Index Rebalance and Special Situations Coverage, Quiddity Advisors

Anjana Amarasuriya

Index Rebalance and Special Situations Coverage

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The ADDs/DELs for SP500, SP MidCap400, and SP SmallCap600 indices for the March 2026 index rebal event were announced after market close on Friday 6 March 2026. </li>
<li>There are 4 ADD/DELs for the SP 500, all of which will also be added to and deleted from the SP 500 Equal Weight and their corresponding Select Sector indices.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our final flow expectations for each of these confirmed index changes. We see $26bn of flows, one-way.</li>
</ul>


The ADDs/DELs for SP500, SP MidCap400, and SP SmallCap600 indices for the March 2026 index rebal event were announced after market close on Friday 6 March 2026. 
There are 4 ADD/DELs for the SP 500, all of which will also be added to and deleted from the SP 500 Equal Weight and their corresponding Select Sector indices.
In this insight, we take a look at our final flow expectations for each of these confirmed index changes. We see $26bn of flows, one-way.


Quiddity SP 500 Mar26 Results: Over US$26bn Total One-Way Flows

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Dimitris Ioannidis

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vertiv-holdings-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33140:1" rel="noopener">Vertiv Holdings Co (VRT US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coherent-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9518:1" rel="noopener">Coherent (COHR US)</a> are the main candidates for addition, based on high eligibility scores.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/marvell-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15837:1" rel="noopener">Marvell Technology (MRVL US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lumentum-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12529:1" rel="noopener">Lumentum Holdings (LITE US)</a> face reduced conviction due to tech-sector balance.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/echostar-corp-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3225:1" rel="noopener">Echostar Corp A (SATS US)</a> faces reduced conviction because of earnings and float cap.</li>
</ul>



Vertiv Holdings Co (VRT US) and Coherent (COHR US) are the main candidates for addition, based on high eligibility scores.

Marvell Technology (MRVL US) and Lumentum Holdings (LITE US) face reduced conviction due to tech-sector balance.

Echostar Corp A (SATS US) faces reduced conviction because of earnings and float cap.


S&P500 March 2026 Forecast: VRT, COHR & SATS Leading the Pack

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Back on the 24th October, Ray Zage (director) and James Lu (chairman), collectively holding ~60% in <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grindr-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:37106:1" rel="noopener">Grindr (GRND US)</a></strong>, proposed to take the company private in a US$3.5bn deal.</li>
<li>The non-binding cash Offer of $18/share, is a 51% premium to undisturbed. A condition to a firm Offer <em>may</em> incorporate a majority of minority vote.</li>
<li>While the Special Committee considers the proposal, James Lu has unusually opted to step down. Currently trading at a ~30% gross spread to indicative terms. </li>
</ul>


Back on the 24th October, Ray Zage (director) and James Lu (chairman), collectively holding ~60% in Grindr (GRND US), proposed to take the company private in a US$3.5bn deal.
The non-binding cash Offer of $18/share, is a 51% premium to undisturbed. A condition to a firm Offer may incorporate a majority of minority vote.
While the Special Committee considers the proposal, James Lu has unusually opted to step down. Currently trading at a ~30% gross spread to indicative terms. 


Grindr (GRND US)'s Wide Spread As Majority Owners Court Delisting

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Capital Markets

Milian Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Milian Technology files for Hong Kong IPO and seeks fresh capital for further expanding its global presence and accelerating overseas market penetration.  </li>
<li>Xiaomi backed online social networking platform company is one of the fastest growing marriage and dating platforms in China, reaching RMB2,373m revenue in 2024, up ~129% YoY.</li>
<li>I expect Milian Technology may seek unicorn valuation in upcoming HK IPO as growth is exceptionally high and profitability improved.</li>
</ul>


Milian Technology files for Hong Kong IPO and seeks fresh capital for further expanding its global presence and accelerating overseas market penetration.  
Xiaomi backed online social networking platform company is one of the fastest growing marriage and dating platforms in China, reaching RMB2,373m revenue in 2024, up ~129% YoY.
I expect Milian Technology may seek unicorn valuation in upcoming HK IPO as growth is exceptionally high and profitability improved.


