Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

US Treasury (10 Yr Generic) / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We maintain our near-term bullish outlook on SPX, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM), which has remained in place since 4/22/25, aside from one week(11/19/25-11/25/25) when we went neutral.</li>
<li>We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6824 on SPX, $610 on QQQ, and $245 on IWM continue to hold. Intermediate-term, still bullish above 6480-6520</li>
<li>SPX gap down (resistance at 6910-6940, Staples at 4-month RS highs, and more are giving us reason for caution in the near-term, though we still view pullbacks as a buy</li>
</ul>


We maintain our near-term bullish outlook on SPX, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM), which has remained in place since 4/22/25, aside from one week(11/19/25-11/25/25) when we went neutral.
We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6824 on SPX, $610 on QQQ, and $245 on IWM continue to hold. Intermediate-term, still bullish above 6480-6520
SPX gap down (resistance at 6910-6940, Staples at 4-month RS highs, and more are giving us reason for caution in the near-term, though we still view pullbacks as a buy


Reason for Near-Term Caution? 10Y Treasury Yield Above 4.20%; Upgrading Energy and Staples

Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>U.S. tariffs intensify strain on the petrochemical sector, shielding domestic producers while redirecting Chinese exports into Asia and leaving European firms most exposed.</li>
<li>Trade barriers amplify oversupply pressures, benefiting U.S.-centric petrochemical firms, granting Middle Eastern players new market share, and pushing Chinese exporters into low-margin Asian markets.</li>
<li>Global petrochemicals face a reset, exposing Europe’s vulnerabilities, capping Asian gains, and reinforcing domestic advantages for American producers.</li>
</ul>


U.S. tariffs intensify strain on the petrochemical sector, shielding domestic producers while redirecting Chinese exports into Asia and leaving European firms most exposed.
Trade barriers amplify oversupply pressures, benefiting U.S.-centric petrochemical firms, granting Middle Eastern players new market share, and pushing Chinese exporters into low-margin Asian markets.
Global petrochemicals face a reset, exposing Europe’s vulnerabilities, capping Asian gains, and reinforcing domestic advantages for American producers.


U.S. Petrochemical Companies Gain Ground as European Firms Falter in U.S.-China Trade War

High Quality Stock Setups, Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

High Quality Stock Setups

Finding high potential stock setups on quality companies

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

The S&amp;P 500 gained 6.6% this week, snapping a 7-week losing streak, and posted its biggest weekly gain since November 2020.It remains to be seen if this is beginning of a bear market bounce or something more sustained.Keep in mind that while the Federal Reserve has raised interest rates (and will continue to do so until inflation is lowered), the shrinking of the Fed balance sheet has not yet started and will begin in June.

The S&amp;P 500 gained 6.6% this week, snapping a 7-week losing streak, and posted its biggest weekly gain since November 2020.It remains to be seen if this is beginning of a bear market bounce or something more sustained.Keep in mind that while the Federal Reserve has raised interest rates (and will continue to do so until inflation is lowered), the shrinking of the Fed balance sheet has not yet started and will begin in June.

Due to uptrend violations for the Nasdaq 100, S&amp;P 500, and Russell 2000 we continue to believe near-term consolidation is likely -- potentially something similar to what the market experienced between June and early-July. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary &amp; Materials: Retailers, Footwear, Retailers, Teenagers, Metals, Steel, Integrated, Non-U.S., and Chemicals, Diversified.

Due to uptrend violations for the Nasdaq 100, S&amp;P 500, and Russell 2000 we continue to believe near-term consolidation is likely -- potentially something similar to what the market experienced between June and early-July. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary &amp; Materials: Retailers, Footwear, Retailers, Teenagers, Metals, Steel, Integrated, Non-U.S., and Chemicals, Diversified.

U. S. Equity Strategy: Bull-Bear Battle Continues

New and ongoing developments continue to support our bullish outlook. In the “new” column, we have bullish inflections in Treasury yields, the value vs. growth ratio, and broad commodities (Bloomberg Commodity index). These are classic signs that the economy is improving and is historically consistent with prior equity bull markets. Another new development is the market becoming increasingly overbought. As we outline in today's report, being “overbought” is far from a sell signal.  We also highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Energy and Materials: Large-, Mid-, and Small-Cap Domestic Oil &amp; Gas E&amp;P , Chemicals, Diversified, and Specialty Chemicals, Petro/Basic/Commodity.

New and ongoing developments continue to support our bullish outlook. In the “new” column, we have bullish inflections in Treasury yields, the value vs. growth ratio, and broad commodities (Bloomberg Commodity index). These are classic signs that the economy is improving and is historically consistent with prior equity bull markets. Another new development is the market becoming increasingly overbought. As we outline in today's report, being “overbought” is far from a sell signal.  We also highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Energy and Materials: Large-, Mid-, and Small-Cap Domestic Oil &amp; Gas E&amp;P , Chemicals, Diversified, and Specialty Chemicals, Petro/Basic/Commodity.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Value Overtaking Growth; Treasury Yields and Commodities Bottoming

United States

LyondellBasell Industries NV manufactures plastic, chemical, and fuel products. The Company offers products for the manufacturing of personal care products, fresh food packaging, lightweight plastics, construction materials, automotive components, durable textiles, medical applications, and biofuels. LyondellBasell Industries conducts its business worldwide.

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Lyondellbasell Indu Cl A (LYB US)

Reason for Near-Term Caution? 10Y Treasury Yield Above 4.20%; Upgrading Energy and Staples

Reason for Near-Term Caution? $SPX $QQQ 10-Year Treasury Yield Breaking Above 4.20%; Upgrading Energy $XLE $RSPG and Staples $XLP to market weight,...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Petrochemical Companies Gain Ground as European Firms Falter in U.S.-China Trade War

U.S. tariffs on petrochemicals shift global trade dynamics, benefiting American producers, Middle Eastern players, and low-margin Asian markets...

Mint Finance

Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 5/30

The S&P 500 gained 6.6% this week, snapping a 7-week losing streak, and posted its biggest weekly gain since November 2020.

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

U. S. Equity Strategy: Bull-Bear Battle Continues

Due to uptrend violations for the Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, and Russell 2000 we continue to believe near-term consolidation is likely -- potentially...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Value Overtaking Growth; Treasury Yields and Commodities Bottoming

New and ongoing developments continue to support our bullish outlook. In the “new” column, we have bullish inflections in Treasury yields, the...

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Reason for Near-Term Caution? 10Y Treasury Yield Above 4.20%; Upgrading Energy and Staples

Reason for Near-Term Caution? $SPX $QQQ 10-Year Treasury Yield Breaking Above 4.20%; Upgrading Energy $XLE $RSPG and Staples $XLP to market weight,...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Petrochemical Companies Gain Ground as European Firms Falter in U.S.-China Trade War

​U.S. tariffs on petrochemicals shift global trade dynamics, benefiting American producers, Middle Eastern players, and low-margin Asian markets...

Mint Finance

Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 5/30

The S&P 500 gained 6.6% this week, snapping a 7-week losing streak, and posted its biggest weekly gain since November 2020.

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

U. S. Equity Strategy: Bull-Bear Battle Continues

Due to uptrend violations for the Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, and Russell 2000 we continue to believe near-term consolidation is likely -- potentially...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Value Overtaking Growth; Treasury Yields and Commodities Bottoming

New and ongoing developments continue to support our bullish outlook. In the “new” column, we have bullish inflections in Treasury yields, the...

Vermilion Research

U.S. tariffs on petrochemicals shift global trade dynamics, benefiting American producers, Middle Eastern players, and low-margin Asian markets...