External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The RBI kept repo rates unchanged but more importantly pivoted its stance from “withdrawal of accommodation” to “neutral”, signalling an openness to rate cuts over the coming months</li><li>Although system-wide liquidity has organically improved since our most recent publication on the liquidity conundrum, deposit growth is likely to remain a function of growth in the broader money supply (M3) and inflation targets</li><li>More importantly, in line with its ‘satark’ motto, the RBI has categorically highlighted the unscrupulous practices of NBFC/HFCs to pursue growth and profitability at the cost of compliance and fair practices, with an unusually stern directive to such regulated entities to proactively mend their ways.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The RBI kept repo rates unchanged but more importantly pivoted its stance from “withdrawal of accommodation” to “neutral”, signalling an openness to rate cuts over the coming monthsAlthough system-wide liquidity has organically improved since our most recent publication on the liquidity conundrum, deposit growth is likely to remain a function of growth in the broader money supply (M3) and inflation targetsMore importantly, in line with its ‘satark’ motto, the RBI has categorically highlighted the unscrupulous practices of NBFC/HFCs to pursue growth and profitability at the cost of compliance and fair practices, with an unusually stern directive to such regulated entities to proactively mend their ways.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Leveraged Financials: ‘Satark’ NBFCs, RBI Pivots to a Stern Warning

<ul><li>Sundaram Finance: Sundaram Finance’s (SUF) Q1FY25 earnings were lower than our estimates, largely due to NIM compression and lower other income</li><li>AUM growth moderated to +23% YoY (Q4FY24: +27.3% YoY), driven by moderation in disbursements growth (+7% YoY)</li><li>While SUF’s product and geographic diversification approach to sustain its growth momentum and lift its margins has augured well in the past couple of years, the softening CV and PV cycle is likely to drive moderation in loan growth during FY25-FY26E (18% CAGR vs 22% CAGR during FY23-FY24)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Sundaram Finance: Sundaram Finance’s (SUF) Q1FY25 earnings were lower than our estimates, largely due to NIM compression and lower other incomeAUM growth moderated to +23% YoY (Q4FY24: +27.3% YoY), driven by moderation in disbursements growth (+7% YoY)While SUF’s product and geographic diversification approach to sustain its growth momentum and lift its margins has augured well in the past couple of years, the softening CV and PV cycle is likely to drive moderation in loan growth during FY25-FY26E (18% CAGR vs 22% CAGR during FY23-FY24)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Sundaram Finance, LIC Housing Finance, Motherson Sumi Wiring India

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group / Technical Analysis

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (8316 JP)

<ul>
<li>Our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. Continue to ride this trend higher and buy dips as long as ACWI-US and EEM-US remain above supports at $110 and $41-$42.</li>
<li>In our previous Int'l Compass (June 27) we discussed the rotation that we believed was starting, whereby global Technology (IXN-US) would consolidate as investors rotate to laggard areas.</li>
<li>This rotation has continued while Technology goes through a healthy consolidation. Continue to focus on other more value-oriented Sectors while Technology/growth consolidates</li>
</ul>


Our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. Continue to ride this trend higher and buy dips as long as ACWI-US and EEM-US remain above supports at $110 and $41-$42.
In our previous Int'l Compass (June 27) we discussed the rotation that we believed was starting, whereby global Technology (IXN-US) would consolidate as investors rotate to laggard areas.
This rotation has continued while Technology goes through a healthy consolidation. Continue to focus on other more value-oriented Sectors while Technology/growth consolidates


Rotation Continues; Bullish Outlook Intact; Buys in Global Financials, Industrials, Discretionary

<ul><li>Mahindra &amp; Mahindra: M&amp;M Q4FY24 PAT at INR 21.6bn beat our estimate of INR 17.9bn, aided by better realisation and soft commodity prices</li><li>M&amp;M has shared its investment plan for FY25-27</li><li>The total investment planned in the auto division is INR 270bn, of which INR 85bn is for SUV ICE, INR 40bn for CV, and sustenance investment of INR 15bn</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Mahindra &amp; Mahindra: M&amp;M Q4FY24 PAT at INR 21.6bn beat our estimate of INR 17.9bn, aided by better realisation and soft commodity pricesM&amp;M has shared its investment plan for FY25-27The total investment planned in the auto division is INR 270bn, of which INR 85bn is for SUV ICE, INR 40bn for CV, and sustenance investment of INR 15bnContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Mahindra & Mahindra, Infoedge, Berger Paints, LIC Housing Finance

<ul><li>LIC Housing Finance: LICHF’s earnings were ahead of our estimates due to sustained healthy NIMs, partially offset by muted loan growth (+5% YoY) and high credit costs (60bps)</li><li>LICHF’s NIMs continued to surprise positively at 3% (-4bps QoQ) due to muted balance sheet growth, however, the lower incremental spreads amidst elevated competitive intensity, moderation in demand and rising cost of funds are likely to normalise margins near steady state during FY25</li><li>Loan growth remains tepid (+5% YoY) across segments due to organisational and tech changes as per management and remains a key concern</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

LIC Housing Finance: LICHF’s earnings were ahead of our estimates due to sustained healthy NIMs, partially offset by muted loan growth (+5% YoY) and high credit costs (60bps)LICHF’s NIMs continued to surprise positively at 3% (-4bps QoQ) due to muted balance sheet growth, however, the lower incremental spreads amidst elevated competitive intensity, moderation in demand and rising cost of funds are likely to normalise margins near steady state during FY25Loan growth remains tepid (+5% YoY) across segments due to organisational and tech changes as per management and remains a key concernContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: LIC Housing Finance, BSE, Century Plyboards India

India

LIC Housing Finance is a major Indian housing finance company that provides long-term financing for the purchase, construction, repair, and renovation of residential properties for individuals and corporate entities. The company offers a diverse product portfolio including home loans, plot loans, home improvement loans, and loans against property. It was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.

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LIC Housing Finance (LICHF IN)

Leveraged Financials: ‘Satark’ NBFCs, RBI Pivots to a Stern Warning

We continue to reiterate our preference towards large banks (top pick: SBIN, ICICIBC) over NBFCs (Top pick: BAF) in the current environment.

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Sundaram Finance, LIC Housing Finance, Motherson Sumi Wiring India

Sundaram Finance: Sundaram Finance’s (SUF) Q1FY25 earnings were lower than our estimates, largely due to NIM compression and lower other income

HDFC Securities

Rotation Continues; Bullish Outlook Intact; Buys in Global Financials, Industrials, Discretionary

Rotation Continues; Bullish Outlook Intact as $ACWI and $EEM hold above $110 and $41-42; Buys in global Financials, Industrials, and Consumer...

Vermilion Research

HSIE Results Daily: Mahindra & Mahindra, Infoedge, Berger Paints, LIC Housing Finance

Mahindra & Mahindra: M&M Q4FY24 PAT at INR 21.6bn beat our estimate of INR 17.9bn, aided by better realisation and soft commodity...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: LIC Housing Finance, BSE, Century Plyboards India

LIC Housing Finance: LICHF’s earnings were ahead of our estimates due to sustained healthy NIMs, partially offset by muted loan growth (+5% YoY)...

HDFC Securities

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