Milian Technology IPO Valuation Analysis: A Dating App Company May Seek Unicorn Valuation In HK IPO

<ul>
<li>Milian Technology, a fast-growing marriage and dating platform in China, filed for an IPO in Hong Kong. The company has achieved significant traction with now ~10M avg. MAUs.</li>
<li>Milian Technology has raised ~US$77M in equity financing to date from investors, including Xiaomi, XVC Fund, Shunwei Capital, and Sky9 Capital, among others.</li>
<li>I believe Milian Technology’s growth is exceptionally high for any online social networking platform company in China at such scale.</li>
</ul>


Milian Technology, a fast-growing marriage and dating platform in China, filed for an IPO in Hong Kong. The company has achieved significant traction with now ~10M avg. MAUs.
Milian Technology has raised ~US$77M in equity financing to date from investors, including Xiaomi, XVC Fund, Shunwei Capital, and Sky9 Capital, among others.
I believe Milian Technology’s growth is exceptionally high for any online social networking platform company in China at such scale.


Milian Technology IPO Preview: Driving Profitable Expansion Through Yidui and Tietie Apps

United States

Match Group, Inc. is a dating service provider. The Company offers diverse portfolio of apps and services which enables connections across the spectrum of age, race, gender, sexual orientation, and backgrounds. Match Group serves customers worldwide.

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Match Group (MTCH US)

Quiddity SP 500 Mar26 Results: Over US$26bn Total One-Way Flows

The SP500/400/600 review results for March 2026 were announced Friday. We got 2 of the four SP500 ADDs correct (our model defaults to two changes)...

Anjana Amarasuriya

S&P500 March 2026 Forecast: VRT, COHR & SATS Leading the Pack

Announced additions: VRT, COHR, SATS and LITE. Following the announcement, all four are trading higher in after hours by 5.2%, 0.7%, 3.2%, and...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Grindr (GRND US)'s Wide Spread As Majority Owners Court Delisting

I'd be picking up shares here. Zage and Lu, having sourced financing, suggests they're serious. Expect the Committee to make a decision before...

David Blennerhassett

Milian Technology IPO Valuation Analysis: A Dating App Company May Seek Unicorn Valuation In HK IPO

I have a positive view of upcoming IPO given the company's rare combination of explosive revenue growth, strong paying user conversion rate, viral...

Andrei Zakharov

Milian Technology IPO Preview: Driving Profitable Expansion Through Yidui and Tietie Apps

Beijing-based Milian Technology, a fast-growing marriage and dating platform, filed to go public in Hong Kong. I have a positive view of upcoming...

Andrei Zakharov

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Quiddity SP 500 Mar26 Results: Over US$26bn Total One-Way Flows

The SP500/400/600 review results for March 2026 were announced Friday. We got 2 of the four SP500 ADDs correct (our model defaults to two changes)...

Anjana Amarasuriya

S&P500 March 2026 Forecast: VRT, COHR & SATS Leading the Pack

Announced additions: VRT, COHR, SATS and LITE. Following the announcement, all four are trading higher in after hours by 5.2%, 0.7%, 3.2%, and...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Grindr (GRND US)'s Wide Spread As Majority Owners Court Delisting

I'd be picking up shares here. Zage and Lu, having sourced financing, suggests they're serious. Expect the Committee to make a decision before...

David Blennerhassett

Milian Technology IPO Valuation Analysis: A Dating App Company May Seek Unicorn Valuation In HK IPO

I have a positive view of upcoming IPO given the company's rare combination of explosive revenue growth, strong paying user conversion rate, viral...

Andrei Zakharov

Milian Technology IPO Preview: Driving Profitable Expansion Through Yidui and Tietie Apps

​Beijing-based Milian Technology, a fast-growing marriage and dating platform, filed to go public in Hong Kong. I have a positive view of upcoming...

Andrei Zakharov

Beijing-based Milian Technology, a fast-growing marriage and dating platform, filed to go public in Hong Kong. I have a positive view of upcoming...