Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maynilad-water-services-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44852:1" rel="noopener">Maynilad Water Services (MYNLD PH)</a> is looking to raise up to US$860m by selling shares at ₱20/share, valuing the company at US$2.82bn.</li>
<li>The market cap and free float will depend on the number of shares sold in the IPO and whether the shares in the upsize option are primary or secondary shares.</li>
<li>Global index inclusions should take place in November and December, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX)</a> inclusion could take place in August 2026.</li>
</ul>



Maynilad Water Services (MYNLD PH) is looking to raise up to US$860m by selling shares at ₱20/share, valuing the company at US$2.82bn.
The market cap and free float will depend on the number of shares sold in the IPO and whether the shares in the upsize option are primary or secondary shares.
Global index inclusions should take place in November and December, while Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX) inclusion could take place in August 2026.


Maynilad Water (MYNLD PM): Index Inclusion Timing for a Large Philippines IPO

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>This deal for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qube-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:958:1" rel="noopener">Qube Holdings (QUB AU)</a> from Macquarie should really get competitive. Scarce and strategic assets  - and nothing else like it that's listed. </li>
<li>As <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/digital-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1697:1" rel="noopener">Digital Holdings (2389 JP)</a> goes higher, "This is Japan" risk increases; but those who didn't sign up say "wait a minute, that's real money" also goes up.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wynn-resorts-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:606:1" rel="noopener">Wynn Resorts (WYNN US)</a> is at extreme levels vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wynn-macau-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:473:1" rel="noopener">Wynn Macau Ltd (1128 HK)</a>; yet consensus indicates considerably higher forward EBITDA growth for Resorts stub ops vs. Macau.</li>
</ul>


This deal for Qube Holdings (QUB AU) from Macquarie should really get competitive. Scarce and strategic assets  - and nothing else like it that's listed. 
As Digital Holdings (2389 JP) goes higher, "This is Japan" risk increases; but those who didn't sign up say "wait a minute, that's real money" also goes up.

Wynn Resorts (WYNN US) is at extreme levels vs. Wynn Macau Ltd (1128 HK); yet consensus indicates considerably higher forward EBITDA growth for Resorts stub ops vs. Macau.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Qube Holdings, Digital Holdings, Wynn Resorts/Macau, SNT/SMEC

<ul>
<li>The proposed spin-off - from 49.9%-held MPIC - and listing of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maynilad-water-services-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44852:1" rel="noopener">Maynilad Water Services (MYNLD PH)</a> completed on the 7th November. </li>
<li>Priced at PHP 15/share, Maynilad closed yesterday at PHP 14.82/share, down 1.2%. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/first-pacific-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:173:1" rel="noopener">First Pacific Co (142 HK)</a>'s indirect/direct holding in Maynilad is estimated at 19.1%, accounting for ~6% of NAV. </li>
</ul>


The proposed spin-off - from 49.9%-held MPIC - and listing of Maynilad Water Services (MYNLD PH) completed on the 7th November. 
Priced at PHP 15/share, Maynilad closed yesterday at PHP 14.82/share, down 1.2%. 

First Pacific Co (142 HK)'s indirect/direct holding in Maynilad is estimated at 19.1%, accounting for ~6% of NAV. 


First Pacific (142 HK)'s Full Value As Maynilad Commences Trading

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, the deal flow continues unabated, although a lot of listing in Hong Kong didn't do to well last week.</li>
<li>On the placements front, there were a number of deals, with a few right at lockup expiry.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, the deal flow continues unabated, although a lot of listing in Hong Kong didn't do to well last week.
On the placements front, there were a number of deals, with a few right at lockup expiry.


ECM Weekly (10 November 2025) - Seres, Pony, WeRide, Joyson, DIY, Maynilad, Northsand, Softcare

Sany Heavy Industry / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, Hong Kong and India markets appear to be gearing up for a year end rush.</li>
<li>On the placements front, there were no large deals this week but we did have a look at the upcoming lockup expiries.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, Hong Kong and India markets appear to be gearing up for a year end rush.
On the placements front, there were no large deals this week but we did have a look at the upcoming lockup expiries.


ECM Weekly (27 October 2025)- Sany, Seres, PonyAI, WeRide, CIG, JST, Lenskart, Horizon, CRB

Philippines

Maynilad Water Services, Inc. provides water and wastewater services. The Company maintains water and sewer mains for the provision of municipal water services. Maynilad Water Services serves cities and municipalities in Philippines.

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Maynilad Water Services (MYNLD PH)

Maynilad Water (MYNLD PM): Index Inclusion Timing for a Large Philippines IPO

Maynilad Water could raise upto US$860m by selling shares at ₱20/shr, valuing the company at US$2.82bn. Global index inclusions could take place in...

Brian Freitas

Last Week In Event SPACE: Qube Holdings, Digital Holdings, Wynn Resorts/Macau, SNT/SMEC

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

First Pacific (142 HK)'s Full Value As Maynilad Commences Trading

First Pac has had a great run-up in the past 12 months. I don't see any near-term catalyst for the unlisted stub ops. If in (stub set up), I'd be...

David Blennerhassett

ECM Weekly (10 November 2025) - Seres, Pony, WeRide, Joyson, DIY, Maynilad, Northsand, Softcare

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

ECM Weekly (27 October 2025)- Sany, Seres, PonyAI, WeRide, CIG, JST, Lenskart, Horizon, CRB

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

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