Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Hahn &amp; Co hold 79.9% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ssangyong-cement-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9345:1" rel="noopener">Ssangyong Cement Industrial (003410 KS)</a> and have made a tender offer to acquire the remaining 20.1% at KRW 7,000/share.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ssangyong-cement-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9345:1" rel="noopener">Ssangyong Cement Industrial (003410 KS)</a> should be deleted from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> once Hahn &amp; Co acquire 90% of the company.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aekyung-chemical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20295:1" rel="noopener">Aekyung Chemical (161000 KS)</a> is a potential addition to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> but inclusion is dependent on Hahn &amp; Co reaching 90% of shares out.</li>
</ul>


Hahn &amp; Co hold 79.9% of Ssangyong Cement Industrial (003410 KS) and have made a tender offer to acquire the remaining 20.1% at KRW 7,000/share.

Ssangyong Cement Industrial (003410 KS) should be deleted from the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) once Hahn &amp; Co acquire 90% of the company.

Aekyung Chemical (161000 KS) is a potential addition to the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) but inclusion is dependent on Hahn &amp; Co reaching 90% of shares out.


KOSPI200 Index Adhoc Rebalance: Potential Replacements for SsangyongC&E

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>We review the major tender offers of Korean companies in 2023. Some of the major M&amp;A tender offers that have closed this year include Osstem Implant and SM Entertainment.</li>
<li>Among the 15 companies targeted for tender offers, there are 5 companies including Osstem Implant, SM Entertainment, Lutronic Corp where the purpose of the tender offers is for M&amp;A. </li>
<li>There were a total of 18 companies that submitted tender offer results announcements in 2023 (as of 11 December), up 157% YoY.</li>
</ul>


We review the major tender offers of Korean companies in 2023. Some of the major M&amp;A tender offers that have closed this year include Osstem Implant and SM Entertainment.
Among the 15 companies targeted for tender offers, there are 5 companies including Osstem Implant, SM Entertainment, Lutronic Corp where the purpose of the tender offers is for M&amp;A. 
There were a total of 18 companies that submitted tender offer results announcements in 2023 (as of 11 December), up 157% YoY.


A Review of Tender Offers of Korean Companies in 2023

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the review period nearly complete, we see 15 potential changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>There could be index changes even before the December rebalance if there are prolonged trading suspensions and stocks migrate from the KOSDAQ Market to the KOSPI Market.</li>
<li>The potential adds have sold off hard over the last six weeks, similar to the performance at the June rebalance.</li>
</ul>


With the review period nearly complete, we see 15 potential changes for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the December rebalance.
There could be index changes even before the December rebalance if there are prolonged trading suspensions and stocks migrate from the KOSDAQ Market to the KOSPI Market.
The potential adds have sold off hard over the last six weeks, similar to the performance at the June rebalance.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Sell Off Among Potential Inclusions as Momentum Fades

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>For the month of September 2023, 8 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$2bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in September was 37%. The average YTD is 35%.</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2022 (106 deals), 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of September 2023, 8 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$2bn.
The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in September was 37%. The average YTD is 35%.
This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2022 (106 deals), 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, Sept 2023: JMDC, Pact, Takisawa, Golden Eagle Energy, Dic Corp

Value Added Technologies / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/value-added-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9946:1" rel="noopener">Value Added Technologies (043150 KS)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lutronic-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2250:1" rel="noopener">Lutronic Corp (085370 KS)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the close on 14 September.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy over 1.5x ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/value-added-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9946:1" rel="noopener">Value Added Technologies (043150 KS)</a>. The impact is higher on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lutronic-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2250:1" rel="noopener">Lutronic Corp (085370 KS)</a> but the arbs will provide liquidity.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/value-added-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9946:1" rel="noopener">Value Added Technologies (043150 KS)</a> appears to trade cheaper than its peers on all valuation parameters and there could be a re-rating following the index inclusion.</li>
</ul>



Value Added Technologies (043150 KS) will replace Lutronic Corp (085370 KS) in the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the close on 14 September.
Passive trackers will need to buy over 1.5x ADV on Value Added Technologies (043150 KS). The impact is higher on Lutronic Corp (085370 KS) but the arbs will provide liquidity.

Value Added Technologies (043150 KS) appears to trade cheaper than its peers on all valuation parameters and there could be a re-rating following the index inclusion.


KOSDAQ150 Ad Hoc Index Rebalance: VATECH (043150 KS) Replaces Lutronic (085370 KS)

South Korea

Lutronic Corporation is an innovator in advanced aesthetic, medical laser and related technology. The Company reinvests large portion of its revenue in R&D, developing breakthrough applications to explore future medical laser opportunities that include ophthalmology, neurosurgery, urology, and other surgical laser applications. Lutronic serves customers globally.

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Lutronic Corp (085370 KS)

KOSPI200 Index Adhoc Rebalance: Potential Replacements for SsangyongC&E

HahnCo is looking to take SsangyongCE private. That will open up an index spot in the KOSPI200. AekyungChemical could be added to the index in...

Brian Freitas

A Review of Tender Offers of Korean Companies in 2023

We review the major tender offers of Korean companies in 2023. There were a total of 18 companies that submitted tender offer results announcements...

Douglas Kim

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Sell Off Among Potential Inclusions as Momentum Fades

With momentum fading in Korea, the selloff has hit the potential adds to the KOSDAQ150 especially hard. There could be a few constituent changes...

Brian Freitas

(Mostly) Asia M&A, Sept 2023: JMDC, Pact, Takisawa, Golden Eagle Energy, Dic Corp

For the month of September, 8 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of ~US$2bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

KOSDAQ150 Ad Hoc Index Rebalance: VATECH (043150 KS) Replaces Lutronic (085370 KS)

Value Added Tech will replace Lutronic in the KOSDAQ150 at the close on 14 September. VAT has underperformed its peers and trades at cheaper...

Brian Freitas

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