HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

Zhou Liu Fu Jewellery / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The 2024 China Hospital Medication Market Pattern Report has been released, and we have found some interesting points worth the attention.</li>
<li>CNPGC plans to acquire 21.03% of Pacific Shuanglin's shares at a premium of over 30% and become the actual controller. Due to horizontal competition issue, there’s potential M&amp;A/privatization opportunities here.</li>
<li>The IPO of Zhou Liu Fu is fairly priced. But fundamentals would not improve due to high gold prices and would deteriorate instead. Share price upside potential could be lower-than-expected.</li>
</ul>


The 2024 China Hospital Medication Market Pattern Report has been released, and we have found some interesting points worth the attention.
CNPGC plans to acquire 21.03% of Pacific Shuanglin's shares at a premium of over 30% and become the actual controller. Due to horizontal competition issue, there’s potential M&amp;A/privatization opportunities here.
The IPO of Zhou Liu Fu is fairly priced. But fundamentals would not improve due to high gold prices and would deteriorate instead. Share price upside potential could be lower-than-expected.


China Healthcare Weekly (Jun.22) - CNPGC to Acquire Shuanglin, Thoughts on Zhou Liu Fu's IPO Pricing

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhou-liu-fu-jewellery-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43706:1" rel="noopener">Zhou Liu Fu Jewelery Co., Ltd. (6168 HK)</a>'s IPO does not appeal to us, given deteriorating profitability, smaller size, and inferior financials. </li>
<li>Its IPO price of HK$24.0 appears to be fair relative to the peers' valuation, leaving limited upside and downside in the secondary market. </li>
<li>We value the stock at HK$22.5-25.7, based on 20-30% discount to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chow-tai-fook-jewellery-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:549:1" rel="noopener">Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK)</a>. It is not another <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/laopu-gold-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44036:1" rel="noopener">Laopu Gold (6181 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>



Zhou Liu Fu Jewelery Co., Ltd. (6168 HK)'s IPO does not appeal to us, given deteriorating profitability, smaller size, and inferior financials. 
Its IPO price of HK$24.0 appears to be fair relative to the peers' valuation, leaving limited upside and downside in the secondary market. 
We value the stock at HK$22.5-25.7, based on 20-30% discount to Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK). It is not another Laopu Gold (6181 HK). 


Zhou Liu Fu (6168 HK) IPO: Not Our Cup of Tea

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Nicholas Tan

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhou-liu-fu-jewellery-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43706:1" rel="noopener">Zhou Liu Fu Jewellery Co., Ltd. (1716396D CH)</a> is looking to raise up to $143m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>It is a leading and fast growing jewellery franchise in China offering a diverse range of products through offline and online sales channels.</li>
<li>In this note, we examine the IPO dynamics, and look at the firm’s valuation.</li>
</ul>



Zhou Liu Fu Jewellery Co., Ltd. (1716396D CH) is looking to raise up to $143m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
It is a leading and fast growing jewellery franchise in China offering a diverse range of products through offline and online sales channels.
In this note, we examine the IPO dynamics, and look at the firm’s valuation.


Zhou Liu Fu Pre-IPO: Not Blindingly Cheap but Peer Momentum Is Strong

Equity Bottom-Up

Chow Tai Fook Jewellery / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>While <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chow-tai-fook-jewellery-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:549:1" rel="noopener">Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK)</a> has a stellar share price performance YTD, it still lags the HSI since 2023. The solid 2H FY25 result should support further upside. </li>
<li>SSS growth has recovered sharply in Apr-May 2025 (the first two months of 1Q FY26), and CTF should reap further benefits from cost management and product transformation.</li>
<li>FY26F ROE may reach 27.2%. While its current yield is only 4.6%, it is possible to declare special dividend this year, easily pushing it to over 10%.</li>
</ul>


While Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK) has a stellar share price performance YTD, it still lags the HSI since 2023. The solid 2H FY25 result should support further upside. 
SSS growth has recovered sharply in Apr-May 2025 (the first two months of 1Q FY26), and CTF should reap further benefits from cost management and product transformation.
FY26F ROE may reach 27.2%. While its current yield is only 4.6%, it is possible to declare special dividend this year, easily pushing it to over 10%.


