External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We recently engaged with Marico's management and conducted comprehensive channel checks across India to assess underlying demand trends</li><li>Based on these findings, we maintain our high-conviction BUY rating within the staples sector, with a target price of INR 775 (50x Dec-26 EPS, reflecting a 20% premium to the 5-year average P/E)</li><li>We believe the worst is behind us, with factors such as muted volume growth, pricing corrections, challenges in the new business segment, and temporary currency headwinds</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We recently engaged with Marico's management and conducted comprehensive channel checks across India to assess underlying demand trendsBased on these findings, we maintain our high-conviction BUY rating within the staples sector, with a target price of INR 775 (50x Dec-26 EPS, reflecting a 20% premium to the 5-year average P/E)We believe the worst is behind us, with factors such as muted volume growth, pricing corrections, challenges in the new business segment, and temporary currency headwindsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Marico: On an Improving Trajectory. Maintain BUY

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The September 2024 Rebalance results for the NIFTY broad market Indices were announced after the close on Friday 23rd August 2024.</li>
<li>There will be two changes for NIFTY 50 and five changes for NIFTY 100 during the September 2024 index rebal event. All of these changes were as predicted. </li>
<li>All NIFTY 50 and NIFTY 100 changes will also be reflected in the NIFTY Next 50 index which could see US$647mn one-way capping flows.</li>
</ul>


The September 2024 Rebalance results for the NIFTY broad market Indices were announced after the close on Friday 23rd August 2024.
There will be two changes for NIFTY 50 and five changes for NIFTY 100 during the September 2024 index rebal event. All of these changes were as predicted. 
All NIFTY 50 and NIFTY 100 changes will also be reflected in the NIFTY Next 50 index which could see US$647mn one-way capping flows.


Quiddity NIFTY Sep 24 Rebal: US$647mn One-Way Capping for NIFTY Next 50; All Changes Were Predicted

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Sharekhan

Sharekhan

Sharekhan is India's leading broking house providing services from easy online trading, research to wide array of financial products. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Sharekhan's research report on Marico Management expects revenue growth to improve to double digits in H2FY2025 with volume growth in the improving trajectory and international business expected to perform despite uncertainties in key markets.</li><li>Share of foods and premium personal care portfolio to domestic business revenues will rise to 25% by FY2027 from 20% in FY2024 with an over 20% CAGR growth in both the businesses.</li><li>Consolidated OPM to remain flat in FY2025. Management expects margins to inch up gradually over the next five years, leveraging on premiumisation of the portfolio.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Sharekhan's research report on Marico Management expects revenue growth to improve to double digits in H2FY2025 with volume growth in the improving trajectory and international business expected to perform despite uncertainties in key markets.Share of foods and premium personal care portfolio to domestic business revenues will rise to 25% by FY2027 from 20% in FY2024 with an over 20% CAGR growth in both the businesses.Consolidated OPM to remain flat in FY2025. Management expects margins to inch up gradually over the next five years, leveraging on premiumisation of the portfolio.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Marico Ltd - Striving for Consistent Earnings Growth

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The review period for the Nifty 100 Low Volatility 30 Index ends on 30 August. The changes will be announced mid-September and implemented at the close on 27 September.</li>
<li>Four potential constituent changes, volatility changes and capping changes will result in one-way turnover of 16.05% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 14.4bn (US$172m).</li>
<li>Three of the four potential deletions will have sell flows from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-100-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36051:1" rel="noopener">Nifty 100 Index</a> trackers as well.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the Nifty 100 Low Volatility 30 Index ends on 30 August. The changes will be announced mid-September and implemented at the close on 27 September.
Four potential constituent changes, volatility changes and capping changes will result in one-way turnover of 16.05% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 14.4bn (US$172m).
Three of the four potential deletions will have sell flows from the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index and Nifty 100 Index trackers as well.


NIFTY100 Low Volatility 30 Index Rebalance Preview: 4 Changes as Review Cutoff Nears

Bharat Heavy Electricals / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 7 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> that will be implemented at the close on 27 September. Changes are on expected lines.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> is 19.6% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 63.64bn (US$759m). Many stocks have over 1x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes this year but there has been big underperformance over the last month as stocks expected to benefit from rural spending have rallied.</li>
</ul>


There are 7 changes for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) that will be implemented at the close on 27 September. Changes are on expected lines.
Estimated one-way turnover for the Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) is 19.6% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 63.64bn (US$759m). Many stocks have over 1x ADV to trade.
The adds have outperformed the deletes this year but there has been big underperformance over the last month as stocks expected to benefit from rural spending have rallied.


NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance: 7 Changes on Expected Lines

India

Marico is an Indian multinational consumer goods company specializing in beauty, wellness, and personal care products. It offers brands in categories such as hair care, skin care, edible oils, health foods, male grooming, and fabric care, including iconic brands like Parachute, Saffola, Set Wet, and Livon. Marico is headquartered in Mumbai, India, and was founded on April 2, 1990.

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Marico (MRCO IN)

Marico: On an Improving Trajectory. Maintain BUY

We recently engaged with Marico's management and conducted comprehensive channel checks across India to assess underlying demand trends

HDFC Securities

Quiddity NIFTY Sep 24 Rebal: US$647mn One-Way Capping for NIFTY Next 50; All Changes Were Predicted

The NIFTY50/NIFTY Next 50 Inclusion/Exclusion events will take place at the close of 27th September 2024. The final capping flows will be decided...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Marico Ltd - Striving for Consistent Earnings Growth

Consolidated OPM to remain flat in FY2025. Management expects margins to inch up gradually over the next five years, leveraging on premiumisation...

Sharekhan

NIFTY100 Low Volatility 30 Index Rebalance Preview: 4 Changes as Review Cutoff Nears

4 potential constituent changes, volatility changes and capping changes will result in 1-way turnover of 16.05% resulting in a round-trip trade of...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance: 7 Changes on Expected Lines

There are 7 changes for the NIFTY Next50 Index. Estimated 1-way turnover is 19.6% resulting in a 1-way trade of INR 63.64bn (US$759m). There are...

Brian Freitas

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