Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Lenovo (0992.HK) reported full-year FY2025/26 revenues of a record US$83.1 billion, up 20% YoY, with net profit attributable to shareholders of US$1.9 billion, up 38%.</li>
<li>Lenovo reported Q4 revenues of US$21.6 billion, +27% YoY, its fastest growth in five years. AI-related revenue hit 38% of group revenue in the quarter and grew 84% YoY.</li>
<li>Lenovo’s Infrastructure Solutions Group turned full-year profitable, delivering record revenue of US$19.2 billion, up 32%, and an operating profit of US$73 million, a roughly US$140 million year-on-year swing</li>
</ul>


Lenovo (0992.HK) reported full-year FY2025/26 revenues of a record US$83.1 billion, up 20% YoY, with net profit attributable to shareholders of US$1.9 billion, up 38%.
Lenovo reported Q4 revenues of US$21.6 billion, +27% YoY, its fastest growth in five years. AI-related revenue hit 38% of group revenue in the quarter and grew 84% YoY.
Lenovo’s Infrastructure Solutions Group turned full-year profitable, delivering record revenue of US$19.2 billion, up 32%, and an operating profit of US$73 million, a roughly US$140 million year-on-year swing


Lenovo’s Q4 FY25/26. Record Quarter, Record Year, ISG Inflection Point

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio gained 9.7% in May, outperforming its benchmark by 10.57%.  The portfolio has outperformed Hong Kong indexes by 57% to 75% since its inception in 10/2024.</li>
<li>The portfolio has a Sharpe ratio of 1.37 since its inception, with a mean excess annualized return of 21% and a beta of 1.2.  </li>
<li>At the end of May, we sold our remaining positions in the mining and materials sectors and added positions in the power, consumer and property sectors.</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio gained 9.7% in May, outperforming its benchmark by 10.57%.  The portfolio has outperformed Hong Kong indexes by 57% to 75% since its inception in 10/2024.
The portfolio has a Sharpe ratio of 1.37 since its inception, with a mean excess annualized return of 21% and a beta of 1.2.  
At the end of May, we sold our remaining positions in the mining and materials sectors and added positions in the power, consumer and property sectors.


<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong market has recovered from its drawdown during the Iran war and is now trading above its long-term support levels.  Energy remains the top-performing sector YTD.</li>
<li>Value and dividend factors continue to provide the best returns in Hong Kong; momentum has returned since the beginning of April.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lenovo-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13359:1" rel="noopener">Lenovo (992 HK)</a> had a reversal breakout technical pattern from a U-shaped bottom.  The company is benefiting from growth in both the AI and data center industries.  
</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong market has recovered from its drawdown during the Iran war and is now trading above its long-term support levels.  Energy remains the top-performing sector YTD.
Value and dividend factors continue to provide the best returns in Hong Kong; momentum has returned since the beginning of April.


Lenovo (992 HK) had a reversal breakout technical pattern from a U-shaped bottom.  The company is benefiting from growth in both the AI and data center industries.  



Technically Speaking Breakouts & Breakdowns - HONG KONG (April 2026)

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

<ul>
<li>We hosted a conference call with Elan Microelectronics management; We view the company as a Structural Long position for the AI PC upgrade cycle.</li>
<li>From the company's perspective, significant impact from AI PC demand will come but not until 4Q24E or 1H25E. However, supply chain excess inventory improved and prepping for upcycle.</li>
<li>An estimated 90% of AI PC models launched at CES 2024 use Elan's products in their design; Elan well positioned for the upcycle and entrenching its position. Maintain Structural Long.</li>
</ul>


We hosted a conference call with Elan Microelectronics management; We view the company as a Structural Long position for the AI PC upgrade cycle.
From the company's perspective, significant impact from AI PC demand will come but not until 4Q24E or 1H25E. However, supply chain excess inventory improved and prepping for upcycle.
An estimated 90% of AI PC models launched at CES 2024 use Elan's products in their design; Elan well positioned for the upcycle and entrenching its position. Maintain Structural Long.


