Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs during the September 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>More than 50% of the 6-month reference period is now complete. There are a couple of changes to the expected ADDs/DELs list since my last insight.</li>
</ul>


NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.
In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs during the September 2024 index rebal event.
More than 50% of the 6-month reference period is now complete. There are a couple of changes to the expected ADDs/DELs list since my last insight.


Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep 24: Strong Flow Rationale for LONG Jio Financial - SHORT SBI Cards

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We upgrade Marico to BUY from ADD with TP of Rs 650 (45x FY26 EPS, 10% premium to its 5 year Average PE) and move it to high conviction list within staples pack as worst is behind us wr.t muted volume growth, pricing correction, loss related to new business and transient currency headwinds</li><li>We expect Marico to see Revenue/ Ebitda / PAT Cagr of 6/13/13% respectively over FY23-26 as 1) Domestic business fires on all cylinders –(a) Parachute (35% of domestic sales) expected to see mid-single volume growth on back of market share gains and conversion from unbranded to branded, as we have always seen in inflationary copra environment</li><li>Moreover, we expect double digit revenue growth in FY25 on back of mid to single digit price hikes (b) Saffola edible oil (20% of domestic sales) expected to see volume led mid single digit value growth in FY25, courtesy pricing correction anniversarian (down 20% in FY24) (c) VAHO – easing competitive intensity in BOP segment along with uptick in mid to premium end segment shall drive much better outcomes</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We upgrade Marico to BUY from ADD with TP of Rs 650 (45x FY26 EPS, 10% premium to its 5 year Average PE) and move it to high conviction list within staples pack as worst is behind us wr.t muted volume growth, pricing correction, loss related to new business and transient currency headwindsWe expect Marico to see Revenue/ Ebitda / PAT Cagr of 6/13/13% respectively over FY23-26 as 1) Domestic business fires on all cylinders –(a) Parachute (35% of domestic sales) expected to see mid-single volume growth on back of market share gains and conversion from unbranded to branded, as we have always seen in inflationary copra environmentMoreover, we expect double digit revenue growth in FY25 on back of mid to single digit price hikes (b) Saffola edible oil (20% of domestic sales) expected to see volume led mid single digit value growth in FY25, courtesy pricing correction anniversarian (down 20% in FY24) (c) VAHO – easing competitive intensity in BOP segment along with uptick in mid to premium end segment shall drive much better outcomesContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Marico (4QFY24): Well Oiled for Growth. Upgrade to BUY

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the NIFTY 50 and NIFTY Next 50 indices in the September 2024 rebalance.</li>
<li>There could be at least one change for NIFTY 50 and separately, there could be up to five changes for NIFTY Next 50.</li>
</ul>


NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.
In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the NIFTY 50 and NIFTY Next 50 indices in the September 2024 rebalance.
There could be at least one change for NIFTY 50 and separately, there could be up to five changes for NIFTY Next 50.


Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep 24: Multiple Names Eligible for NIFTY 50 Addition

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited

ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited provides investment services. The Company provides corporate and investment banking, securities, wealth management, retail brokerage, initial public offerings, and advisory services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>ICICI Securities research report onMarico Over the last few years, Nestle and Jyothy Labs delivered volume outperformance thanks to activating the sales growth vector effectively (numeric distribution expansion and improved line selling).</li><li>Marico, with its new urban distribution (expansion) strategy and likely outperformance in D2C brands, has material potential to outperform in FY24-26E.</li><li>Apart from this, it is focusing on improving distributor ROI, better credit terms, range, assortment, etc.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ICICI Securities research report onMarico Over the last few years, Nestle and Jyothy Labs delivered volume outperformance thanks to activating the sales growth vector effectively (numeric distribution expansion and improved line selling).Marico, with its new urban distribution (expansion) strategy and likely outperformance in D2C brands, has material potential to outperform in FY24-26E.Apart from this, it is focusing on improving distributor ROI, better credit terms, range, assortment, etc.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Marico - Acceleration in Diversified Portfolio While Core Stabilises

