AI | Semiconductors | Commodities, Mint Finance

Raghav Vashisht

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Samsung Foundry’s utilisation is recovering on 4nm/8nm, but 2nm yields keep break-even out of reach; TSMC tightness and Tesla’s AI6 deal are the near-term demand supports.</li>
<li>TSMC’s 3nm is effectively sold out through 2027, turning what began as a CoWoS bottleneck into a wafer constraint and pushing customers to hedge via Samsung and Intel.</li>
<li>AI is creating a new materials bottleneck in indium phosphide, while China’s CXMT accelerates DRAM scale-up, narrowing the process gap and reshaping bargaining power.</li>
</ul>


Samsung Foundry’s utilisation is recovering on 4nm/8nm, but 2nm yields keep break-even out of reach; TSMC tightness and Tesla’s AI6 deal are the near-term demand supports.
TSMC’s 3nm is effectively sold out through 2027, turning what began as a CoWoS bottleneck into a wafer constraint and pushing customers to hedge via Samsung and Intel.
AI is creating a new materials bottleneck in indium phosphide, while China’s CXMT accelerates DRAM scale-up, narrowing the process gap and reshaping bargaining power.


[Wafer Watch] Foundry Loading, 3nm Scarcity, and New Materials Constraints

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>In October FIIs bought US$2.36bn of Asian equities, sharply lower than US$8.42bn in September. They sold Taiwan (-US$3.2bn), bought Korea (US$4.2bn) and India (US$1.66bn). ASEAN continued to be sold.</li>
<li>FIIs' dampened sentiment was triggered by Asia's toppish valuations and a decline in probability of a Fed rate cut in December, which in turn led to a stronger US Dollar.</li>
<li>Going forward we expect flows to recover in Taiwan and stay healthy in Korea, as sentiment on AI capex recovers, driven by strong growth and robust capex targets of hyperscalers.</li>
</ul>


In October FIIs bought US$2.36bn of Asian equities, sharply lower than US$8.42bn in September. They sold Taiwan (-US$3.2bn), bought Korea (US$4.2bn) and India (US$1.66bn). ASEAN continued to be sold.
FIIs' dampened sentiment was triggered by Asia's toppish valuations and a decline in probability of a Fed rate cut in December, which in turn led to a stronger US Dollar.
Going forward we expect flows to recover in Taiwan and stay healthy in Korea, as sentiment on AI capex recovers, driven by strong growth and robust capex targets of hyperscalers.


Asian Equities: Foreign Flows Wobbled in October; Taiwan Sold, Korea Moderated; India Bounced Back

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 24th. The aggregated holding was USD2,357.7bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD3,743mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in MediaTek, Unimicron Technology, Kinsus Interconnect Technology, ASE Industrial, PharmaEssentia.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 24th. The aggregated holding was USD2,357.7bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD3,743mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in MediaTek, Unimicron Technology, Kinsus Interconnect Technology, ASE Industrial, PharmaEssentia.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 24th): MediaTek, Unimicron Technology, ASE Industrial

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 25th. The aggregated short interest was USD41.3bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Zhen Ding Technology, ASE Industrial, Nan Ya Plastics, Wistron.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 25th. The aggregated short interest was USD41.3bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Zhen Ding Technology, ASE Industrial, Nan Ya Plastics, Wistron.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Sep 25th): Shin Kong Financial, Zhen Ding Technology, ASE Industrial

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 18th. The aggregated holding was USD2,281.9bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD2,372mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Wistron, TSMC, MediaTek, Nanya Technology, Nan Ya Plastics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 18th. The aggregated holding was USD2,281.9bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD2,372mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Wistron, TSMC, MediaTek, Nanya Technology, Nan Ya Plastics.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 18th): Wistron, TSMC, MediaTek, Nanya Technology, Nan Ya Plastics

Taiwan

MediaTek Inc. is a fabless semiconductor company for wireless communications and digital multimedia solutions. The company provides SOC system solutions for wireless communications, high-definition TV, optical storage, DVD and Blu-ray products.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)

[Wafer Watch] Foundry Loading, 3nm Scarcity, and New Materials Constraints

Samsung’s utilisation improves, TSMC’s 3nm is sold out, InP substrates tighten, and CXMT accelerates its DRAM build-out.

Mint Finance

Asian Equities: Foreign Flows Wobbled in October; Taiwan Sold, Korea Moderated; India Bounced Back

FIIs cut Asian equity purchases in October due to high valuations & lower Fed rate cut probability driving a stronger USD. Expect flow revival in...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 24th): MediaTek, Unimicron Technology, ASE Industrial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in MediaTek, Unimicron Technology, Kinsus...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Sep 25th): Shin Kong Financial, Zhen Ding Technology, ASE Industrial

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Zhen Ding Technology, ASE...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 18th): Wistron, TSMC, MediaTek, Nanya Technology, Nan Ya Plastics

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Wistron, TSMC, MediaTek, Nanya Technology, Nan...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Wafer Watch] Foundry Loading, 3nm Scarcity, and New Materials Constraints

Samsung’s utilisation improves, TSMC’s 3nm is sold out, InP substrates tighten, and CXMT accelerates its DRAM build-out.

Mint Finance

Asian Equities: Foreign Flows Wobbled in October; Taiwan Sold, Korea Moderated; India Bounced Back

​FIIs cut Asian equity purchases in October due to high valuations & lower Fed rate cut probability driving a stronger USD. Expect flow revival in...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 24th): MediaTek, Unimicron Technology, ASE Industrial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in MediaTek, Unimicron Technology, Kinsus...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Sep 25th): Shin Kong Financial, Zhen Ding Technology, ASE Industrial

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Zhen Ding Technology, ASE...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 18th): Wistron, TSMC, MediaTek, Nanya Technology, Nan Ya Plastics

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Wistron, TSMC, MediaTek, Nanya Technology, Nan...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

FIIs cut Asian equity purchases in October due to high valuations & lower Fed rate cut probability driving a stronger USD. Expect flow revival in...