SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust / Equity Bottom-Up

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT SP)

<ul><li>REIT Watch - Retail S-Reits see double-digit pickup; downtown malls shine Retail sales in Singapore went up by 13 per cent year on year (yoy) in August, marking its fifth consecutive month of double-digit yoy growth.</li><li>CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust reported 15.9 per cent yoy growth in retail tenant sales and 12.5 per cent yoy growth in shopper traffic for H1 2022.</li></ul>

REIT Watch - Retail S-Reits see double-digit pickup; downtown malls shine Retail sales in Singapore went up by 13 per cent year on year (yoy) in August, marking its fifth consecutive month of double-digit yoy growth.CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust reported 15.9 per cent yoy growth in retail tenant sales and 12.5 per cent yoy growth in shopper traffic for H1 2022.

REIT Watch - Retail S-Reits see double-digit pickup; downtown malls shine

<ul><li>For the quarter, Singapore’s Reits and Property Trusts (S-Reits) sector declined 7 per cent in total returns, slightly outperforming the 10 per cent decline of the broader FTSE EPRA Nareit Developed Index.</li><li>Across the sub-sectors, industrial S-Reits saw the least declines, averaging -3 per cent total returns during the quarter, while office S-Reits saw the most declines, averaging -16 per cent total returns.</li><li>Digital Core Reit received net inflows of S$0.2 million from institutional investors and S million from retail investors.</li></ul>

For the quarter, Singapore’s Reits and Property Trusts (S-Reits) sector declined 7 per cent in total returns, slightly outperforming the 10 per cent decline of the broader FTSE EPRA Nareit Developed Index.Across the sub-sectors, industrial S-Reits saw the least declines, averaging -3 per cent total returns during the quarter, while office S-Reits saw the most declines, averaging -16 per cent total returns.Digital Core Reit received net inflows of S$0.2 million from institutional investors and S million from retail investors.

REIT Watch - 5 S-Reits with net institutional and retail inflows in Q3 2022

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In June-July I warned of a reinvestment trade into S-REITs due to the S$2.0-3.0bn cash-out by investors in Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust and sellers into the SPHREIT Chain Offer.</li>
<li>Many investors who would need to re-allocate. The trade was to buy major S-REITs. From my last insight, a basket is up 5.3%. MCT has already topped out vs peers.</li>
<li>The question is.... is there still a trade left to run?</li>
</ul>


In June-July I warned of a reinvestment trade into S-REITs due to the S$2.0-3.0bn cash-out by investors in Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust and sellers into the SPHREIT Chain Offer.
Many investors who would need to re-allocate. The trade was to buy major S-REITs. From my last insight, a basket is up 5.3%. MCT has already topped out vs peers.
The question is.... is there still a trade left to run?


Far East Hospitality Trust / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>REIT Watch - SGTI 2022 shows more S-Reits reporting non-financial metrics S-Reits and business trusts see an improvement in their Singapore Governance and Transparency Index (SGTI) 2022 scores, increasing marginally to 85.3 points from 85.0 last year.</li><li>Overall, the mean score of the Reits and business trust category increased by 0.3 points year on year and the mean bonus points for good disclosure practices increased by 0.7 points to 19.2 points.</li></ul>

REIT Watch - SGTI 2022 shows more S-Reits reporting non-financial metrics S-Reits and business trusts see an improvement in their Singapore Governance and Transparency Index (SGTI) 2022 scores, increasing marginally to 85.3 points from 85.0 last year.Overall, the mean score of the Reits and business trust category increased by 0.3 points year on year and the mean bonus points for good disclosure practices increased by 0.7 points to 19.2 points.

REIT Watch - SGTI 2022 shows more S-Reits reporting non-financial metrics

Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust / Event-Driven

Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust (MPACT SP)

<ul>
<li>Given recent corporate events in S-REIT land, there <em>could be</em> some considerable money to be allocated to the sector near-term</li>
<li>These flows come at a time when prices are down off highs and liquidity is low.</li>
<li>There could be some price impact on certain types of S-REITs near-term.</li>
</ul>


Given recent corporate events in S-REIT land, there could be some considerable money to be allocated to the sector near-term
These flows come at a time when prices are down off highs and liquidity is low.
There could be some price impact on certain types of S-REITs near-term.


Large Potential S-REIT Flows in the Next Two Weeks

Singapore

Lendlease Global Commercial REIT is a Singapore real estate investment trust that invests in a diversified portfolio of stabilized income-producing real estate assets globally, primarily for retail and/or office purposes. Its portfolio includes retail properties in Singapore and Grade A commercial buildings in Milan, Italy. The company was incorporated in Singapore in 2019.

Lendlease Global Commercial REIT (LREIT SP)

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Lendlease Global Commercial REIT (LREIT SP)

REIT Watch - Retail S-Reits see double-digit pickup; downtown malls shine

REIT Watch - Retail S-Reits see double-digit pickup; downtown malls shine Retail sales in Singapore went up by 13 per cent year on year (yoy) in...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

REIT Watch - 5 S-Reits with net institutional and retail inflows in Q3 2022

For the quarter, Singapore’s Reits and Property Trusts (S-Reits) sector declined 7 per cent in total returns, slightly outperforming the 10 per...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Update on the S-REIT Re-Allocation Trade

The S-REIT Re-Allocation Basket is +5.3%(TR) from close after I wrote (25 July) to yesterday. Not enough excess value has traded. Should it run?...

Travis Lundy

REIT Watch - SGTI 2022 shows more S-Reits reporting non-financial metrics

REIT Watch - SGTI 2022 shows more S-Reits reporting non-financial metrics S-Reits and business trusts see an improvement in their Singapore...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Large Potential S-REIT Flows in the Next Two Weeks

There may be a large inflow into S-REITs next week. It could range from 7-25 days of ADV or more for a large number of higher-yielding REITs and...

Travis Lundy

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