Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>After the peak of 4Q24, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)</a>'s  revenue will see a decline of about -5% QoQ in 1Q25.  </li>
<li>TSMC is expected to use 2nm technology in 4Q25, and we believe <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advanced-micro-devices-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19009:1" rel="noopener">Advanced Micro Devices (AMD US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple (AAPL US)</a> could present products around 1Q26.</li>
<li>TSMC could be set to announce its 2nm production plans, expansion into the US, Germany, and Japan, mature technology quotations, and the Capex budget for 2025. </li>
</ul>


After the peak of 4Q24, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)'s  revenue will see a decline of about -5% QoQ in 1Q25.  
TSMC is expected to use 2nm technology in 4Q25, and we believe Advanced Micro Devices (AMD US) and Apple (AAPL US) could present products around 1Q26.
TSMC could be set to announce its 2nm production plans, expansion into the US, Germany, and Japan, mature technology quotations, and the Capex budget for 2025. 


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 1Q25 Outlook, TSMC Will Use 2nm in 4Q25, and Production Will Occur in 1Q26.

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 27th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,030.0bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,768mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Far Eastern New Century, Mediatek, Elite Material, Alchip Technologies, Yang Ming Marine, Evergreen Marine, Eva Airways, Hua Nan Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 27th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,030.0bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,768mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Far Eastern New Century, Mediatek, Elite Material, Alchip Technologies, Yang Ming Marine, Evergreen Marine, Eva Airways, Hua Nan Financial.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 27th): TSMC, FENC, Mediatek, Elite Material, Alchip Technologies

China New Economy Equity Analyst, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Robert McKay

China New Economy Equity Analyst

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>Xiaomi's Japan market share rose to ~7% in C2Q24 from the year prior, driven by carrier partnerships and brand recognition from <em>SU7</em> media coverage and  a product partnership with LEICA;</li>
<li>Upon examination, we found Xiaomi filled a product gap left by the smartphone exits of Kyocera and Fujitsu, for the carriers, which account for 90% of handset sales in Japan;</li>
<li>In our view, Xiaomi’s success in Japan marks a turning point in its global brand perception, signaling potential for further growth in other developed and high end developing markets.</li>
</ul>


Xiaomi's Japan market share rose to ~7% in C2Q24 from the year prior, driven by carrier partnerships and brand recognition from SU7 media coverage and  a product partnership with LEICA;
Upon examination, we found Xiaomi filled a product gap left by the smartphone exits of Kyocera and Fujitsu, for the carriers, which account for 90% of handset sales in Japan;
In our view, Xiaomi’s success in Japan marks a turning point in its global brand perception, signaling potential for further growth in other developed and high end developing markets.


Xiaomi's Smartphone Share Gain in Japan Is a Harbinger of Good Things to Come

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

<ul><li>AI inkjet breakthrough in semiconductor manufacturing promises more precise coating, revolutionizing tech industry processes.</li><li>China's price war in EV sector causes financial chaos and supply chain disruptions for 2 years, impacting global market.</li><li>US House considers OLED import ban following patent dispute with Samsung Display Corporation, keeping spotlight on patent issues.</li></ul>

AI inkjet breakthrough in semiconductor manufacturing promises more precise coating, revolutionizing tech industry processes.China's price war in EV sector causes financial chaos and supply chain disruptions for 2 years, impacting global market.US House considers OLED import ban following patent dispute with Samsung Display Corporation, keeping spotlight on patent issues.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (26-Dec-2024): AI inkjet tech offers precise semiconductor coating.

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 20th which has an aggregated holding worth USD993.3bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,219mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Alchip Technologies, TSMC, Asia Optical, Elite Material, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Yang Ming Marine, Quanta Computer, Asia Vital Components.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 20th which has an aggregated holding worth USD993.3bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,219mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Alchip Technologies, TSMC, Asia Optical, Elite Material, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Yang Ming Marine, Quanta Computer, Asia Vital Components.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 20th): Alchip Technologies, TSMC, Asia Optical, Elite Material

Taiwan

MediaTek Inc. is a fabless semiconductor company for wireless communications and digital multimedia solutions. The company provides SOC system solutions for wireless communications, high-definition TV, optical storage, DVD and Blu-ray products.

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Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 1Q25 Outlook, TSMC Will Use 2nm in 4Q25, and Production Will Occur in 1Q26.

TSMC's revenue to decline in 1Q25, but expected to use 2nm technology by 4Q25 with potential partnerships with AMD and Apple by 1Q26. Expansion...

Patrick Liao

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 27th): TSMC, FENC, Mediatek, Elite Material, Alchip Technologies

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Far Eastern New Century, Mediatek, Elite...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (26-Dec-2024): AI inkjet tech offers precise semiconductor coating.

AI inkjet breakthrough enhances semiconductor production; China's EV price war disrupts market; US House considers OLED import ban after patent...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 20th): Alchip Technologies, TSMC, Asia Optical, Elite Material

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Alchip Technologies, TSMC, Asia Optical, Elite...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 1Q25 Outlook, TSMC Will Use 2nm in 4Q25, and Production Will Occur in 1Q26.

​TSMC's revenue to decline in 1Q25, but expected to use 2nm technology by 4Q25 with potential partnerships with AMD and Apple by 1Q26. Expansion...

Patrick Liao

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 27th): TSMC, FENC, Mediatek, Elite Material, Alchip Technologies

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Far Eastern New Century, Mediatek, Elite...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Xiaomi's Smartphone Share Gain in Japan Is a Harbinger of Good Things to Come

Xiaomi’s Japan success signals a broader global improvement in its brand image. High-profile products like the 14 Ultra and SU7 EV drive a shift...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (26-Dec-2024): AI inkjet tech offers precise semiconductor coating.

AI inkjet breakthrough enhances semiconductor production; China's EV price war disrupts market; US House considers OLED import ban after patent...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 20th): Alchip Technologies, TSMC, Asia Optical, Elite Material

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Alchip Technologies, TSMC, Asia Optical, Elite...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TSMC's revenue to decline in 1Q25, but expected to use 2nm technology by 4Q25 with potential partnerships with AMD and Apple by 1Q26. Expansion...