TechChain Insights: Call with Elan Micro; AI PC Significant Uptake 4Q24/1H25; Supply Chain Preparing

<ul>
<li>Branded PC makers' shares have been mostly lower in April, however Intel and Microsoft developments are providing strong signals for a future PC upgrade cycle into AI PCs.</li>
<li>Over 60% of Fortune 500 companies are now using Microsoft's CoPilot AI assistant; Intel expects the industry to exceed its prior forecast for AI PC shipments in 2024E.</li>
<li>CoPilot is the killer app that will trigger a global enterprise PC upgrade cycle; The next generation of CoPilot will be an edge AI app that will require powerful hardware.</li>
</ul>


Branded PC makers' shares have been mostly lower in April, however Intel and Microsoft developments are providing strong signals for a future PC upgrade cycle into AI PCs.
Over 60% of Fortune 500 companies are now using Microsoft's CoPilot AI assistant; Intel expects the industry to exceed its prior forecast for AI PC shipments in 2024E.
CoPilot is the killer app that will trigger a global enterprise PC upgrade cycle; The next generation of CoPilot will be an edge AI app that will require powerful hardware.


PC Monitor: The Next Version of MSFT CoPilot Will Be the Killer App for a Global AI PC Upgrade Cycle

Hong Kong

Lenovo Group Limited is a multinational technology company specializing in designing, manufacturing, and marketing consumer electronics, personal computers, software, servers, and related services. Its key products include laptops (ThinkPad, IdeaPad, Yoga, Legion), desktop computers, smartphones (Motorola Mobility), and IT infrastructure solutions. The company was founded on November 1, 1984, in Beijing, China, and has global headquarters in Beijing, China, and Morrisville, North Carolina, United States.

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Lenovo (992 HK)

Lenovo’s Q4 FY25/26. Record Quarter, Record Year, ISG Inflection Point

Lenovo’s ISG division turned full-year profitable, delivering record revenue of US$19.2 billion, up 32%, and an operating profit of US$73 million,...

William Keating

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (May 2026)

The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio gained 9.7% in May, outperforming its benchmark by 10.57%. The portfolio has outperformed Hong Kong indexes by 57%...

David Mudd

Technically Speaking Breakouts & Breakdowns - HONG KONG (April 2026)

We highlighted Lenovo's significant technical breakout pattern in our April insight, and the shares have more than doubled since the report....

David Mudd

TechChain Insights: Call with Elan Micro; AI PC Significant Uptake 4Q24/1H25; Supply Chain Preparing

Elan Microelectronics is poised for growth in the AI PC upgrade cycle, with a strong position in the market and potential impact expected in late...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

PC Monitor: The Next Version of MSFT CoPilot Will Be the Killer App for a Global AI PC Upgrade Cycle

CoPilot, as an edge AI app, will drive a global PC upgrade cycle with its next-gen version requiring advanced hardware.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Lenovo’s Q4 FY25/26. Record Quarter, Record Year, ISG Inflection Point

Lenovo’s ISG division turned full-year profitable, delivering record revenue of US$19.2 billion, up 32%, and an operating profit of US$73 million,...

William Keating

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (May 2026)

The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio gained 9.7% in May, outperforming its benchmark by 10.57%. The portfolio has outperformed Hong Kong indexes by 57%...

David Mudd

Technically Speaking Breakouts & Breakdowns - HONG KONG (April 2026)

We highlighted Lenovo's significant technical breakout pattern in our April insight, and the shares have more than doubled since the report....

David Mudd

TechChain Insights: Call with Elan Micro; AI PC Significant Uptake 4Q24/1H25; Supply Chain Preparing

​Elan Microelectronics is poised for growth in the AI PC upgrade cycle, with a strong position in the market and potential impact expected in late...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

PC Monitor: The Next Version of MSFT CoPilot Will Be the Killer App for a Global AI PC Upgrade Cycle

​CoPilot, as an edge AI app, will drive a global PC upgrade cycle with its next-gen version requiring advanced hardware.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Elan Microelectronics is poised for growth in the AI PC upgrade cycle, with a strong position in the market and potential impact expected in late...

CoPilot, as an edge AI app, will drive a global PC upgrade cycle with its next-gen version requiring advanced hardware.