SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

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 <div class='content-caption'>S-Reits with significant Singapore-based retail assets</div>
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<html><body>Singapore focused office S-Reits remain poised to benefit as more employees return to the office. The Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) office rental index in the Central Region grew 1.6 per cent and for a second consecutive quarter in Q1 2022 driven by limited supply. 
CBRE Research also expects Core Central Business District (CBD) rents to increase by 6.9 per cent year on year for the whole of 2022. 
SGX lists 6 S-Reits with exposure to Singapore-based office assets. Keppel REIT is a pure-play office S-REIT while CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT), Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT), Suntec REIT, OUE Commercial REIT and Lendlease Global Commercial REIT are diversified S-REITs with exposure to Singapore office properties. 
Keppel Reit reported a 4.3 per cent year-on-year growth in distributable income for Q1 2022 mainly from its acquisition of Keppel Bay Tower last year. 
Most of its new leases for Q1 2022 were in Singapore (Ocean Financial Centre, Marina Bay Financial Centre, and One Raffles Quay), with average signing rent for Singapore office leases at S$11.15 psf pm, higher than Singapore’s average core CBD Grade A office rents (S$10.95 psf pm). 
CICT reported improved portfolio occupancy of 92.3 per cent in its Singapore portfolio and has seen a 9.3 per cent increase in rent reversion in Q1 2022. 
CICT most recently completed its acquisition of a 70 per cent interest in CapitaSky (formerly known as 79 Robinson Road) which has a committed occupancy of 92.9 per cent and net property income yield of 4 per cent. 
MCT reported that its FY21/22 gross revenue from office/business park assets grew 1.9 per cent year on year driven by higher contributions from Mapletree Business City, mTower and MLHF. All its office/business park assets reported strong occupancy rates, with mTower observing significant growth from 75 per cent to 84.7 per cent. 
Mapletree Anson closed its transitional vacancy as it reported full commitment. MCT expects positive leasing momentum for office/business park to continue through to the new financial year. 
Suntec Reit saw its office committed occupancy strengthen to 97.5 per cent and recorded a 3.2 per cent increase in rent reversion for FY21. 
The Reit noted income contribution from its Singapore office portfolio is expected to grow, driven by cumulative positive rent reversions achieved in the past 11 quarters and full impact of revenue from leases committed in 2021. 
OUE Commercial Reit noted that average passing rents of its Singapore office properties were higher year on year, with OUE Bayfront hitting a high of S$12.49 psf. 
Its office properties were observed to record higher valuations ranging from 0.2 to 7.5 per cent year on year, compared to its other segments. 
Lendlease Global Commercial Reit completed its 100 per cent direct interest in Jem. Its Jem office component is fully leased to the Ministry of National Development on a 30-year master lease with a rent review every five years. REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times,<a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/tenant-sales-back-at-pre-covid-levels-for-retail-s-reits"> </a><a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/singapore-based-office-s-reits-report-improved-metrics-and-higher-rents">read </a>the original version.</body></html>


      
    
