IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/111-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27412:1" rel="noopener">111 Inc (YI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/estia-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:77:1" rel="noopener">Estia Health (EHE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aag-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:501:1" rel="noopener">Aag Energy Holdings (2686 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-malt-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29116:1" rel="noopener">United Malt Group Ltd (UMG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/origin-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:797:1" rel="noopener">Origin Energy (ORG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>Lowest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/liontown-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20488:1" rel="noopener">Liontown Resources (LTR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lian-beng-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17636:1" rel="noopener">Lian Beng (LBG SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-fiber-system-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20826:1" rel="noopener">Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hkbn-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:289:1" rel="noopener">HKBN Ltd (1310 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mincor-resources-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6731:1" rel="noopener">Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads - 111 Inc (YI US), Estia Health (EHE AU), Aag Energy Holdings (2686 HK), United Malt Group Ltd (UMG AU), Origin Energy (ORG AU), Toshiba Corp (6502 JP). 
Lowest spreads - Healius (HLS AU), Liontown Resources (LTR AU), Lian Beng (LBG SP), Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP), HKBN Ltd (1310 HK), Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU).


Merger Arb Mondays (24 Apr) - AAG Energy, Jiangnan, HKBN, Healius, Lian Beng, Toyo

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yuexiu-property-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18097:1" rel="noopener">Yuexiu Property (123 HK)</a> rights issue and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adicon-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33786:1" rel="noopener">ADICON Holdings Limited (ADI HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zjld-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36734:1" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mankind-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36389:1" rel="noopener">Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hkbn-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:289:1" rel="noopener">HKBN Ltd (1310 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangnan-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9828:1" rel="noopener">Jiangnan (1366 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/essential-metals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9645:1" rel="noopener">Essential Metals (ESS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lian-beng-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17636:1" rel="noopener">Lian Beng (LBG SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oishi-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17370:1" rel="noopener">Oishi Group PCL (OISHI TB)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Yuexiu Property (123 HK) rights issue and ADICON Holdings Limited (ADI HK), ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK), Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments - HKBN Ltd (1310 HK), Jiangnan (1366 HK), Essential Metals (ESS AU), Healius (HLS AU), Lian Beng (LBG SP), Oishi Group PCL (OISHI TB). 


Weekly Deals Digest (23 Apr) - HKBN, Jiangnan, Lian Beng, Yuexiu Property, ZJLD, Mankind, Adicon

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35638:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten Bank (5838 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zjld-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36734:1" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mankind-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36389:1" rel="noopener">Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/merdeka-battery-materials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36864:1" rel="noopener">Merdeka Battery Materials (2012725D IJ)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lian-beng-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17636:1" rel="noopener">Lian Beng (LBG SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arcland-service-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2392:1" rel="noopener">Arcland Service (3085 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/essential-metals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9645:1" rel="noopener">Essential Metals (ESS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genesis-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4650:1" rel="noopener">Genesis Minerals (GMD AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newcrest-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:691:1" rel="noopener">Newcrest Mining (NCM AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Rakuten Bank (5838 JP), ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK), Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN) and Merdeka Battery Materials (2012725D IJ) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments - Lian Beng (LBG SP), Arcland Service (3085 JP), Essential Metals (ESS AU), Genesis Minerals (GMD AU), Healius (HLS AU), Newcrest Mining (NCM AU). 


Weekly Deals Digest (16 Apr) - Lian Beng, Arcland, Essential, Genesis, Newcrest, Rakuten Bank, ZJLD

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Singaporean construction firm <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lian-beng-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17636:1" rel="noopener">Lian Beng (LBG SP)</a> has <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/Offer_Announcement.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=753708" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> a voluntary unconditional cash Offer from the controlling Ong family, via investment holding company OSC Capital.</li>
<li>The Offer Price of S$0.62/share (not declared final) is a mediocre 8.8% premium to last close and a 59.7% discount to the 30 November 2022 NAV of S$1.538/share.</li>
<li>The announcement fails to mention the NAV/share. The IFA considered the 2021 Mandatory Offer of S$0.50/share not fair and not reasonable. Expect a similar conclusion </li>
</ul>


Singaporean construction firm Lian Beng (LBG SP) has announced a voluntary unconditional cash Offer from the controlling Ong family, via investment holding company OSC Capital.
The Offer Price of S$0.62/share (not declared final) is a mediocre 8.8% premium to last close and a 59.7% discount to the 30 November 2022 NAV of S$1.538/share.
The announcement fails to mention the NAV/share. The IFA considered the 2021 Mandatory Offer of S$0.50/share not fair and not reasonable. Expect a similar conclusion 


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lian-beng-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17636:1" rel="noopener">Lian Beng (LBG SP)</a>/LBG has disclosed a voluntary unconditional offer from the Ong family at S$0.62 per share, an 8.8% premium to the undisturbed price (6 April).</li>
<li>The offer price is unattractive in comparison to peer multiples and precedent transactions. The price is not final. As the family aims to privatise LBG, a bump is likely. </li>
<li>The offer will likely follow the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boustead-projects-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26785:1" rel="noopener">Boustead Projects (BOCJ SP)</a> playbook, where <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boustead-singapore-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14843:1" rel="noopener">Boustead Singapore Limited (BOCS SP)</a> tabled a take-it-or-leave-it derisory 5.6% bump to its low-balled offer.   </li>
</ul>



Lian Beng (LBG SP)/LBG has disclosed a voluntary unconditional offer from the Ong family at S$0.62 per share, an 8.8% premium to the undisturbed price (6 April).
The offer price is unattractive in comparison to peer multiples and precedent transactions. The price is not final. As the family aims to privatise LBG, a bump is likely. 
The offer will likely follow the Boustead Projects (BOCJ SP) playbook, where Boustead Singapore Limited (BOCS SP) tabled a take-it-or-leave-it derisory 5.6% bump to its low-balled offer.   


Lian Beng (LBG SP): Ong Family’s Derisory Unconditional Offer at S$0.62

Singapore

Lian Beng Group Ltd is a Singapore-based company primarily engaged in construction and civil engineering, property development and investment, and the manufacturing of construction materials. It also operates dormitory businesses and provides construction-related services. The company was established in 1973 and is headquartered in Singapore.

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Lian Beng (LBG SP)

Merger Arb Mondays (24 Apr) - AAG Energy, Jiangnan, HKBN, Healius, Lian Beng, Toyo

This week, the highest gross spreads are 111 (35.1%), Estia Health (14.5%), AAG Energy (13.5%), United Malt (7.8%), Origin Energy (7.3%), Toshiba...

Arun George

Weekly Deals Digest (23 Apr) - HKBN, Jiangnan, Lian Beng, Yuexiu Property, ZJLD, Mankind, Adicon

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Essential, Healius, HKBN, Jiangnan, Lian Beng, Oishi) and ECM (Yuexiu, Adicon, ZJLD,...

Arun George

Weekly Deals Digest (16 Apr) - Lian Beng, Arcland, Essential, Genesis, Newcrest, Rakuten Bank, ZJLD

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Essential, Genesis, Healius, Newcrest, Arcland, Toyo, Lian Beng) and ECM (Rakuten Bank,...

Arun George

Lian Beng: Family Takeout At <50% of NAV

Optically, and factoring in Lin Beng's illiquid volume, there's probably enough here to get it over the line. Buy a spread or two below terms. This...

David Blennerhassett

Lian Beng (LBG SP): Ong Family’s Derisory Unconditional Offer at S$0.62

The offer price is unattractive in comparison to peer multiples and precedent transactions. The price is not final. As the family aims to privatise...

Arun George

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