Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Back on the 18 December 2023, superannuation service provider <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a> entered into a Scheme with Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group.</li>
<li>MUFJ offered Link shareholders A$2.10/share (in cash) plus a A$0.16/share dividend (25% franked), or a 32.9% premium, all-in. </li>
<li>The Scheme Meeting will now take place on the 24th April, with expected implementation on the 16 May. This looks done - and trading accordingly. </li>
</ul>


Back on the 18 December 2023, superannuation service provider Link Administration (LNK AU) entered into a Scheme with Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group.
MUFJ offered Link shareholders A$2.10/share (in cash) plus a A$0.16/share dividend (25% franked), or a 32.9% premium, all-in. 
The Scheme Meeting will now take place on the 24th April, with expected implementation on the 16 May. This looks done - and trading accordingly. 


Link Admin (LNK AU): 24th April Shareholder Vote

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a> IE considers <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsubishi-ufj-financial-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:218:1" rel="noopener">Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (MUFG) (8306 JP)</a>’s A$2.26 offer fair and reasonable as it is within its A$2.11-2.70 per share valuation range.</li>
<li>The scheme remains conditional on several regulatory approvals - FIRB, Central Bank of Ireland, Isle of Man Financial Services Authority, India SEBI, and Financial Services Agency of Japan.</li>
<li>Several substantial shareholders have sold or exited, lowering the scheme's risk. At the last close and for the 16 May payment, the gross/annualised spread was 1.3%/9.7%.</li>
</ul>


The Link Administration (LNK AU) IE considers Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (MUFG) (8306 JP)’s A$2.26 offer fair and reasonable as it is within its A$2.11-2.70 per share valuation range.
The scheme remains conditional on several regulatory approvals - FIRB, Central Bank of Ireland, Isle of Man Financial Services Authority, India SEBI, and Financial Services Agency of Japan.
Several substantial shareholders have sold or exited, lowering the scheme's risk. At the last close and for the 16 May payment, the gross/annualised spread was 1.3%/9.7%.


Link Admin (LNK AU): Scheme Vote on 24 April

<ul>
<li>For the month of April 2024, 7 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$4bn. </li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in April was ~55%. The average premium YTD is ~42%. </li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of April 2024, 7 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$4bn. 
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in April was ~55%. The average premium YTD is ~42%. 
This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, April 2024: Austal, L'Occitane, Langham Hosp., Jastec, Mimasu, Best World, Isetan

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a> has entered a SID with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsubishi-ufj-financial-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:218:1" rel="noopener">Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (MUFG) (8306 JP)</a> at A$2.26 (A$2.10 scheme consideration + A$0.16 dividend), a 32.9% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
<li>The presence of several substantial shareholders, lack of irrevocables, a light offer, recent derisking of the business and a long-dated offer pose a challenge for the scheme to get up. </li>
<li>MUFG’s offer could spark a rival offer, but Link’s long-suffering shareholders have endured a history of failed bids. At the last close, the risk/reward is unfavourable.</li>
</ul>



Link Administration (LNK AU) has entered a SID with Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (MUFG) (8306 JP) at A$2.26 (A$2.10 scheme consideration + A$0.16 dividend), a 32.9% premium to the undisturbed price.
The presence of several substantial shareholders, lack of irrevocables, a light offer, recent derisking of the business and a long-dated offer pose a challenge for the scheme to get up. 
MUFG’s offer could spark a rival offer, but Link’s long-suffering shareholders have endured a history of failed bids. At the last close, the risk/reward is unfavourable.


Link Admin (LNK AU): MUFG’s Underwhelming Binding Offer

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a>, the largest provider of services in Australia’s superannuation administration industry, has entered into a Scheme with Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group.</li>
<li>MUFJ is offering long-suffering Link shareholders A$2.10/share (in cash) plus a A$0.16/share dividend (25% franked), or a 32.9% premium, all-in, to the undisturbed price. It has not been declared final. </li>
<li>The Offer has the board's backing. A Scheme Meeting is expected to be held in May with possible completion in June 2024. </li>
</ul>



Link Administration (LNK AU), the largest provider of services in Australia’s superannuation administration industry, has entered into a Scheme with Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group.
MUFJ is offering long-suffering Link shareholders A$2.10/share (in cash) plus a A$0.16/share dividend (25% franked), or a 32.9% premium, all-in, to the undisturbed price. It has not been declared final. 
The Offer has the board's backing. A Scheme Meeting is expected to be held in May with possible completion in June 2024. 


Link Admin (LNK AU): Mitsubishi UFJ's Bittersweet Scheme

Australia

Link Administration Holdings Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides fund administration, corporate markets, information, and digital and data services. Link Administration Holdings serves customers worldwide.

Link Administration (LNK AU)

Link Admin (LNK AU): 24th April Shareholder Vote

This is done. Trading super tight at a 1.3%/9.3% gross/annualised spread. If in, stay in. Otherwise, I'd probably be looking elsewhere.

David Blennerhassett

Link Admin (LNK AU): Scheme Vote on 24 April

Several substantial shareholders have sold or exited, lowering the scheme's risk. At the last close and for the 16 May payment, the gross...

Arun George

(Mostly) Asia M&A, April 2024: Austal, L'Occitane, Langham Hosp., Jastec, Mimasu, Best World, Isetan

For the month of April, 7 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of just ~US$4bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

Link Admin (LNK AU): MUFG’s Underwhelming Binding Offer

The presence of several substantial shareholders, lack of irrevocables, a light offer, recent derisking of the business and a long-dated offer pose...

Arun George

Link Admin (LNK AU): Mitsubishi UFJ's Bittersweet Scheme

I think this is done. Trading tight at a 3.0%/5.6% gross/annalused sprad, assuming late June completion. It appears the market is holding out for a...

David Blennerhassett