    S-Reits with significant Singapore-based retail assets

Singapore focused office S-Reits remain poised to benefit as more employees return to the office. The Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) office rental index in the Central Region grew 1.6 per cent and for a second consecutive quarter in Q1 2022 driven by limited supply.  
CBRE Research also expects Core Central Business District (CBD) rents to increase by 6.9 per cent year on year for the whole of 2022.  
SGX lists 6 S-Reits with exposure to Singapore-based office assets. Keppel REIT is a pure-play office S-REIT while CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT), Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT), Suntec REIT, OUE Commercial REIT and Lendlease Global Commercial REIT are diversified S-REITs with exposure to Singapore office properties.  
Keppel Reit reported a 4.3 per cent year-on-year growth in distributable income for Q1 2022 mainly from its acquisition of Keppel Bay Tower last year.  
Most of its new leases for Q1 2022 were in Singapore (Ocean Financial Centre, Marina Bay Financial Centre, and One Raffles Quay), with average signing rent for Singapore office leases at S$11.15 psf pm, higher than Singapore’s average core CBD Grade A office rents (S$10.95 psf pm).  
CICT reported improved portfolio occupancy of 92.3 per cent in its Singapore portfolio and has seen a 9.3 per cent increase in rent reversion in Q1 2022.  
CICT most recently completed its acquisition of a 70 per cent interest in CapitaSky (formerly known as 79 Robinson Road) which has a committed occupancy of 92.9 per cent and net property income yield of 4 per cent.  
MCT reported that its FY21/22 gross revenue from office/business park assets grew 1.9 per cent year on year driven by higher contributions from Mapletree Business City, mTower and MLHF. All its office/business park assets reported strong occupancy rates, with mTower observing significant growth from 75 per cent to 84.7 per cent.  
Mapletree Anson closed its transitional vacancy as it reported full commitment. MCT expects positive leasing momentum for office/business park to continue through to the new financial year.  
Suntec Reit saw its office committed occupancy strengthen to 97.5 per cent and recorded a 3.2 per cent increase in rent reversion for FY21.  
The Reit noted income contribution from its Singapore office portfolio is expected to grow, driven by cumulative positive rent reversions achieved in the past 11 quarters and full impact of revenue from leases committed in 2021.  
OUE Commercial Reit noted that average passing rents of its Singapore office properties were higher year on year, with OUE Bayfront hitting a high of S$12.49 psf.  
Its office properties were observed to record higher valuations ranging from 0.2 to 7.5 per cent year on year, compared to its other segments.  
Lendlease Global Commercial Reit completed its 100 per cent direct interest in Jem. Its Jem office component is fully leased to the Ministry of National Development on a 30-year master lease with a rent review every five years.  REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times, read the original version.


REIT Watch - Singapore-based Office S-REITs report improved metrics and higher rents 

Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust / Equity Bottom-Up

Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust (MPACT SP)

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 <div class='content-caption'>SREIT</div>
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<html><body>Singapore's retail sales increased 8.7 per cent in March 2022 on a year-on-year basis, a reversal from the 3.5 per cent decrease in February 2022, according to the Singapore Department of Statistics (SingStat). 
Within the retail trade sector, most industries recorded year-on-year sales growth in March 2022. 
Listed on the SGX are 7 S-Reits which have significant exposure to Singapore-based retail assets. 
All seven S-Reits have announced their financial results or business updates this reporting season and they are: CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust, Frasers Centrepoint Trust, Lendlease Global Commercial Reit, Mapletree Commercial Trust, SPH Reit, Starhill Global Reit and Suntec Reit. 
CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust’s (CICT) net property income (NPI) from its retail assets grew 0.6 per cent year on year to S$101.8 million in Q1 2022. 
Its retail occupancy maintained at 96.6 per cent as at Mar 31, 2022 while tenant retention rate is 91 per cent in Q1 2022. 
Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT) reported that its retail portfolio occupancy improved from 97.2 per cent last quarter to 97.8 per cent. 
It noted that shopper traffic has improved to around 65 per cent of pre-Covid levels during the January to March 2022 period while tenants’ sales have maintained at above pre-Covid levels since Oct 2021. 
Lendlease Global Commercial Reit (LReit) noted that its retail portfolio saw strong occupancy rate, maintaining above 99 per cent, with a healthy tenant retention rate of 71.1 per cent 
The Reit completed its capital fundraising exercise to acquire 100 per cent of Jem mall in April 2022. LReit is also confident that 313@somerset will benefit from the re-opening trajectory in Singapore. 
Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT) saw healthy performance at VivoCity mall, which had a 99.2 per cent committed occupancy as at Mar 31, 2022. 
It noted that, in tandem with easing Covid-19 measures, tenant sales kept a steady recovery momentum with fourth quarter FY21/22 tenant sales rebounding by 10.3 per cent on a year-on-year basis, reaching pre-Covid levels. 
SPH Reit’s Singapore retail assets maintained an occupancy rate of 99.1 per cent as at Feb 28, 2022 and noted that overall tenant sales for the Singapore assets increased 2 per cent year on year for H1 FY2022. 
Starhill Global Reit’s Singapore retail occupancy rates remained at 98.9 per cent as at Mar 31, 2022. Shopper traffic and tenant sales at Wisma Atria increased 11.7 per cent and 18.2 per cent year on year respectively during the quarter. 
Suntec Reit reported 13.9 per cent year-on-year growth in Q1 2022 gross revenue, partly contributed by higher income from Suntec City Office and Suntec City Mall. 
The Reit believes that the easing of Covid-19 pandemic restrictions and the reopening of the economy will boost the recovery of footfall as well as tenant sales and that mall occupancy will likely remain stable at above 95 per cent. REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times,<a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/tenant-sales-back-at-pre-covid-levels-for-retail-s-reits"> read </a>the original version.</body></html>


