Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>HSI remains well below its August high despite a relatively modest weekly decline, while breadth across the optionable universe stayed soft.</li>
<li>MiniMax dominated option trading throughout the week, accounting for much of the activity among the busiest contracts.</li>
<li>Index implied volatility has firmed during September but remains subdued on a longer-term basis as the single stock spread continues to normalize.</li>
</ul>


HSI remains well below its August high despite a relatively modest weekly decline, while breadth across the optionable universe stayed soft.
MiniMax dominated option trading throughout the week, accounting for much of the activity among the busiest contracts.
Index implied volatility has firmed during September but remains subdued on a longer-term basis as the single stock spread continues to normalize.


Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly Sept 14–18: MiniMax Option Volumes Surge

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/legend-holdings-corporation-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:517:1" rel="noopener">Legend Holdings (3396 HK)</a> is seeking to offload its 90% stake in Banque Internationale à Luxembourg for ~HK$23bn.</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Legend and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lenovo-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13359:1" rel="noopener">Lenovo (992 HK)</a> are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



Legend Holdings (3396 HK) is seeking to offload its 90% stake in Banque Internationale à Luxembourg for ~HK$23bn.
Preceding my comments on Legend and Lenovo (992 HK) are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Legend Launches Sale Of Banque Internationale À Luxembourg Stake

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 11th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Tencent, Sun Hung Kai Properties, Ntes, CCB, Minimax, Zj Innolight, China Mobile, CNOOC.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 11th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Tencent, Sun Hung Kai Properties, Ntes, CCB, Minimax, Zj Innolight, China Mobile, CNOOC.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, Sun Hung Kai Properties, Ntes, CCB, Minimax, Zj Innolight, CNOOC

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Computex 2025 was held in Taipei during 19-23 May, which mostly focused on AI servers, AI PCs, and thermal/power/connector solutions.</li><li>Below are key updates from keynotes and booths we visited at the event: 1) GB200 accelerating throughout 2Q; 2) GB300 rack sampling into 3Q and target for 4Q ramp; 3) modest spec upgrades but smoother ramp for GB300 components given design change back from Cordelia to Bianca, 4) 800V HVDC power rack by Delta/Vertiv, 5) Hybrid liquid/air solutions for GB300/B300 by Honhai/Wiwynn/Inventec/Gigabyte, 6) GPU/SO-CAMM sockets and mid-plane (vs cable cartridge) by FIT/Amphenol, 7) AI PCs/DGX Spark by Asus/Acer/Gigabyte/MSI, 8) NVIDIA ecosystem evolving with MGX platform (server), NVLink Fusion (network) and GROON N1 (robotics).</li><li>We become more positive on GB200/300 rack shipments into 2H25E, benefiting names including FII (601138 CH, NR), FIT Hon Teng (6088 HK), BYDE (285 HK), Luxshare (002475 CH) and Lenovo (992 HK, NR).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Computex 2025 was held in Taipei during 19-23 May, which mostly focused on AI servers, AI PCs, and thermal/power/connector solutions.Below are key updates from keynotes and booths we visited at the event: 1) GB200 accelerating throughout 2Q; 2) GB300 rack sampling into 3Q and target for 4Q ramp; 3) modest spec upgrades but smoother ramp for GB300 components given design change back from Cordelia to Bianca, 4) 800V HVDC power rack by Delta/Vertiv, 5) Hybrid liquid/air solutions for GB300/B300 by Honhai/Wiwynn/Inventec/Gigabyte, 6) GPU/SO-CAMM sockets and mid-plane (vs cable cartridge) by FIT/Amphenol, 7) AI PCs/DGX Spark by Asus/Acer/Gigabyte/MSI, 8) NVIDIA ecosystem evolving with MGX platform (server), NVLink Fusion (network) and GROON N1 (robotics).We become more positive on GB200/300 rack shipments into 2H25E, benefiting names including FII (601138 CH, NR), FIT Hon Teng (6088 HK), BYDE (285 HK), Luxshare (002475 CH) and Lenovo (992 HK, NR).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technology: GB300 NVL72, Liquid Cooling, GPU/SOCAMM Socket, AI PCs, DGX Spark

