Equity Analyst, Event-driven, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Equity Analyst, Event-driven

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.</li>
<li>One of our TOPIX Inclusion Pre-event names <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/visional-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32977:1" rel="noopener">Visional (4194 JP)</a> confirmed it has received approval to move to the Prime Market in December 2023.</li>
<li>Currently, we are expecting one TOPIX Inclusion at the end of December 2023 and two more at the end of January 2024 (including Visional). </li>
</ul>


Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.
One of our TOPIX Inclusion Pre-event names Visional (4194 JP) confirmed it has received approval to move to the Prime Market in December 2023.
Currently, we are expecting one TOPIX Inclusion at the end of December 2023 and two more at the end of January 2024 (including Visional). 


TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Dec 2023)

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zensho-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4586:1" rel="noopener">Zensho Holdings (7550 JP)</a> aims to raise around US$300m via a public offering.</li>
<li>As per the company it will use the proceeds from the deal for potential M&amp;A transactions.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Zensho Holdings (7550 JP) aims to raise around US$300m via a public offering.
As per the company it will use the proceeds from the deal for potential M&amp;A transactions.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Zensho Placement - Good Price to Raise At, at Least for the Company

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The MSCI ACWI index ACWI-US briefly fell below major support at $90.50-$91.50, though we do not consider it a "decisive" breakdown and we now see a false breakdown (bullish).</li>
<li>On MSCI ACWI (local currency), a false breakdown appears to already be in place, which is bullish as long as the index does not break to a new low.</li>
<li>MSCI EM (EEM-US) continues to hold above $36.50-$37 support, while MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US) and EAFE (EFA-US) remain above supports at $45 and $65-$66, respectively. Pullback is likely over.</li>
</ul>


The MSCI ACWI index ACWI-US briefly fell below major support at $90.50-$91.50, though we do not consider it a "decisive" breakdown and we now see a false breakdown (bullish).
On MSCI ACWI (local currency), a false breakdown appears to already be in place, which is bullish as long as the index does not break to a new low.
MSCI EM (EEM-US) continues to hold above $36.50-$37 support, while MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US) and EAFE (EFA-US) remain above supports at $45 and $65-$66, respectively. Pullback is likely over.


Japan Bullishly Inflecting; Constructive Outlook Intact; Global Pullback Likely Over

<ul>
<li>Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.</li>
<li>Since my last insight, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cellsource-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40144:1" rel="noopener">CellSource (4880 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kasumigaseki-capital-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40162:1" rel="noopener">Kasumigaseki Capital (3498 JP)</a> have confirmed they will move to TSE Prime which means they will be included in TOPIX at end-November.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fp-partner-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40040:1" rel="noopener">FP Partner (7388 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/i-ne-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40117:1" rel="noopener">I-NE (4933 JP)</a> will get included in TOPIX at the end of October.</li>
</ul>


Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.
Since my last insight, CellSource (4880 JP) and Kasumigaseki Capital (3498 JP) have confirmed they will move to TSE Prime which means they will be included in TOPIX at end-November.

FP Partner (7388 JP) and I-NE (4933 JP) will get included in TOPIX at the end of October.


TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Oct 2023)

<ul>
<li>Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.</li>
<li>Since my last insight, three new TOPIX Inclusion events have been confirmed: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/m-a-research-institute-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36749:1" rel="noopener">M&amp;A Research Institute (9552 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fp-partner-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40040:1" rel="noopener">FP Partner (7388 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/i-ne-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40117:1" rel="noopener">I-NE (4933 JP)</a> </li>
<li>Separately, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/core-concept-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34323:1" rel="noopener">Core Concept Technologies Inc (4371 JP)</a> has announced it intends to work towards a Prime Market move in the future.</li>
</ul>


Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.
Since my last insight, three new TOPIX Inclusion events have been confirmed: M&amp;A Research Institute (9552 JP), FP Partner (7388 JP), and I-NE (4933 JP) 
Separately, Core Concept Technologies Inc (4371 JP) has announced it intends to work towards a Prime Market move in the future.


TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Sep 2023)

Japan

McDonald's Holdings Company (Japan), Ltd. operates a hamburger fast food restaurant chain throughout Japan.  The Company operates its own stores and franchise stores.

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Mcdonald's Japan (2702 JP)

TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Dec 2023)

There are currently 68 names that satisfy all 6 key Segment Transfer requirements based on current data. Another 67 names can satisfy 5 out of 6...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Zensho Placement - Good Price to Raise At, at Least for the Company

Zensho Holdings (7550 JP) aims to raise around US$300m via a public offering. In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal...

Sumeet Singh

Japan Bullishly Inflecting; Constructive Outlook Intact; Global Pullback Likely Over

The MSCI $ACWI briefly fell below our $90.50 support but quickly reclaimed, suggesting a false breakdown and the likely end to this pullback in...

Vermilion Research

TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Oct 2023)

There are currently 67 names that satisfy all 6 key Segment Transfer requirements based on current data. Celsys (3663 JP) continues to be the top...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Sep 2023)

The Offer Price for I-NE (4933 JP)'s secondary sale of shares was decided today. Our estimates show the Offer Quantity could exceed the demand from...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Dec 2023)

There are currently 68 names that satisfy all 6 key Segment Transfer requirements based on current data. Another 67 names can satisfy 5 out of 6...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Zensho Placement - Good Price to Raise At, at Least for the Company

Zensho Holdings (7550 JP) aims to raise around US$300m via a public offering. In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal...

Sumeet Singh

Japan Bullishly Inflecting; Constructive Outlook Intact; Global Pullback Likely Over

​The MSCI $ACWI briefly fell below our $90.50 support but quickly reclaimed, suggesting a false breakdown and the likely end to this pullback in...

Vermilion Research

TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Oct 2023)

There are currently 67 names that satisfy all 6 key Segment Transfer requirements based on current data. Celsys (3663 JP) continues to be the top...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Sep 2023)

The Offer Price for I-NE (4933 JP)'s secondary sale of shares was decided today. Our estimates show the Offer Quantity could exceed the demand from...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

The MSCI $ACWI briefly fell below our $90.50 support but quickly reclaimed, suggesting a false breakdown and the likely end to this pullback in...