Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Intel's Panther Lake chip set to drive growth in AI PC market and spark resurgence in semiconductor foundry industry by second half of 2025.</li><li>Rapidus to provide 2nm chip samples to Broadcom, highlighting advancements in semiconductor technology and potential for increased performance.</li><li>Taiwanese companies eye opportunities in expanding renewable energy market in the Philippines, showcasing interest in sustainable business practices. CES 2025 sees Nvidia unveiling robot collaborations while concerns emerge over South Korea's absence. Honda and Sony face uncertainty as Afeela 1 debuts, while Tata Elxsi and Qualcomm team up to develop virtual models of Snapdragon Digital Chassis solutions. UK-Taiwan tech partnerships strengthen as British Representative to Taiwan concludes term, reflecting deepening alliance between the two countries.</li></ul>

Intel's Panther Lake chip set to drive growth in AI PC market and spark resurgence in semiconductor foundry industry by second half of 2025.Rapidus to provide 2nm chip samples to Broadcom, highlighting advancements in semiconductor technology and potential for increased performance.Taiwanese companies eye opportunities in expanding renewable energy market in the Philippines, showcasing interest in sustainable business practices. CES 2025 sees Nvidia unveiling robot collaborations while concerns emerge over South Korea's absence. Honda and Sony face uncertainty as Afeela 1 debuts, while Tata Elxsi and Qualcomm team up to develop virtual models of Snapdragon Digital Chassis solutions. UK-Taiwan tech partnerships strengthen as British Representative to Taiwan concludes term, reflecting deepening alliance between the two countries.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (11-Jan-2025): Intel's Panther Lake boosts AI PC growth, foundry recovery by 2H25.

<ul><li>Forecasted trends for AI server market by 2025 indicate a significant growth in the industry, with US targeting Tencent and examining the future of WeChat.</li><li>CES 2025 showcases a growing fascination with autonomous vehicles, with Nvidia and Qualcomm leading ecosystem competition, while Garmin's AI-driven Unified Cabin wins Innovation Award.</li><li>India's fab dream holds huge potential but faces significant challenges, as Nvidia and MediaTek surprise alliance disrupts supercomputer market, and Malaysia and Singapore agree on Johor-Singapore Special Economic Zone.</li></ul>

Forecasted trends for AI server market by 2025 indicate a significant growth in the industry, with US targeting Tencent and examining the future of WeChat.CES 2025 showcases a growing fascination with autonomous vehicles, with Nvidia and Qualcomm leading ecosystem competition, while Garmin's AI-driven Unified Cabin wins Innovation Award.India's fab dream holds huge potential but faces significant challenges, as Nvidia and MediaTek surprise alliance disrupts supercomputer market, and Malaysia and Singapore agree on Johor-Singapore Special Economic Zone.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (10-Jan-2025): Global AI server market trends by 2025.

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

United Microelectronics Corp / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-microelectron-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11540:1" rel="noopener">United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US)</a> experiences approximately a 5-10% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) decline in 1Q25. For the full year of 2025, we anticipate a modest year-over-year (YoY) decline of around 5%.</li>
<li>We have observed some strength from Taiwanese Fabless companies, which could support the 1Q25 demand for UMC.  </li>
<li>It has been noted that mature wafer demand is not solely driven by China and may help offset the impacts of the US-China Trade War, benefiting foundries outside of China.</li>
</ul>



United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US) experiences approximately a 5-10% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) decline in 1Q25. For the full year of 2025, we anticipate a modest year-over-year (YoY) decline of around 5%.
We have observed some strength from Taiwanese Fabless companies, which could support the 1Q25 demand for UMC.  
It has been noted that mature wafer demand is not solely driven by China and may help offset the impacts of the US-China Trade War, benefiting foundries outside of China.


UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): 1Q25 Outlook; Surprise Support of Taiwanese Fabless.

