Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 14th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Xpeng (9868 HK), TraHK HSI ETF (2800 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 14th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Xpeng (9868 HK), TraHK HSI ETF (2800 HK).


<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 21st.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, Xiaomi, Xpeng, CCB, SMIC, China Shenhua Energy.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 21st.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, Xiaomi, Xpeng, CCB, SMIC, China Shenhua Energy.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Nov 21st): Alibaba, Xiaomi, Xpeng, CCB, SMIC, China Shenhua Energy

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>As expected, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-leapmotor-technologie" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35968:1" rel="noopener">Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie (9863 HK)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asm-pacific-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15061:1" rel="noopener">ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 4.7% and that results in a round-trip trade of HK$27.5bn (US$3.5bn). There is between 8.7-9.8 days of ADV to trade in the two stocks.</li>
<li>Capping and float changes results in chunky flows to some other stocks and there could be big price moves over the next week.</li>
</ul>


As expected, Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie (9863 HK) will replace ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK) in the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) at the December rebalance.
Estimated one-way turnover is 4.7% and that results in a round-trip trade of HK$27.5bn (US$3.5bn). There is between 8.7-9.8 days of ADV to trade in the two stocks.
Capping and float changes results in chunky flows to some other stocks and there could be big price moves over the next week.


HSTECH Index Rebalance: Leapmotor (9863 HK) To Replace ASMPT (522 HK) As Trade Hits US$3.5bn

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
Bearish fundamental views are strengthening: Recent Smartkarma Insights argue <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> is overvalued, with slowing sales growth and valuation multiples pointing to limited upside.</li>
<li>
Call overwriting offers efficient yield: Implied volatility in the mid-30s enables attractive income generation.</li>
<li>
Strike and expiry selection matter: Short-dated December options provide the best liquidity, while higher strikes balance premium income with room for near-term upside.</li>
</ul>



Bearish fundamental views are strengthening: Recent Smartkarma Insights argue BYD (1211 HK) is overvalued, with slowing sales growth and valuation multiples pointing to limited upside.

Call overwriting offers efficient yield: Implied volatility in the mid-30s enables attractive income generation.

Strike and expiry selection matter: Short-dated December options provide the best liquidity, while higher strikes balance premium income with room for near-term upside.


BYD (1211 HK): Leverage Softening Fundamentals with Short Calls

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 7th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in AIA, Wuxi Apptec, HSCEI ETF.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 7th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in AIA, Wuxi Apptec, HSCEI ETF.


HK Short Interest Weekly: AIA, Wuxi Apptec, HSCEI ETF

China

Li Auto Inc. manufactures automobiles. The Company designs, develops, and sells smart new energy electric sport utility vehicles. Li Auto conducts businesses in China.

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Li Auto (2015 HK)

HK Short Interest Weekly: Xpeng

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 14th and highlight short interest changes in Xpeng, TraHK HSI ETF.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Nov 21st): Alibaba, Xiaomi, Xpeng, CCB, SMIC, China Shenhua Energy

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Xiaomi, Xpeng, CCB, SMIC, China Shenhua Energy.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSTECH Index Rebalance: Leapmotor (9863 HK) To Replace ASMPT (522 HK) As Trade Hits US$3.5bn

Leapmotor will replace ASMPT in the HSTECH at the close on 5 Dec. Given the lack of certainty about the change, both stocks appear under positioned...

Brian Freitas

BYD (1211 HK): Leverage Softening Fundamentals with Short Calls

Amid bearish views, a targeted call-overwrite strategy delivers efficient yield through well-chosen strikes and expiries.

Gaudenz Schneider

HK Short Interest Weekly: AIA, Wuxi Apptec, HSCEI ETF

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 7th and highlight short interest changes in AIA, Wuxi Apptec, HSCEI ETF.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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