External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The automotive sector is going through an interesting phase, with a once-in-a-century kind of transition towards greener energies</li><li>The auto component players are also making investments to adjust their product portfolios to cater to the energy transition and be future-ready for when the penetration of greener energy vehicles reaches an inflection point</li><li>We expect the domestic auto component industry to consolidate during this transition, with imports likely to be higher than usual, as auto component players in global regions where the energy transition has already seen meaningful penetration have the necessary technology in place and are already producing components at scale.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The automotive sector is going through an interesting phase, with a once-in-a-century kind of transition towards greener energiesThe auto component players are also making investments to adjust their product portfolios to cater to the energy transition and be future-ready for when the penetration of greener energy vehicles reaches an inflection pointWe expect the domestic auto component industry to consolidate during this transition, with imports likely to be higher than usual, as auto component players in global regions where the energy transition has already seen meaningful penetration have the necessary technology in place and are already producing components at scale.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Autos: Near-term headwinds, time to be selective

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Auto OEMs: We expect Revenue/EBITDA/PAT for our OEM coverage universe to grow by ~12.7%/10.3%/10.6% YoY with a 30 bps decline expected in EBITDA Margins.</li><li>The growth will be driven by (i) High single-digit volume growth in 2Ws and tractors, (ii) Low to mid-single digit growth for PVs being partly offset by a slight decline in CVs.</li><li>The expected YoY EBITDA margin decline is an outcome of (i) inferior product mix, (ii) higher discounts (PV), (iii) increased sales and marketing expenses being partly offset by RM softening and (iv) price hikes taken over the past one year. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto OEMs: We expect Revenue/EBITDA/PAT for our OEM coverage universe to grow by ~12.7%/10.3%/10.6% YoY with a 30 bps decline expected in EBITDA Margins.The growth will be driven by (i) High single-digit volume growth in 2Ws and tractors, (ii) Low to mid-single digit growth for PVs being partly offset by a slight decline in CVs.The expected YoY EBITDA margin decline is an outcome of (i) inferior product mix, (ii) higher discounts (PV), (iii) increased sales and marketing expenses being partly offset by RM softening and (iv) price hikes taken over the past one year. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>Dec’24 Wholesale Volumes: Domestic PV sales grew by 15-17% YoY (down 7% MoM), largely due to strong domestic volumes from Maruti, Toyota, M&amp;M, and MG.</li><li>The domestic CV industry sales grew by 4%/13% YoY/MoM. The 3W domestic wholesales for Bajaj and M&amp;M grew by 5% and 8% YoY, respectively, while TVS degrew by 18% YoY.</li><li>The domestic tractor industry (proxy) witnessed 16% volume growth on a YoY basis.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Dec’24 Wholesale Volumes: Domestic PV sales grew by 15-17% YoY (down 7% MoM), largely due to strong domestic volumes from Maruti, Toyota, M&amp;M, and MG.The domestic CV industry sales grew by 4%/13% YoY/MoM. The 3W domestic wholesales for Bajaj and M&amp;M grew by 5% and 8% YoY, respectively, while TVS degrew by 18% YoY.The domestic tractor industry (proxy) witnessed 16% volume growth on a YoY basis.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto Monthly Sales Volume - December 2024

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>Premiumization is reshaping India's consumer market, with rising demand for high-quality products across FMCG, automobiles, electronics, and luxury goods driven by growing affluence and aspirations.</li>
<li>India’s per capita GDP surpassing $2,500 and increasing digitalization have unlocked significant growth in premium categories, positioning India as a global hotspot for aspirational consumption.</li>
<li>The shift from affordability to quality signals immense opportunities in premium segments, making it essential for businesses to innovate while balancing premium and budget-friendly offerings.</li>
</ul>


Premiumization is reshaping India's consumer market, with rising demand for high-quality products across FMCG, automobiles, electronics, and luxury goods driven by growing affluence and aspirations.
India’s per capita GDP surpassing $2,500 and increasing digitalization have unlocked significant growth in premium categories, positioning India as a global hotspot for aspirational consumption.
The shift from affordability to quality signals immense opportunities in premium segments, making it essential for businesses to innovate while balancing premium and budget-friendly offerings.


Thematic Report: India- World’s Next Hotspot for Premium Brands

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our bullish outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) remains intact with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 firmly trending higher. Our recommendation since mid-October to use any pre-election pullback in..</li>
<li>... the ACWI or the SPX as an opportunity to add exposure continues to pay off, and there is not much left to do except ride the trend higher.</li>
<li>Additionally, we still see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end and the early part of 2025 -- and likely beyond</li>
</ul>


Our bullish outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) remains intact with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 firmly trending higher. Our recommendation since mid-October to use any pre-election pullback in..
... the ACWI or the SPX as an opportunity to add exposure continues to pay off, and there is not much left to do except ride the trend higher.
Additionally, we still see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end and the early part of 2025 -- and likely beyond


Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buy/Stay Long Global Discretionary, Services, Tech

India

Mahindra & Mahindra is a prominent Indian multinational manufacturing corporation. It is a leading global manufacturer of tractors and a major producer of SUVs, commercial vehicles, and two-wheelers. Headquartered in Mumbai, India, the company was founded on October 2, 1945.

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Mahindra & Mahindra (MM IN)

Autos: Near-term headwinds, time to be selective

The automotive sector is going through an interesting phase, with a once-in-a-century kind of transition towards greener energies

HDFC Securities

Q3FY25 Earnings Preview - Automobile

We expect Revenue/EBITDA/PAT for our OEM coverage universe to grow by ~12.7%/10.3%/10.6% YoY with a 30 bps decline expected in EBITDA Margins.

Axis Direct

Auto Monthly Sales Volume - December 2024

Dec’24 Wholesale Volumes: Domestic PV sales grew by 15-17% YoY (down 7% MoM), largely due to strong domestic volumes from Maruti, Toyota, M&M, and MG.

Axis Direct

Thematic Report: India- World’s Next Hotspot for Premium Brands

India's rising affluence and aspirations are driving demand for high-quality products across various sectors, making the country a global hotspot...

Nimish Maheshwari

Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buy/Stay Long Global Discretionary, Services, Tech

Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI $ACWI and $SPX; We are still bullish as Risk-On Signals Dominate. Ideas to buy/stay long in global Discretionary,...

Vermilion Research

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Autos: Near-term headwinds, time to be selective

The automotive sector is going through an interesting phase, with a once-in-a-century kind of transition towards greener energies

HDFC Securities

Q3FY25 Earnings Preview - Automobile

We expect Revenue/EBITDA/PAT for our OEM coverage universe to grow by ~12.7%/10.3%/10.6% YoY with a 30 bps decline expected in EBITDA Margins.

Axis Direct

Auto Monthly Sales Volume - December 2024

Dec’24 Wholesale Volumes: Domestic PV sales grew by 15-17% YoY (down 7% MoM), largely due to strong domestic volumes from Maruti, Toyota, M&M, and MG.

Axis Direct

Thematic Report: India- World’s Next Hotspot for Premium Brands

​India's rising affluence and aspirations are driving demand for high-quality products across various sectors, making the country a global hotspot...

Nimish Maheshwari

Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buy/Stay Long Global Discretionary, Services, Tech

Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI $ACWI and $SPX; We are still bullish as Risk-On Signals Dominate. Ideas to buy/stay long in global Discretionary,...

Vermilion Research

India's rising affluence and aspirations are driving demand for high-quality products across various sectors, making the country a global hotspot...