC Peers (not including Taishin).

First Pacific Co (142 HK)'s 46.2% share of Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM)at delisting last year was worth ~US$1.25bn. It is now potentially worth ~US$3.21bn. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Guotai/Haitong, Shin Kong, China Conch Ventures, First Pac, Zhejiang E'way

<ul>
<li>If NPS and passive funds each tender half, it could hit 24%, pushing investors to consider both sides. The market’s eyeing a ratio of about MBK 3 to Choi 7.</li>
<li>This tight vote could drag out the event longer than expected, and MBK might scoop up more shares if they miss their minimum target.</li>
<li>MBK will likely go for open market buys against Korea Zinc’s buyback. Consider tendering to MBK Monday and spread trading futures, or push Korea Zinc to raise their buyback offer.</li>
</ul>


If NPS and passive funds each tender half, it could hit 24%, pushing investors to consider both sides. The market’s eyeing a ratio of about MBK 3 to Choi 7.
This tight vote could drag out the event longer than expected, and MBK might scoop up more shares if they miss their minimum target.
MBK will likely go for open market buys against Korea Zinc’s buyback. Consider tendering to MBK Monday and spread trading futures, or push Korea Zinc to raise their buyback offer.


Korea Zinc: Latest Stockholder Record for Proration Risk

<ul>
<li>I tally 45 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Two new deals discussed this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rio-tinto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13:1" rel="noopener">Rio Tinto (RIO AU)</a>'s tilt for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arcadium-lithium-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40438:1" rel="noopener">Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU)</a>, and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guotai-junan-securities-co-ltd-5dfaf2c5-76d3-4f34-a77d-118787fd7091" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23752:1" rel="noopener">Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haitong-securities-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5665:1" rel="noopener">Haitong Securities  (H) (6837 HK)</a> merger.</li>
<li>Key updates took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pacific-smiles-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2891:1" rel="noopener">Pacific Smiles (PSQ AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-traditional-chinese-medicine" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:351:1" rel="noopener">China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-zinc-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17944:1" rel="noopener">Korea Zinc (010130 KS)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 45 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Two new deals discussed this week: Rio Tinto (RIO AU)'s tilt for Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU), and the Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK)/Haitong Securities  (H) (6837 HK) merger.
Key updates took place on: Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP), Pacific Smiles (PSQ AU), China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK) and Korea Zinc (010130 KS).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Rio/Arcadium, Seven & I, Pacific Smiles, China TCM, Korea Zinc

South Korea

Korea Zinc Co., Ltd. specializes in non-ferrous metal smelting industry.  The Company manufactures zinc ingots, electrolytic gold, silver, lead, sulfuric acid, and copper.  Korea Zinc provides its products to domestic and overseas markets.

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Korea Zinc (010130 KS)

MBK's Korea Zinc & Young Poong Precision Tender Results Officially Out

This post details the official results of MBK's tender offers for Korea Zinc and Young Poong Precision, which got released in regulatory filings...

Sanghyun Park

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 11th): Sk Hynix, Hanwha Aerospace, Korzinc, Samsung Electronics

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Sk Hynix, Hanwha Aerospace, Korzinc, Samsung...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Last Week in Event SPACE: Guotai/Haitong, Shin Kong, China Conch Ventures, First Pac, Zhejiang E'way

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Korea Zinc: Latest Stockholder Record for Proration Risk

This post pulls together the latest intel and data on Korea Zinc's shareholder list to assess proration risk right before the big finale of MBK's...

Sanghyun Park

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Rio/Arcadium, Seven & I, Pacific Smiles, China TCM, Korea Zinc

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

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