Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Event-Driven

Contemporary Amperex Technology / Event-Driven

Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK)

<ul>
<li>We study 27 A+H listing connect inclusion in two groups: 23 with delayed Connect inclusion (26 to 28 days after listing) and 4 with same-day inclusion.</li>
<li>The delayed group shows H underperformance versus A around inclusion (61% win rate, median +3.5% over 5D). All four same-day stocks posted positive hedged returns on day 0.</li>
<li>Actionable trades ahead: DELTON (1989 HK) pending listing on 20 March, and ESTUN (2715 HK) pending Connect inclusion.</li>
</ul>


We study 27 A+H listing connect inclusion in two groups: 23 with delayed Connect inclusion (26 to 28 days after listing) and 4 with same-day inclusion.
The delayed group shows H underperformance versus A around inclusion (61% win rate, median +3.5% over 5D). All four same-day stocks posted positive hedged returns on day 0.
Actionable trades ahead: DELTON (1989 HK) pending listing on 20 March, and ESTUN (2715 HK) pending Connect inclusion.


A+H Listing: The Connect Inclusion Stat and the Trade

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 176 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 67.7% as of Mar 6th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.0ppt week-on-week, led by materials, energy, financials and offset by communication services, utilities, health care.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Sinopec, COSCO Shipping Energy, China Coal Energy, CNOOC, China Oilfield Services, BYD.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 176 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 67.7% as of Mar 6th.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.0ppt week-on-week, led by materials, energy, financials and offset by communication services, utilities, health care.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Sinopec, COSCO Shipping Energy, China Coal Energy, CNOOC, China Oilfield Services, BYD.


A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 6th): Sinopec, COSCO Shipping Energy, China Coal Energy, CNOOC

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Capital Markets

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen / Equity Capital Markets

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen (300450 CH)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-lead-intelligent-equipmen" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27971:1" rel="noopener">Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment (470 HK)</a> has a lukewarm H-share IPO response, but is still priced at the maximum of HK$45.80. This places it on 29.2x PER for FY26F.</li>
<li>We consider an appropriate HA discount to be roughly 25-30%, implying a fair value of HK$45.6-48.8, or 6.6% downside/upside, and it is almost fairly-valued. </li>
<li>At the top-end of our estimated fair value, its multiples do not appear attractive against the A-share and other global peers, so HK$48.8 is the ceiling. </li>
</ul>



Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment (470 HK) has a lukewarm H-share IPO response, but is still priced at the maximum of HK$45.80. This places it on 29.2x PER for FY26F.
We consider an appropriate HA discount to be roughly 25-30%, implying a fair value of HK$45.6-48.8, or 6.6% downside/upside, and it is almost fairly-valued. 
At the top-end of our estimated fair value, its multiples do not appear attractive against the A-share and other global peers, so HK$48.8 is the ceiling. 


Wuxi Lead Equipment (470 HK): Almost Fair

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Montage Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/montage-technology-co-ltd-c827a672-7027-4114-b744-0fc66a5d1d98" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46333:1" rel="noopener">Montage Technology (6809 HK)</a> priced its H Share at HK$106.89, raising HK$7,043 million (US$901 million) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/montage-technology-h-share-listing-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:216984" rel="noopener">Montage Technology H Share Listing: The Investment Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/montage-technology-h-share-listing-6809-hk-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:219421" rel="noopener">Montage Technology H Share Listing (6809 HK): Valuation Insights</a>. </li>
<li>Montage's international and retail oversubscription rates were significantly above the median of recent large AH listings. The AH discount remains attractive.</li>
</ul>



Montage Technology (6809 HK) priced its H Share at HK$106.89, raising HK$7,043 million (US$901 million) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.
I discussed the H Share listing in Montage Technology H Share Listing: The Investment Case and Montage Technology H Share Listing (6809 HK): Valuation Insights. 
Montage's international and retail oversubscription rates were significantly above the median of recent large AH listings. The AH discount remains attractive.


Montage Technology H Share Listing (6809 HK): Trading Debut

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/muyuan-foods-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3705:1" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK)</a> priced its H Share at HK$39 to raise HK$10,684 million (US$1.4 billion) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/muyuan-foods-h-share-listing-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:218326" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foods H Share Listing: The Investment Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/muyuan-foods-h-share-listing-2714-hk-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:219264" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foods H Share Listing (2714 HK): Valuation Insights</a>. </li>
<li>Muyuan's international and retail oversubscription rates were below the median of recent large AH listings. The AH discount remains attractive.</li>
</ul>



Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK) priced its H Share at HK$39 to raise HK$10,684 million (US$1.4 billion) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.
I discussed the H Share listing in Muyuan Foods H Share Listing: The Investment Case and Muyuan Foods H Share Listing (2714 HK): Valuation Insights. 
Muyuan's international and retail oversubscription rates were below the median of recent large AH listings. The AH discount remains attractive.


Muyuan Foods H Share Listing (2714 HK): Trading Debut

China

Lens Technology is a Chinese precision manufacturing company specializing in advanced glass, ceramic, metal, and sapphire components for consumer electronics and smart-vehicle interaction systems. It develops and produces protective glass, touch modules, and structural components for products like smartphones, wearables, and smart automotive displays. The company is headquartered in Changsha, Hunan, China, and was founded in 1993.

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Lens Technology (6613 HK)

A+H Listing: The Connect Inclusion Stat and the Trade

A+H Connect inclusion study across 27 IPOs finds H underperformance at stabilization expiry. Two trades live: DELTON (20 Mar listing) and ESTUN...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 6th): Sinopec, COSCO Shipping Energy, China Coal Energy, CNOOC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Sinopec, COSCO Shipping Energy, China Coal Energy, CNOOC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Wuxi Lead Equipment (470 HK): Almost Fair

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment's lukewarm IPO response leads to a fair value estimate of HK$45.6-48.8, suggesting it is almost fairly-valued with...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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A+H Listing: The Connect Inclusion Stat and the Trade

A+H Connect inclusion study across 27 IPOs finds H underperformance at stabilization expiry. Two trades live: DELTON (20 Mar listing) and ESTUN...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 6th): Sinopec, COSCO Shipping Energy, China Coal Energy, CNOOC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Sinopec, COSCO Shipping Energy, China Coal Energy, CNOOC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Wuxi Lead Equipment (470 HK): Almost Fair

​Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment's lukewarm IPO response leads to a fair value estimate of HK$45.6-48.8, suggesting it is almost fairly-valued with...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Montage Technology H Share Listing (6809 HK): Trading Debut

Montage's international and retail oversubscription rates were significantly above the median of recent large AH listings. The AH discount remains...

Arun George

Muyuan Foods H Share Listing (2714 HK): Trading Debut

Muyuan's international and retail oversubscription rates were below the median of recent large AH listings. The AH discount remains attractive.

Arun George

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment's lukewarm IPO response leads to a fair value estimate of HK$45.6-48.8, suggesting it is almost fairly-valued with...