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

<ul>
<li>Market momentum continues to be strong. As we head into earnings season, the momentum is likely to continue.</li>
<li>Strong operational updates <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/info-edge-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14461:1" rel="noopener">Info Edge India (INFOE IN)</a>; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aavas-financiers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27422:1" rel="noopener">Aavas Financiers Ltd (AAVAS IN)</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sula-vineyards-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36206:1" rel="noopener">Sula Vineyards (SULA IN)</a>.  </li>
<li>The overall market sentiment, represented by the average revisions across all sectors, is nearly flat, with a slight positive revision for FY1E at 0.02% and essentially stable for FY2E.</li>
</ul>


Market momentum continues to be strong. As we head into earnings season, the momentum is likely to continue.
Strong operational updates Info Edge India (INFOE IN); Aavas Financiers Ltd (AAVAS IN) &amp; Sula Vineyards (SULA IN).  
The overall market sentiment, represented by the average revisions across all sectors, is nearly flat, with a slight positive revision for FY1E at 0.02% and essentially stable for FY2E.


[#21] Namaste India 🙏 | Business Updates and Earnings Playbook

India

Marico is an Indian multinational consumer goods company specializing in beauty, wellness, and personal care products. It offers brands in categories such as hair care, skin care, edible oils, health foods, male grooming, and fabric care, including iconic brands like Parachute, Saffola, Set Wet, and Livon. Marico is headquartered in Mumbai, India, and was founded on April 2, 1990.

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Marico (MRCO IN)

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep 24: Strong Flow Rationale for LONG Jio Financial - SHORT SBI Cards

SBI Cards is an expected DEL for NIFTY Next 50 in Sep 24 and BSE 100 in Jun 24. Jio Financial is an expected ADD for both BSE 100 and BSE 200 in...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Marico (4QFY24): Well Oiled for Growth. Upgrade to BUY

We expect Marico to see Revenue/ Ebitda / PAT Cagr of 6/13/13% respectively over FY23-26 as 1) Domestic business fires on all cylinders –(a)...

HDFC Securities

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep 24: Multiple Names Eligible for NIFTY 50 Addition

For NIFTY 50, the top-ranked potential ADD and DEL are Trent Ltd and LTIMindtree respectively. I expect there to be at least one NIFTY 50 change in...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Marico - Acceleration in Diversified Portfolio While Core Stabilises

ICICI Securities research report onMarico Over the last few years, Nestle and Jyothy Labs delivered volume outperformance thanks to activating the...

ICICI Securities Limited

[#21] Namaste India 🙏 | Business Updates and Earnings Playbook

Market momentum remains strong as we head into earnings season, with positive operational updates from Info Edge India, Aavas Financiers Ltd, and...

Pranav Bhavsar

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep 24: Strong Flow Rationale for LONG Jio Financial - SHORT SBI Cards

SBI Cards is an expected DEL for NIFTY Next 50 in Sep 24 and BSE 100 in Jun 24. Jio Financial is an expected ADD for both BSE 100 and BSE 200 in...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Marico (4QFY24): Well Oiled for Growth. Upgrade to BUY

We expect Marico to see Revenue/ Ebitda / PAT Cagr of 6/13/13% respectively over FY23-26 as 1) Domestic business fires on all cylinders –(a)...

HDFC Securities

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep 24: Multiple Names Eligible for NIFTY 50 Addition

For NIFTY 50, the top-ranked potential ADD and DEL are Trent Ltd and LTIMindtree respectively. I expect there to be at least one NIFTY 50 change in...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Marico - Acceleration in Diversified Portfolio While Core Stabilises

ICICI Securities research report onMarico Over the last few years, Nestle and Jyothy Labs delivered volume outperformance thanks to activating the...

ICICI Securities Limited

[#21] Namaste India 🙏 | Business Updates and Earnings Playbook

​Market momentum remains strong as we head into earnings season, with positive operational updates from Info Edge India, Aavas Financiers Ltd, and...

Pranav Bhavsar

Market momentum remains strong as we head into earnings season, with positive operational updates from Info Edge India, Aavas Financiers Ltd, and...