Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
Context:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> reports Q3 2025 results on 30 October after market close. </li>
<li>
Options markets imply a ±4.7% move, notably larger than the historical ±3.0% average. The stock has shown asymmetric reactions, with fewer but stronger upside moves.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Understand how implied swings compare with history and how the earnings-linked volatility peak offers tactical opportunities around BYD’s 31 Oct weekly expiry.</li>
</ul>



Context:BYD (1211 HK) reports Q3 2025 results on 30 October after market close. 

Options markets imply a ±4.7% move, notably larger than the historical ±3.0% average. The stock has shown asymmetric reactions, with fewer but stronger upside moves.

Why Read: Understand how implied swings compare with history and how the earnings-linked volatility peak offers tactical opportunities around BYD’s 31 Oct weekly expiry.


BYD (1211 HK) Earnings on 30 Oct: Options Price in Larger-Than-Usual Move

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 10th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Bidu, Hua Hong Semiconductor, Pop Mart Intl, Hang Seng Bank, Xiaomi.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 10th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Bidu, Hua Hong Semiconductor, Pop Mart Intl, Hang Seng Bank, Xiaomi.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Bidu, Hua Hong Semiconductor, Pop Mart Intl, Hang Seng Bank, Xiaomi

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 26th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in CSPC Pharma, HSBC, Wuxi Apptec, China Mobile.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 26th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in CSPC Pharma, HSBC, Wuxi Apptec, China Mobile.


HK Short Interest Weekly: CSPC Pharma, HSBC, Wuxi Apptec, China Mobile

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 22 August, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongfeng-motor-group-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:910:1" rel="noopener">Dongfeng Motor (489 HK)</a> disclosed a pre-conditional privatisation by merger by absorption by Dongfeng Motor Corporation, along with a proposed distribution and listing of VOYAH shares.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/app/sehk/2025/107757/documents/sehk25100202720.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">VOYAH application proof</a>, filed on 2 October, points to strong fundamentals and suggests that the appraised value of VOYAH and the offer are conservative. </li>
<li>Based on the data points from the application proof, I calculate that the implied offer is HK$12.11-12.25 per H Share, a 11.6%-12.9% premium to the appraised value of HK$10.85. </li>
</ul>


On 22 August, Dongfeng Motor (489 HK) disclosed a pre-conditional privatisation by merger by absorption by Dongfeng Motor Corporation, along with a proposed distribution and listing of VOYAH shares.
The VOYAH application proof, filed on 2 October, points to strong fundamentals and suggests that the appraised value of VOYAH and the offer are conservative. 
Based on the data points from the application proof, I calculate that the implied offer is HK$12.11-12.25 per H Share, a 11.6%-12.9% premium to the appraised value of HK$10.85. 


Dongfeng Motor (489 HK): VOYAH Listing Docs Underscore the Upside

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 3rd.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, Tencent, Horizon Robotics, Xiaomi, SMIC, China Mobile, CCB.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 3rd.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, Tencent, Horizon Robotics, Xiaomi, SMIC, China Mobile, CCB.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Oct 3rd): Alibaba, Tencent, Horizon Robotics, Xiaomi, SMIC, China Mobile

China

Li Auto Inc. manufactures automobiles. The Company designs, develops, and sells smart new energy electric sport utility vehicles. Li Auto conducts businesses in China.

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Li Auto (2015 HK)

BYD (1211 HK) Earnings on 30 Oct: Options Price in Larger-Than-Usual Move

Quick reminder: BYD (1211 HK) will report after market close on 30 October. When the company last reported on 29 August, the stock fell 5.2% the...

Gaudenz Schneider

HK Short Interest Weekly: Bidu, Hua Hong Semiconductor, Pop Mart Intl, Hang Seng Bank, Xiaomi

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 10th and highlight short interest changes in Bidu, Hua Hong...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: CSPC Pharma, HSBC, Wuxi Apptec, China Mobile

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 26th and highlight short interest changes in CSPC Pharma, HSBC, Wuxi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Dongfeng Motor (489 HK): VOYAH Listing Docs Underscore the Upside

The VOYAH application proof, filed on 2 October, points to strong fundamentals and suggests that the appraised value of VOYAH and the offer are...

Arun George

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Oct 3rd): Alibaba, Tencent, Horizon Robotics, Xiaomi, SMIC, China Mobile

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Tencent, Horizon Robotics, Xiaomi, SMIC, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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