IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/muyuan-foods-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3705:1" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK)</a>, the world’s largest pork company, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$1.4 billion.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/muyuan-foods-h-share-listing-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:218326" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foods H Share Listing: The Investment Case</a>. </li>
<li>The proposed AH discount of 23.1% (based on the 28 January A Share price) is attractive. Overall, I would participate in the listing.</li>
</ul>



Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK), the world’s largest pork company, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$1.4 billion.
I discussed the H Share listing in Muyuan Foods H Share Listing: The Investment Case. 
The proposed AH discount of 23.1% (based on the 28 January A Share price) is attractive. Overall, I would participate in the listing.


Muyuan Foods H Share Listing (2714 HK): Valuation Insights

Eastroc Beverage / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eastroc-beverage-group-co-ltd-f3283290-a611-4cb4-8857-93101786e283" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45048:1" rel="noopener">Eastroc Beverage Group (9980 HK)</a>, the largest functional beverage company in China, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$1.3 billion.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/eastroc-beverage-h-share-listing-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:218181" rel="noopener">Eastroc Beverage H Share Listing: The Investment Case</a>. </li>
<li>The proposed AH discount of 12.6% (based on the 23 January A Share price) is tight and will draw mixed views. Overall, I will tilt towards participating in the listing. </li>
</ul>



Eastroc Beverage Group (9980 HK), the largest functional beverage company in China, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$1.3 billion.
I discussed the H Share listing in Eastroc Beverage H Share Listing: The Investment Case. 
The proposed AH discount of 12.6% (based on the 23 January A Share price) is tight and will draw mixed views. Overall, I will tilt towards participating in the listing. 


Eastroc Beverage H Share Listing (9980 HK): Valuation Insights

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 169 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 58.5% as of Jan 23rd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -3.0ppt week-on-week, led by information technology, energy, materials and offset by financials, health care.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, Flat Glass, Maanshan Iron &amp; Steel, China Tourism, Sinopec, Sany Heavy.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 169 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 58.5% as of Jan 23rd.
The average A-H premium changed by -3.0ppt week-on-week, led by information technology, energy, materials and offset by financials, health care.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, Flat Glass, Maanshan Iron &amp; Steel, China Tourism, Sinopec, Sany Heavy.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 23rd): Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, Flat Glass, Maanshan Iron & Steel

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 16th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Alibaba Health Information Technology, Xiaomi, Tencent, China Hongqiao, Gf Securities.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 16th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Alibaba Health Information Technology, Xiaomi, Tencent, China Hongqiao, Gf Securities.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Alibaba Health, Xiaomi, Tencent, China Hongqiao

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

GigaDevice Semiconductor  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gigadevice-semiconductor" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46238:1" rel="noopener">GigaDevice Semiconductor (3986 HK)</a>'s grey market price of HK$224.8 is 38.8% higher than the IPO price. This means a PER of 53.5x for FY26, simply too stretched for us. </li>
<li>The grey market price represents a 68-77% FY26 PER premium to the most-expensive peers, namely <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microchip-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8788:1" rel="noopener">Microchip Technology (MCHP US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/texas-instruments-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18804:1" rel="noopener">Texas Instruments (TXN US)</a>. </li>
<li>Our fair value range is HK$204-238, based on the HA discount for 2025 IPOs and the current overall HA discount, implying limited upside potential.</li>
</ul>



GigaDevice Semiconductor (3986 HK)'s grey market price of HK$224.8 is 38.8% higher than the IPO price. This means a PER of 53.5x for FY26, simply too stretched for us. 
The grey market price represents a 68-77% FY26 PER premium to the most-expensive peers, namely Microchip Technology (MCHP US) and Texas Instruments (TXN US). 
Our fair value range is HK$204-238, based on the HA discount for 2025 IPOs and the current overall HA discount, implying limited upside potential.


GigaDevice (3986 HK): Its Just Too Demanding

China

Lens Technology is a Chinese precision manufacturing company specializing in advanced glass, ceramic, metal, and sapphire components for consumer electronics and smart-vehicle interaction systems. It develops and produces protective glass, touch modules, and structural components for products like smartphones, wearables, and smart automotive displays. The company is headquartered in Changsha, Hunan, China, and was founded in 1993.

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Lens Technology (6613 HK)

A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 23rd): Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, Flat Glass, Maanshan Iron & Steel

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, Flat Glass, Maanshan Iron &...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Alibaba Health, Xiaomi, Tencent, China Hongqiao

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 16th and highlight short interest changes in Alibaba Health (241 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

GigaDevice (3986 HK): Its Just Too Demanding

GigaDevice's grey market price is 38.8% higher than IPO, leading to a FY26 PER of 53.5x, with limited upside potential compared to peers, even...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Muyuan Foods H Share Listing (2714 HK): Valuation Insights

Muyuan Foods, the world’s largest pork company, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$1.4 billion. The proposed AH discount of 23.1% is...

Arun George

Eastroc Beverage H Share Listing (9980 HK): Valuation Insights

The proposed AH discount of 12.6% (based on the 23 January A Share price) is tight and will draw mixed views. Overall, I will tilt towards...

Arun George

A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 23rd): Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, Flat Glass, Maanshan Iron & Steel

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, Flat Glass, Maanshan Iron &...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Alibaba Health, Xiaomi, Tencent, China Hongqiao

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 16th and highlight short interest changes in Alibaba Health (241 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

GigaDevice (3986 HK): Its Just Too Demanding

​GigaDevice's grey market price is 38.8% higher than IPO, leading to a FY26 PER of 53.5x, with limited upside potential compared to peers, even...

Osbert Tang, CFA

GigaDevice's grey market price is 38.8% higher than IPO, leading to a FY26 PER of 53.5x, with limited upside potential compared to peers, even...