IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>CVC has increased its <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mandom-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8353:1" rel="noopener">Mandom Corp (4917 JP)</a> offer by 23.2% to JPY3,105, a 0.2% premium to KKR’s potential JPY3,100 offer and a 1.7% discount to the last close.</li>
<li>The Board recommends CVC's offer due to its higher price, acceptable financing, enhanced value plan, and shorter timelines. The Board has terminated discussions with KKR. </li>
<li>KKR could return with a revised and potentially hostile offer. However, the probability is low, as its current offer resulted from an auction.  </li>
</ul>


CVC has increased its Mandom Corp (4917 JP) offer by 23.2% to JPY3,105, a 0.2% premium to KKR’s potential JPY3,100 offer and a 1.7% discount to the last close.
The Board recommends CVC's offer due to its higher price, acceptable financing, enhanced value plan, and shorter timelines. The Board has terminated discussions with KKR. 
KKR could return with a revised and potentially hostile offer. However, the probability is low, as its current offer resulted from an auction.  


Mandom (4917 JP): CVC Outbids and Outmanoeuvres KKR

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Micron numbers will be amazing, but will they be enough to justify the parabolic price actions? Likely, yes. </li>
<li>Intel hiring a Trump proxy a further sign its aligning itself with the Govt's designs for onshore chip production. </li>
<li>Estee lauder is surging but what about Shiseido and Kose? </li>
</ul>


Micron numbers will be amazing, but will they be enough to justify the parabolic price actions? Likely, yes. 
Intel hiring a Trump proxy a further sign its aligning itself with the Govt's designs for onshore chip production. 
Estee lauder is surging but what about Shiseido and Kose? 


Tech Cautious Ahead of Micron, but Dip Buying Starting to Take Hold

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mandom-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8353:1" rel="noopener">Mandom Corp (4917 JP)</a> has disclosed that it has received a non-binding letter of intent from a third-party candidate, with purchase prices exceeding the CVC JPY2,520 offer.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.nikkei.com/article/DGXZQOUB0996J0Z01C25A2000000/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Nikkei</a> identifies the bidder as KKR and states that the offer is over JPY2,800, a 11.1% premium to the CVC offer. KKR want a Board-recommended offer.</li>
<li>CVC has extended the close of its offer to 5 January 2026, but will need to revise terms as its irrevocables (particularly Murakami and Hibiki) can switch to KKR.</li>
</ul>



Mandom Corp (4917 JP) has disclosed that it has received a non-binding letter of intent from a third-party candidate, with purchase prices exceeding the CVC JPY2,520 offer.
The Nikkei identifies the bidder as KKR and states that the offer is over JPY2,800, a 11.1% premium to the CVC offer. KKR want a Board-recommended offer.
CVC has extended the close of its offer to 5 January 2026, but will need to revise terms as its irrevocables (particularly Murakami and Hibiki) can switch to KKR.


Mandom (4917 JP): When You Thought It Was Done, KKR Emerges as a Competing Bidder

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mandom-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8353:1" rel="noopener">Mandom Corp (4917 JP)</a> has disclosed that the CVC-sponsored MBO price has increased by 28.6% from JPY1,960 to JPY2,520.</li>
<li>The revised terms mark a big win for activists, Murakami and Hibiki. Both activists will tender, with Hibiki reinvesting around 40% of its proceeds into the offeror's parent entity.</li>
<li>The revised terms are attractive, and this is a done deal. The offer closes on 18 December, with payment from 25 December.</li>
</ul>



Mandom Corp (4917 JP) has disclosed that the CVC-sponsored MBO price has increased by 28.6% from JPY1,960 to JPY2,520.
The revised terms mark a big win for activists, Murakami and Hibiki. Both activists will tender, with Hibiki reinvesting around 40% of its proceeds into the offeror's parent entity.
The revised terms are attractive, and this is a done deal. The offer closes on 18 December, with payment from 25 December.