      
    
    SREIT

Singapore's retail sales increased 8.7 per cent in March 2022 on a year-on-year basis, a reversal from the 3.5 per cent decrease in February 2022, according to the Singapore Department of Statistics (SingStat).  
Within the retail trade sector, most industries recorded year-on-year sales growth in March 2022.  
Listed on the SGX are 7 S-Reits which have significant exposure to Singapore-based retail assets.  
All seven S-Reits have announced their financial results or business updates this reporting season and they are: CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust, Frasers Centrepoint Trust, Lendlease Global Commercial Reit, Mapletree Commercial Trust, SPH Reit, Starhill Global Reit and Suntec Reit.  
CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust’s (CICT) net property income (NPI) from its retail assets grew 0.6 per cent year on year to S$101.8 million in Q1 2022.  
Its retail occupancy maintained at 96.6 per cent as at Mar 31, 2022 while tenant retention rate is 91 per cent in Q1 2022.  
Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT) reported that its retail portfolio occupancy improved from 97.2 per cent last quarter to 97.8 per cent.  
It noted that shopper traffic has improved to around 65 per cent of pre-Covid levels during the January to March 2022 period while tenants’ sales have maintained at above pre-Covid levels since Oct 2021.  
Lendlease Global Commercial Reit (LReit) noted that its retail portfolio saw strong occupancy rate, maintaining above 99 per cent, with a healthy tenant retention rate of 71.1 per cent  
The Reit completed its capital fundraising exercise to acquire 100 per cent of Jem mall in April 2022. LReit is also confident that 313@somerset will benefit from the re-opening trajectory in Singapore.  
Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT) saw healthy performance at VivoCity mall, which had a 99.2 per cent committed occupancy as at Mar 31, 2022.  
It noted that, in tandem with easing Covid-19 measures, tenant sales kept a steady recovery momentum with fourth quarter FY21/22 tenant sales rebounding by 10.3 per cent on a year-on-year basis, reaching pre-Covid levels.  
SPH Reit’s Singapore retail assets maintained an occupancy rate of 99.1 per cent as at Feb 28, 2022 and noted that overall tenant sales for the Singapore assets increased 2 per cent year on year for H1 FY2022.  
Starhill Global Reit’s Singapore retail occupancy rates remained at 98.9 per cent as at Mar 31, 2022. Shopper traffic and tenant sales at Wisma Atria increased 11.7 per cent and 18.2 per cent year on year respectively during the quarter.  
Suntec Reit reported 13.9 per cent year-on-year growth in Q1 2022 gross revenue, partly contributed by higher income from Suntec City Office and Suntec City Mall.  
The Reit believes that the easing of Covid-19 pandemic restrictions and the reopening of the economy will boost the recovery of footfall as well as tenant sales and that mall occupancy will likely remain stable at above 95 per cent.  REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times, read the original version.


REIT Watch - Tenant sales back at pre-Covid levels for Retail S-Reits

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust / Event-Driven

Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:106:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP)</a>’s EGM, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)</a>/MNACT’s EGM and trust scheme meeting will take place on 23 May. The effective date is 8 August.</li>
<li>The IFA considers the scheme consideration to be fair. We think that IFA’s valuation approach is broadly sound with some areas for improvement. </li>
<li>For a 17 August payment, the gross and annualised spread of the cash-only consideration (including permitted clean-up DPU) is 1.6% and 5.6%, respectively. </li>
</ul>



Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP)’s EGM, Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)/MNACT’s EGM and trust scheme meeting will take place on 23 May. The effective date is 8 August.
The IFA considers the scheme consideration to be fair. We think that IFA’s valuation approach is broadly sound with some areas for improvement. 
For a 17 August payment, the gross and annualised spread of the cash-only consideration (including permitted clean-up DPU) is 1.6% and 5.6%, respectively. 


MNACT's Scheme Meeting on 23 May, IFA Opinion

Far East Hospitality Trust / Equity Bottom-Up

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 <div class='content-caption'>Top 10 performing SREITs</div>
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Singapore announced the easing of Covid-19 measures on March 24 as the country takes a "decisive but measured step forward" towards living with Covid-19.

With the risk of outdoor transmission significantly lower, it will soon be optional to wear masks outdoors in Singapore while the maximum group size for social gatherings as well as dining in will double from 5 to 10. Certain large-scale social gatherings are also permitted to resume.

