Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

Notable themes:<ul><li>
Sector leadership is concentrated. The MSCI EM Index’s YTD advance, which is pushing through to all-time highs, is driven primary by tech. This sector accounts for a 26% weighting in the Index, and it is the only sector trading at 12-month relative strength highs. That’s the rear-view mirror take. What’s the technical outlook for tech? We remain overweight, keeping in mind the sector is ripe for a pause/correction (based on how far it is trading above its 200-day MA). Long-term…</li></ul>

Notable themes:
Sector leadership is concentrated. The MSCI EM Index’s YTD advance, which is pushing through to all-time highs, is driven primary by tech. This sector accounts for a 26% weighting in the Index, and it is the only sector trading at 12-month relative strength highs. That’s the rear-view mirror take. What’s the technical outlook for tech? We remain overweight, keeping in mind the sector is ripe for a pause/correction (based on how far it is trading above its 200-day MA). Long-term…

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (TSM US)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>Over the trailing 12 months and the last month, the suppliers feeding the AI buildout have run multiples of NVDA and TSMC themselves. </li>
<li>I pulled fresh price performance across Zero One's broad coverage universe — 190 AI and semiconductor names tracked daily across Taiwan, Korea, Japan, and the US.</li>
<li>We explore five key themes that arise from the data and recent events.</li>
</ul>


Over the trailing 12 months and the last month, the suppliers feeding the AI buildout have run multiples of NVDA and TSMC themselves. 
I pulled fresh price performance across Zero One's broad coverage universe — 190 AI and semiconductor names tracked daily across Taiwan, Korea, Japan, and the US.
We explore five key themes that arise from the data and recent events.


AI's Biggest Winners Aren't NVDA and TSMC — They're the Suppliers

Macro & Asian equity Technical Strategies, BBSP Asia

Federico D'Inca

Macro & Asian equity Technical Strategies

BBSP Asia

China Construction Bank / Technical Analysis

Mid-Term Country Allocation (Tactical view) in terms of RV vs MXAPThis week: • Signals for a new tactical opportunity: Upgrade on Kospi to “Increase Exposure” from “Hold”, within a long term Kospi outperformance. • No change for the other countries: Still Overweight Nikkei, Nifty, HSI and HSCEI. • ASX under the radar for a potential outperformance (watching reintegration of channel on the ASX/MXAP at 38.60/38.85 ) but maintain hold for now until the signal is triggered. Also, keep “hold” for TWSE.

Mid-Term Country Allocation (Tactical view) in terms of RV vs MXAPThis week: • Signals for a new tactical opportunity: Upgrade on Kospi to “Increase Exposure” from “Hold”, within a long term Kospi outperformance. • No change for the other countries: Still Overweight Nikkei, Nifty, HSI and HSCEI. • ASX under the radar for a potential outperformance (watching reintegration of channel on the ASX/MXAP at 38.60/38.85 ) but maintain hold for now until the signal is triggered. Also, keep “hold” for TWSE.

BBSP Equity Asia Weekly Research 31 May 2017

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<span data-lucid-type="application/vnd.lucid.text" data-lucid-content='{"t":"In this report we highlight the rise of technology allocations in global EM funds, with average holdings in tech companies surpassing those in financial companies for the first time on record this month. The latest filings show an average tech weight of 23.73%, which represents an all time high.","m":[{"s":0,"n":"a","v":"justified"},{"s":0,"n":"mb","v":5},{"s":0,"n":"p","v":1.3},{"s":0,"n":"c","v":"#666666ff","e":297},{"s":0,"n":"f","v":"Droid Serif","e":297}]}'>In this report we highlight the rise of technology allocations in global EM funds, with average holdings in tech companies surpassing those in financial companies for the first time on record this month. The latest filings show average tech weights hitting an all-time high of 23.7%.

In this report we highlight the rise of technology allocations in global EM funds, with average holdings in tech companies surpassing those in financial companies for the first time on record this month. The latest filings show average tech weights hitting an all-time high of 23.7%.

EM Tech:  Fund Allocations Hit All-Time High

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Apr 24th. The aggregated holding was USD1,996.2bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD3,351mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Alchip Technologies, Delta Electronics, MediaTek.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Apr 24th. The aggregated holding was USD1,996.2bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD3,351mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Alchip Technologies, Delta Electronics, MediaTek.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Apr 24th): TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Alchip Technologies

Taiwan

MediaTek Inc. is a fabless semiconductor company for wireless communications and digital multimedia solutions. The company provides SOC system solutions for wireless communications, high-definition TV, optical storage, DVD and Blu-ray products.

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Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)

EM Leadership Screen & Chart Book

Notable themes: Sector leadership is concentrated. The MSCI EM Index’s YTD advance, which is pushing through to all-time highs, is driven primary...

Vermilion Research

AI's Biggest Winners Aren't NVDA and TSMC — They're the Suppliers

Suppliers in the AI buildout have outperformed NVDA and TSMC. We scanned our 190 AI/semiconductor coverage universe for key themes emerging from...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

BBSP Equity Asia Weekly Research 31 May 2017

Mid-Term Country Allocation (Tactical view) in terms of RV vs MXAPThis week:• Signals for a new tactical opportunity: Upgrade on Kospi to “Increase...

BBSP Asia

EM Tech: Fund Allocations Hit All-Time High

In this report we highlight the rise of technology allocations in global EM funds, with average holdings in tech companies surpassing those in...

Steven Holden

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Apr 24th): TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Alchip Technologies

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Alchip Technologies,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

EM Leadership Screen & Chart Book

Notable themes: Sector leadership is concentrated. The MSCI EM Index’s YTD advance, which is pushing through to all-time highs, is driven primary...

Vermilion Research

AI's Biggest Winners Aren't NVDA and TSMC — They're the Suppliers

​Suppliers in the AI buildout have outperformed NVDA and TSMC. We scanned our 190 AI/semiconductor coverage universe for key themes emerging from...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

BBSP Equity Asia Weekly Research 31 May 2017

Mid-Term Country Allocation (Tactical view) in terms of RV vs MXAPThis week:• Signals for a new tactical opportunity: Upgrade on Kospi to “Increase...

BBSP Asia

EM Tech: Fund Allocations Hit All-Time High

In this report we highlight the rise of technology allocations in global EM funds, with average holdings in tech companies surpassing those in...

Steven Holden

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Apr 24th): TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Alchip Technologies

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Alchip Technologies,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Suppliers in the AI buildout have outperformed NVDA and TSMC. We scanned our 190 AI/semiconductor coverage universe for key themes emerging from...