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>Latest TSMC Price Hike -- Introducing the $18,000 Wafer; Supports The Case That Management Margin Guidance is Overly Conservative</li>
<li>Mover Over Apple, Nvidia Could Become TSMC's Largest Customer in 2025E</li>
<li>SK Hynix(000660.KS): Insisting on HBM Technology and Continuing to Surpass Samsung in Net Earnings </li>
</ul>


Latest TSMC Price Hike -- Introducing the $18,000 Wafer; Supports The Case That Management Margin Guidance is Overly Conservative
Mover Over Apple, Nvidia Could Become TSMC's Largest Customer in 2025E
SK Hynix(000660.KS): Insisting on HBM Technology and Continuing to Surpass Samsung in Net Earnings 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Latest TSMC Pricing for Apple Supports Bullish Margin Case; SK Hynix's HBM Win

<ul><li>Dell's switch to AMD processors for commercial PCs in CES 2025 poses a threat to Intel's market dominance in the industry.</li><li>MediaTek and Nvidia's collaboration to develop advanced supercomputer chips at CES 2025 promises enhanced performance and capabilities.</li><li>US DoD banning Tencent, CATL, and CXMT in response to escalating tech tensions, and Toyota's inauguration pledge to Trump raising concerns.</li></ul>

Dell's switch to AMD processors for commercial PCs in CES 2025 poses a threat to Intel's market dominance in the industry.MediaTek and Nvidia's collaboration to develop advanced supercomputer chips at CES 2025 promises enhanced performance and capabilities.US DoD banning Tencent, CATL, and CXMT in response to escalating tech tensions, and Toyota's inauguration pledge to Trump raising concerns.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (08-Jan-2025): CES 2025: Dell switches to AMD, hurting Intel.

Taiwan

MediaTek Inc. is a fabless semiconductor company for wireless communications and digital multimedia solutions. The company provides SOC system solutions for wireless communications, high-definition TV, optical storage, DVD and Blu-ray products.

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Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (11-Jan-2025): Intel's Panther Lake boosts AI PC growth, foundry recovery by 2H25.

Intel's Panther Lake drives AI PC growth, Rapidus supplies 2nm chips to Broadcom, Taiwanese firms eye Philippines' renewable energy market,...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (10-Jan-2025): Global AI server market trends by 2025.

2025 predictions for AI server market, US focuses on Tencent & Apple in China; CES sees interest in autonomous vehicles, Nvidia and Qualcomm...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): 1Q25 Outlook; Surprise Support of Taiwanese Fabless.

UMC expects a 5-10% QoQ decline in 1Q25, with a modest 5% YoY decline for 2025. Taiwanese Fabless companies may boost 1Q25 demand, while mature...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Latest TSMC Pricing for Apple Supports Bullish Margin Case; SK Hynix's HBM Win

TSMC's price hike and potential shift in top customers could impact margins, while SK Hynix maintains lead over Samsung in earnings with focus on...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (08-Jan-2025): CES 2025: Dell switches to AMD, hurting Intel.

CES 2025 sees major tech developments: Dell switches to AMD processors, Intel plans 18A processor mass production, US DoD bans Tencent, CATL, and...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

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Tech Supply Chain Tracker (11-Jan-2025): Intel's Panther Lake boosts AI PC growth, foundry recovery by 2H25.

Intel's Panther Lake drives AI PC growth, Rapidus supplies 2nm chips to Broadcom, Taiwanese firms eye Philippines' renewable energy market,...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (10-Jan-2025): Global AI server market trends by 2025.

2025 predictions for AI server market, US focuses on Tencent & Apple in China; CES sees interest in autonomous vehicles, Nvidia and Qualcomm...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): 1Q25 Outlook; Surprise Support of Taiwanese Fabless.

UMC expects a 5-10% QoQ decline in 1Q25, with a modest 5% YoY decline for 2025. Taiwanese Fabless companies may boost 1Q25 demand, while mature...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Latest TSMC Pricing for Apple Supports Bullish Margin Case; SK Hynix's HBM Win

​TSMC's price hike and potential shift in top customers could impact margins, while SK Hynix maintains lead over Samsung in earnings with focus on...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (08-Jan-2025): CES 2025: Dell switches to AMD, hurting Intel.

CES 2025 sees major tech developments: Dell switches to AMD processors, Intel plans 18A processor mass production, US DoD bans Tencent, CATL, and...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

TSMC's price hike and potential shift in top customers could impact margins, while SK Hynix maintains lead over Samsung in earnings with focus on...