Chow Tai Fook (1929 HK): A Decent Rebound

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/primo-global" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45246:1" rel="noopener">Primo Global (367A JP) </a>is looking to raise up to $96m in its upcoming Japan IPO</li>
<li>It specializes in merchandising bridal jewellery, namely engagement rings and wedding rings.</li>
<li>In this note, we examine the IPO dynamics, and look at the firm’s valuation.</li>
</ul>



Primo Global (367A JP) is looking to raise up to $96m in its upcoming Japan IPO
It specializes in merchandising bridal jewellery, namely engagement rings and wedding rings.
In this note, we examine the IPO dynamics, and look at the firm’s valuation.


Primo Global Pre-IPO: Fairly Valued, Controlling Shareholders Rushing for Exit

Hong Kong

Luk Fook Holdings (International) Limited retails jewellery. The Company engages in the sourcing, designing, wholesaling and retailing of a variety of platinum and gold jewellery, gold ornaments, gem-set jewellery, natural jadeites, gemstones, and other related products. Luk Fook offers its products in Hong Kong, Mainland China, Macau, Singapore, the United States and Canada.

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Luk Fook Holdings Intl (590 HK)

China Healthcare Weekly (Jun.22) - CNPGC to Acquire Shuanglin, Thoughts on Zhou Liu Fu's IPO Pricing

CNPGC plan to acquire Pacific Shuanglin, bringing new M&A/privatization due to horizontal competition. Zhou Liu Fu's IPO is fairly priced, but...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Zhou Liu Fu (6168 HK) IPO: Not Our Cup of Tea

Zhou Liu Fu Jewelery's IPO lacks appeal due to declining profitability, smaller size, and weaker financials, with limited upside and downside in...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Zhou Liu Fu Pre-IPO: Not Blindingly Cheap but Peer Momentum Is Strong

Zhou Liu Fu is looking to raise up to $143m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we examine the IPO dynamics, and look at the firm’s...

Nicholas Tan

Chow Tai Fook (1929 HK): A Decent Rebound

Despite lagging the HSI since end-2023, CTF's solid 2H FY25 results, product transformation, and cost control achievement will boost the share...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Primo Global Pre-IPO: Fairly Valued, Controlling Shareholders Rushing for Exit

Primo Global is looking to raise up to $96m in its upcoming Japan IPO. In this note, we examine the IPO dynamics, and look at the firm’s valuation.

Nicholas Tan

Price Gauge

52-week Range

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China Healthcare Weekly (Jun.22) - CNPGC to Acquire Shuanglin, Thoughts on Zhou Liu Fu's IPO Pricing

CNPGC plan to acquire Pacific Shuanglin, bringing new M&A/privatization due to horizontal competition. Zhou Liu Fu's IPO is fairly priced, but...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Zhou Liu Fu (6168 HK) IPO: Not Our Cup of Tea

​Zhou Liu Fu Jewelery's IPO lacks appeal due to declining profitability, smaller size, and weaker financials, with limited upside and downside in...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Zhou Liu Fu Pre-IPO: Not Blindingly Cheap but Peer Momentum Is Strong

Zhou Liu Fu is looking to raise up to $143m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we examine the IPO dynamics, and look at the firm’s...

Nicholas Tan

Chow Tai Fook (1929 HK): A Decent Rebound

Despite lagging the HSI since end-2023, ​CTF's solid 2H FY25 results, product transformation, and cost control achievement will boost the share...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Primo Global Pre-IPO: Fairly Valued, Controlling Shareholders Rushing for Exit

Primo Global is looking to raise up to $96m in its upcoming Japan IPO. In this note, we examine the IPO dynamics, and look at the firm’s valuation.

Nicholas Tan

Zhou Liu Fu Jewelery's IPO lacks appeal due to declining profitability, smaller size, and weaker financials, with limited upside and downside in...

Despite lagging the HSI since end-2023, CTF's solid 2H FY25 results, product transformation, and cost control achievement will boost the share...