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>The HSI has already recovered to 2.2% above the pre-"reciprocal tariff" level, and the top 10 best-performing constituents have registered an average return of 15.6%.</li>
<li>Despite so, there are still 40 under-performing stocks, with 32 of them remain in the negative zone with an average of 4.8% loss. </li>
<li>Among them, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zto-express-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33488:1" rel="noopener">ZTO Express Cayman (2057 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/budweiser-brewing-co-apac-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28077:1" rel="noopener">Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-electronic-international-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1927:1" rel="noopener">BYD Electronics (285 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> look well-positioned to catch up.</li>
</ul>


The HSI has already recovered to 2.2% above the pre-"reciprocal tariff" level, and the top 10 best-performing constituents have registered an average return of 15.6%.
Despite so, there are still 40 under-performing stocks, with 32 of them remain in the negative zone with an average of 4.8% loss. 
Among them, ZTO Express Cayman (2057 HK), Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK), BYD Electronics (285 HK), and Meituan (3690 HK) look well-positioned to catch up.


HK Strategy: What Are Some of the HSI Laggards to Pick Up?

China

Lenovo Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, sells, and manufactures personal computers and handheld devices. The Company also provides Internet services and IT services, and contracting manufacturing business.

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Lenovo Group Ltd Adr (LNVGY US)

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly Sept 14–18: MiniMax Option Volumes Surge

MiniMax emerges as the week’s options standout as volumes build, against a backdrop of soft market breadth and still-subdued HSI implied volatility

John Ley

StubWorld: Legend Launches Sale Of Banque Internationale À Luxembourg Stake

Legend remains deeply valued. Look to go Long Legend, Short Lenovo (& hedge out the rump with a Euro bank + large fruit supply-chain companies); or...

David Blennerhassett

HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, Sun Hung Kai Properties, Ntes, CCB, Minimax, Zj Innolight, CNOOC

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 11th and highlight short interest changes in Tencent (700 HK), Sun Hung...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Technology: GB300 NVL72, Liquid Cooling, GPU/SOCAMM Socket, AI PCs, DGX Spark

Computex 2025 was held in Taipei during 19-23 May, which mostly focused on AI servers, AI PCs, and thermal/power/connector solutions.

CMB International

HK Strategy: What Are Some of the HSI Laggards to Pick Up?

HSI has rebounded above pre-reciprocal tariff levels, with top stocks up 15.6%. However, 32 stocks remain negative, with ZTO Express, Budweiser...

Osbert Tang, CFA

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52-week Range

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Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly Sept 14–18: MiniMax Option Volumes Surge

MiniMax emerges as the week’s options standout as volumes build, against a backdrop of soft market breadth and still-subdued HSI implied volatility

John Ley

StubWorld: Legend Launches Sale Of Banque Internationale À Luxembourg Stake

Legend remains deeply valued. Look to go Long Legend, Short Lenovo (& hedge out the rump with a Euro bank + large fruit supply-chain companies); or...

David Blennerhassett

HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, Sun Hung Kai Properties, Ntes, CCB, Minimax, Zj Innolight, CNOOC

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 11th and highlight short interest changes in Tencent (700 HK), Sun Hung...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Technology: GB300 NVL72, Liquid Cooling, GPU/SOCAMM Socket, AI PCs, DGX Spark

Computex 2025 was held in Taipei during 19-23 May, which mostly focused on AI servers, AI PCs, and thermal/power/connector solutions.

CMB International

HK Strategy: What Are Some of the HSI Laggards to Pick Up?

​HSI has rebounded above pre-reciprocal tariff levels, with top stocks up 15.6%. However, 32 stocks remain negative, with ZTO Express, Budweiser...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HSI has rebounded above pre-reciprocal tariff levels, with top stocks up 15.6%. However, 32 stocks remain negative, with ZTO Express, Budweiser...