Office spaces are expected to be filled up again, as up to 75 per cent of those who can work from home are now allowed to return to their workplaces, up from 50 per cent previously. 
Cross-border travel is also expected to ease substantially from Apr 1, as travellers no longer have to take designated vaccinated travel lanes (VTL) to enter Singapore quarantine-free. 
Such moves will help to "reconnect Singapore with the world" and "give a much-needed boost to businesses, particularly the tourism sector, and help Singapore reclaim its position as a business and aviation hub" said Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong during his speech. 
Following the announcement, the Straits Times Index (STI) gained 1.1 per cent during Thursday's (Mar 24) trading session, driven by a rally in aviation, transport, tourism and retail-related stocks. 
Similarly, S-Reits recorded gains, with the iEdge S-Reit Index increasing 1 per cent in the trading session, led by trusts with significant exposure to Singapore related retail, hospitality, and office assets.

Hospitality S-Reits gained 3.5 per cent while retail S-Reits gained 1.5 per cent. More notably, hospitality and retail S-Reits saw a surge in trading activities on Thursday with S$27.4 million and S$21.4 million in traded value respectively.

This represents over 211 per cent and 58 per cent increases respectively, against their 3-month average daily traded value. 
Diversified S-REITs also gained an average of 1.8 per cent over Thursday, led by trusts (Lendlease Global Commercial REIT, OUE Commercial REIT and Suntec REIT) with substantial exposure to the retail and office segments in Singapore. 
Lendlease Global Commercial Reit (LReit), which owns prime retail properties in Singapore and grade-A office buildings in Milan, was the top performer for the day with over 7 per cent gains. 
In February, LReit proposed to acquire the remaining interest in JEM mall for close to S$2 billion. 
LReit expects the acquisition to further boost the Reit's portfolio income diversification and provide approximately 10.5 per cent distribution per unit (DPU) accretion upon completion. 
Post-acquisition, LReit's exposure to the resilient suburban retail sector is expected to increase from 16.3 per cent to 46.8 per cent and its Singapore-centric asset base to be close to 88 per cent of its total portfolio value. 
CDL Hospitality Trusts (CDLHT), which owns hotel properties across Asia Pacific and Europe, rose 6 per cent over the trading day following the announcement of easing travel restrictions. 
CDLHT's Singapore portfolio (approximately 64.9 per cent by total portfolio valuation) continued to be impacted by the absence of major meetings, incentives, conferences, and exhibitions (MICE) events, large wedding banquets and social functions in FY 2021.

The trust remains optimistic in Singapore's commitment to reopening and returning to normalcy. REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times,<a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/green-shoots-for-retail-and-hospitality-s-reits-amid-new-pandemic-phase"> </a><a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/retail-hotel-office-s-reits-gain-with-relaxed-covid-rules-0">read</a><a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/pure-play-china-s-reits-record-strong-2021-growth-0"> </a>the original version.
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    Top 10 performing SREITs


Singapore announced the easing of Covid-19 measures on March 24 as the country takes a "decisive but measured step forward" towards living with Covid-19.

With the risk of outdoor transmission significantly lower, it will soon be optional to wear masks outdoors in Singapore while the maximum group size for social gatherings as well as dining in will double from 5 to 10. Certain large-scale social gatherings are also permitted to resume.

Office spaces are expected to be filled up again, as up to 75 per cent of those who can work from home are now allowed to return to their workplaces, up from 50 per cent previously.  
Cross-border travel is also expected to ease substantially from Apr 1, as travellers no longer have to take designated vaccinated travel lanes (VTL) to enter Singapore quarantine-free.  
Such moves will help to "reconnect Singapore with the world" and "give a much-needed boost to businesses, particularly the tourism sector, and help Singapore reclaim its position as a business and aviation hub" said Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong during his speech.  
Following the announcement, the Straits Times Index (STI) gained 1.1 per cent during Thursday's (Mar 24) trading session, driven by a rally in aviation, transport, tourism and retail-related stocks.  
Similarly, S-Reits recorded gains, with the iEdge S-Reit Index increasing 1 per cent in the trading session, led by trusts with significant exposure to Singapore related retail, hospitality, and office assets.