Mandom (4917 JP): A Big Win for Activists as CVC-Sponsored MBO Price Raised to JPY2,520

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mandom-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8353:1" rel="noopener">Mandom Corp (4917 JP)</a> has proposed countermeasures in response to Murakami’s 18.87% voting stake and to ostensibly secure time for an alternative, viable (higher) offer.</li>
<li>The read-across from the proposal is that CVC’s offer at current terms will fail, CVC is unwilling to match Murakami/Hibiki’s expectations, and there could be genuine interest from third-party bidders. </li>
<li>Nevertheless, countermeasures are unnecessary as the share price and presence of activists provide the time needed for the Board’s purported aim to secure a higher offer.       </li>
</ul>



Mandom Corp (4917 JP) has proposed countermeasures in response to Murakami’s 18.87% voting stake and to ostensibly secure time for an alternative, viable (higher) offer.
The read-across from the proposal is that CVC’s offer at current terms will fail, CVC is unwilling to match Murakami/Hibiki’s expectations, and there could be genuine interest from third-party bidders. 
Nevertheless, countermeasures are unnecessary as the share price and presence of activists provide the time needed for the Board’s purported aim to secure a higher offer.       


Mandom (4917 JP): Countermeasures Ostensibly to Buy Time for a Higher Offer

Japan

KOSE Corporation manufactures, retails, and exports cosmetics including make up, skin care, and hair care products.  The Company sells its products in Hong Kong, China, Singapore, and Malaysia.

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Kose Corp (4922 JP)

Mandom (4917 JP): CVC Outbids and Outmanoeuvres KKR

The Board recommends CVC's offer due to its higher price, acceptable financing, enhanced value plan, and shorter timelines. KKR could return with a...

Arun George

Tech Cautious Ahead of Micron, but Dip Buying Starting to Take Hold

Micron's strong numbers may justify high prices, Intel aligning with government for chip production, Estee Lauder surging but competition from...

Andrew Jackson

Mandom (4917 JP): When You Thought It Was Done, KKR Emerges as a Competing Bidder

CVC has extended the close of its offer to 5 January 2026, but will need to revise terms as its irrevocables (particularly Murakami and Hibiki) can...

Arun George

Mandom (4917 JP): A Big Win for Activists as CVC-Sponsored MBO Price Raised to JPY2,520

The revised terms mark a big win for activists, Murakami and Hibiki. Both activists will tender, with Hibiki reinvesting around 40% of its...

Arun George

Mandom (4917 JP): Countermeasures Ostensibly to Buy Time for a Higher Offer

The method is regrettable, but the purported intention to secure time for a higher offer is acceptable. The current offer terms are untenable, and...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Mandom (4917 JP): CVC Outbids and Outmanoeuvres KKR

The Board recommends CVC's offer due to its higher price, acceptable financing, enhanced value plan, and shorter timelines. KKR could return with a...

Arun George

Tech Cautious Ahead of Micron, but Dip Buying Starting to Take Hold

​Micron's strong numbers may justify high prices, Intel aligning with government for chip production, Estee Lauder surging but competition from...

Andrew Jackson

Mandom (4917 JP): When You Thought It Was Done, KKR Emerges as a Competing Bidder

CVC has extended the close of its offer to 5 January 2026, but will need to revise terms as its irrevocables (particularly Murakami and Hibiki) can...

Arun George

Mandom (4917 JP): A Big Win for Activists as CVC-Sponsored MBO Price Raised to JPY2,520

The revised terms mark a big win for activists, Murakami and Hibiki. Both activists will tender, with Hibiki reinvesting around 40% of its...

Arun George

Mandom (4917 JP): Countermeasures Ostensibly to Buy Time for a Higher Offer

The method is regrettable, but the purported intention to secure time for a higher offer is acceptable. The current offer terms are untenable, and...

Arun George

Micron's strong numbers may justify high prices, Intel aligning with government for chip production, Estee Lauder surging but competition from...