Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Retail investors hold the majority of shares at 60%, and they may be interested in participating in the second tender offer based on their accumulated learning effect.</li>
<li>Based on the observed behavior of Hahn &amp; Co, it's unlikely that they will walk away from the delisting plan.</li>
<li>We need to consider going long on the potential upward adjustment of the second tendering price. This play can be viewed as a call option with a floor at ₩36,700.</li>
</ul>


Retail investors hold the majority of shares at 60%, and they may be interested in participating in the second tender offer based on their accumulated learning effect.
Based on the observed behavior of Hahn &amp; Co, it's unlikely that they will walk away from the delisting plan.
We need to consider going long on the potential upward adjustment of the second tendering price. This play can be viewed as a call option with a floor at ₩36,700.


Trading Plays for the Unexpected Tender Offer to Lutronic Corp Shareholders

<ul>
<li>Lutronic Corp and Jeisys Medical have considerably lower DTV in comparison to their float shares. It is highly probable that they have artificially increased their float shares.</li>
<li>Coincidentally, these two stocks are the ones that have experienced the most dramatic increase in borrow balance after the result announcement.</li>
<li>These two stocks are being targeted for short-selling from a post-event perspective because the market believes they will exhibit abnormal passive (price) impact due to their inflated float shares.</li>
</ul>


Lutronic Corp and Jeisys Medical have considerably lower DTV in comparison to their float shares. It is highly probable that they have artificially increased their float shares.
Coincidentally, these two stocks are the ones that have experienced the most dramatic increase in borrow balance after the result announcement.
These two stocks are being targeted for short-selling from a post-event perspective because the market believes they will exhibit abnormal passive (price) impact due to their inflated float shares.


Two of KS200/KQ150 Additions Are Prime-Targeted for Shorting Due to Their Inflated Float Shares

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>Hahn &amp; Co hold 79.9% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ssangyong-cement-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9345:1" rel="noopener">Ssangyong Cement Industrial (003410 KS)</a> and have made a tender offer to acquire the remaining 20.1% at KRW 7,000/share.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ssangyong-cement-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9345:1" rel="noopener">Ssangyong Cement Industrial (003410 KS)</a> should be deleted from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> once Hahn &amp; Co acquire 90% of the company.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aekyung-chemical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20295:1" rel="noopener">Aekyung Chemical (161000 KS)</a> is a potential addition to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> but inclusion is dependent on Hahn &amp; Co reaching 90% of shares out.</li>
</ul>


Hahn &amp; Co hold 79.9% of Ssangyong Cement Industrial (003410 KS) and have made a tender offer to acquire the remaining 20.1% at KRW 7,000/share.

Ssangyong Cement Industrial (003410 KS) should be deleted from the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) once Hahn &amp; Co acquire 90% of the company.

Aekyung Chemical (161000 KS) is a potential addition to the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) but inclusion is dependent on Hahn &amp; Co reaching 90% of shares out.


KOSPI200 Index Adhoc Rebalance: Potential Replacements for SsangyongC&E

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>We review the major tender offers of Korean companies in 2023. Some of the major M&amp;A tender offers that have closed this year include Osstem Implant and SM Entertainment.</li>
<li>Among the 15 companies targeted for tender offers, there are 5 companies including Osstem Implant, SM Entertainment, Lutronic Corp where the purpose of the tender offers is for M&amp;A. </li>
<li>There were a total of 18 companies that submitted tender offer results announcements in 2023 (as of 11 December), up 157% YoY.</li>
</ul>


We review the major tender offers of Korean companies in 2023. Some of the major M&amp;A tender offers that have closed this year include Osstem Implant and SM Entertainment.
Among the 15 companies targeted for tender offers, there are 5 companies including Osstem Implant, SM Entertainment, Lutronic Corp where the purpose of the tender offers is for M&amp;A. 
There were a total of 18 companies that submitted tender offer results announcements in 2023 (as of 11 December), up 157% YoY.


A Review of Tender Offers of Korean Companies in 2023

<ul>
<li>With the review period nearly complete, we see 15 potential changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>There could be index changes even before the December rebalance if there are prolonged trading suspensions and stocks migrate from the KOSDAQ Market to the KOSPI Market.</li>
<li>The potential adds have sold off hard over the last six weeks, similar to the performance at the June rebalance.</li>
</ul>


With the review period nearly complete, we see 15 potential changes for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the December rebalance.
There could be index changes even before the December rebalance if there are prolonged trading suspensions and stocks migrate from the KOSDAQ Market to the KOSPI Market.
The potential adds have sold off hard over the last six weeks, similar to the performance at the June rebalance.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Sell Off Among Potential Inclusions as Momentum Fades

South Korea

Lutronic Corporation is an innovator in advanced aesthetic, medical laser and related technology. The Company reinvests large portion of its revenue in R&D, developing breakthrough applications to explore future medical laser opportunities that include ophthalmology, neurosurgery, urology, and other surgical laser applications. Lutronic serves customers globally.

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Lutronic Corp (085370 KS)

Trading Plays for the Unexpected Tender Offer to Lutronic Corp Shareholders

This post examines potential trading plays for the unexpected tendering offer to the Lutronic Corp shareholders announced this morning by Hahn & Co.

Sanghyun Park

Two of KS200/KQ150 Additions Are Prime-Targeted for Shorting Due to Their Inflated Float Shares

This post investigates which of the KOSPI 200/KOSDAQ 150 additions are being prime-targeted for short-selling after index inclusion due to the...

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI200 Index Adhoc Rebalance: Potential Replacements for SsangyongC&E

HahnCo is looking to take SsangyongCE private. That will open up an index spot in the KOSPI200. AekyungChemical could be added to the index in...

Brian Freitas

A Review of Tender Offers of Korean Companies in 2023

We review the major tender offers of Korean companies in 2023. There were a total of 18 companies that submitted tender offer results announcements...

Douglas Kim

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Sell Off Among Potential Inclusions as Momentum Fades

With momentum fading in Korea, the selloff has hit the potential adds to the KOSDAQ150 especially hard. There could be a few constituent changes...

Brian Freitas

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