Hospitality S-Reits gained 3.5 per cent while retail S-Reits gained 1.5 per cent. More notably, hospitality and retail S-Reits saw a surge in trading activities on Thursday with S$27.4 million and S$21.4 million in traded value respectively.

This represents over 211 per cent and 58 per cent increases respectively, against their 3-month average daily traded value.  
Diversified S-REITs also gained an average of 1.8 per cent over Thursday, led by trusts (Lendlease Global Commercial REIT, OUE Commercial REIT and Suntec REIT) with substantial exposure to the retail and office segments in Singapore.  
Lendlease Global Commercial Reit (LReit), which owns prime retail properties in Singapore and grade-A office buildings in Milan, was the top performer for the day with over 7 per cent gains.  
In February, LReit proposed to acquire the remaining interest in JEM mall for close to S$2 billion.  
LReit expects the acquisition to further boost the Reit's portfolio income diversification and provide approximately 10.5 per cent distribution per unit (DPU) accretion upon completion.  
Post-acquisition, LReit's exposure to the resilient suburban retail sector is expected to increase from 16.3 per cent to 46.8 per cent and its Singapore-centric asset base to be close to 88 per cent of its total portfolio value.  
CDL Hospitality Trusts (CDLHT), which owns hotel properties across Asia Pacific and Europe, rose 6 per cent over the trading day following the announcement of easing travel restrictions.  
CDLHT's Singapore portfolio (approximately 64.9 per cent by total portfolio valuation) continued to be impacted by the absence of major meetings, incentives, conferences, and exhibitions (MICE) events, large wedding banquets and social functions in FY 2021.

The trust remains optimistic in Singapore's commitment to reopening and returning to normalcy.  REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times, read the original version.



REIT Watch - Retail, hotel, office S-Reits gain with relaxed Covid rules

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Capital Markets

Lendlease Global Commercial REIT / Equity Capital Markets

Lendlease Global Commercial REIT (LREIT SP)

<ul>
<li>In mid-February, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lendlease-global-commercial-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28292:1" rel="noopener">Lendlease Global Commercial REIT (LREIT SP)</a> which owned 31.8% of the Jurong East MRT Station "Jem" complex announced it would buy the rest. </li>
<li>They announced they would issue new equity to pay for some of it. Predictably, the units fell, and fell vs Office/Retail Mixed-Use SREIT peers. </li>
<li>Now you can buy units of Singapore asset quality, acceptable leverage, high divi and something well cheap of peer-measured fair. </li>
</ul>


In mid-February, Lendlease Global Commercial REIT (LREIT SP) which owned 31.8% of the Jurong East MRT Station "Jem" complex announced it would buy the rest. 
They announced they would issue new equity to pay for some of it. Predictably, the units fell, and fell vs Office/Retail Mixed-Use SREIT peers. 
Now you can buy units of Singapore asset quality, acceptable leverage, high divi and something well cheap of peer-measured fair. 


Lendlease Global Offering to Buy the Rest of JEM - Big Deal, Cheap, Cheaper Than Peers

Singapore

Lendlease Global Commercial REIT is a Singapore real estate investment trust that invests in a diversified portfolio of stabilized income-producing real estate assets globally, primarily for retail and/or office purposes. Its portfolio includes retail properties in Singapore and Grade A commercial buildings in Milan, Italy. The company was incorporated in Singapore in 2019.

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Lendlease Global Commercial REIT (LREIT SP)

REIT Watch - Singapore-based Office S-REITs report improved metrics and higher rents

Singapore focused office S-Reits remain poised to benefit as more employees return to the office. The Urban Redevelopment...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

REIT Watch - Tenant sales back at pre-Covid levels for Retail S-Reits

Singapore's retail sales increased 8.7 per cent in March 2022 on a year-on-year basis, a reversal from the 3.5 per cent decrease...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

MNACT's Scheme Meeting on 23 May, IFA Opinion

The IFA considers the scheme consideration to be fair. For a 17 August payment, the annualised spread of the cash-only consideration (including...

Arun George

REIT Watch - Retail, hotel, office S-Reits gain with relaxed Covid rules

Singapore announced the easing of Covid-19 measures on March 24 as the country takes a "decisive but measured step forward"...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Lendlease Global Offering to Buy the Rest of JEM - Big Deal, Cheap, Cheaper Than Peers

Well-signalled and well-prepared equity placement takes place at a 10+% discount to peers and more if you count the div uplift. Buy the deal, or...

Travis Lundy

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