Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>TSMC and UMC reported large increase in Oct sales: +25%  and +13% MoM. Impressive, but within the big trends: TSMC high growth plateau. UMC slow recovery period.</li>
<li>Semiconductor global sales growth is accelerating slightly: up 19% YoY over the previous 6 months and +23% YoY in Sept. Reflecting both sustained AI growth and a mass-markets bottoming out.</li>
<li>TSMC: valuations are high, not extreme, the stock is not breaking the NT$1,100 barrier. UMC at average valuations, at the bottom of its NT$45-55 trading range, maybe a short-term trade.</li>
</ul>


TSMC and UMC reported large increase in Oct sales: +25%  and +13% MoM. Impressive, but within the big trends: TSMC high growth plateau. UMC slow recovery period.
Semiconductor global sales growth is accelerating slightly: up 19% YoY over the previous 6 months and +23% YoY in Sept. Reflecting both sustained AI growth and a mass-markets bottoming out.
TSMC: valuations are high, not extreme, the stock is not breaking the NT$1,100 barrier. UMC at average valuations, at the bottom of its NT$45-55 trading range, maybe a short-term trade.


TSMC, UMC, Global Semi Monthly Sales: Small Acceleration

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 8th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,059.5bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD77mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Foxconn Technology, Wistron, TSMC, Mediatek, United Microelectronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 8th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,059.5bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD77mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Foxconn Technology, Wistron, TSMC, Mediatek, United Microelectronics.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 8th): Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision Industry

Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors, The Circuit

The Circuit

Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors

A Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors. With Jay Goldberg and Ben Bajarin

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Qorvo and MediaTek reported mixed results, with Qorvo seeing a significant stock drop due to lowered guidance, indicating possible share loss in flagship smartphones.</li><li>Qualcomm may see strength in the high-end ASP of Android phones, but the RF market is competitive, with Qualcomm and Broadcom potentially impacting competitors like Qorvo and Skyworks.</li><li>Intel faced challenges with credibility on Wall Street due to a Reuters article criticizing CEO Pat's turnaround efforts, highlighting the importance of cultural alignment and strategic decision-making for the company's future.</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

Qorvo and MediaTek reported mixed results, with Qorvo seeing a significant stock drop due to lowered guidance, indicating possible share loss in flagship smartphones.Qualcomm may see strength in the high-end ASP of Android phones, but the RF market is competitive, with Qualcomm and Broadcom potentially impacting competitors like Qorvo and Skyworks.Intel faced challenges with credibility on Wall Street due to a Reuters article criticizing CEO Pat's turnaround efforts, highlighting the importance of cultural alignment and strategic decision-making for the company's future.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Episode 92: Another week in Semi's Earnings. -AMD, Intel, Capex growth in Cloud

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 1st which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,018.3bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD778mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, United Microelectronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 1st which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,018.3bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD778mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, United Microelectronics.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 1st): TSMC, United Microelectronics

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

<ul>
<li>3Q24 Performance Signals Advanced Products Making Major Progress; 20% Topline Growth &amp; Improved China Market Conditions</li>
<li>Flagship Mobile Revenue Leading the Charge in China and Emerging Markets</li>
<li>ASIC and AI Accelerator Progress: Estimate 2025E/2026E Initial Mass Production; Maintain Structural Long Rating.</li>
</ul>


3Q24 Performance Signals Advanced Products Making Major Progress; 20% Topline Growth &amp; Improved China Market Conditions
Flagship Mobile Revenue Leading the Charge in China and Emerging Markets
ASIC and AI Accelerator Progress: Estimate 2025E/2026E Initial Mass Production; Maintain Structural Long Rating.


Mediatek's Advanced Product Strategy Showing Major Progress; Maintain Structural Long

Taiwan

MediaTek Inc. is a fabless semiconductor company for wireless communications and digital multimedia solutions. The company provides SOC system solutions for wireless communications, high-definition TV, optical storage, DVD and Blu-ray products.

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Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)

TSMC, UMC, Global Semi Monthly Sales: Small Acceleration

TSMC and UMC report strong Oct sales growth, but remain on their bigger trends: TSMC on a high growth plateau, UMC in a slow recovery period.

Nicolas Baratte

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 8th): Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision Industry

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision Industry,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Episode 92: Another week in Semi's Earnings. -AMD, Intel, Capex growth in Cloud

In summary, the semiconductor industry is experiencing shifts in market dynamics, with companies like Qorvo and Qualcomm making strategic decisions...

The Circuit

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 1st): TSMC, United Microelectronics

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, United Microelectronics.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Mediatek's Advanced Product Strategy Showing Major Progress; Maintain Structural Long

Advanced products at 3Q24 are showing strong performance with 20% topline growth, driven by flagship mobile revenue in China and emerging markets.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

TSMC, UMC, Global Semi Monthly Sales: Small Acceleration

​TSMC and UMC report strong Oct sales growth, but remain on their bigger trends: TSMC on a high growth plateau, UMC in a slow recovery period.

Nicolas Baratte

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 8th): Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision Industry

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision Industry,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Episode 92: Another week in Semi's Earnings. -AMD, Intel, Capex growth in Cloud

In summary, the semiconductor industry is experiencing shifts in market dynamics, with companies like Qorvo and Qualcomm making strategic decisions...

The Circuit

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 1st): TSMC, United Microelectronics

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, United Microelectronics.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Mediatek's Advanced Product Strategy Showing Major Progress; Maintain Structural Long

​Advanced products at 3Q24 are showing strong performance with 20% topline growth, driven by flagship mobile revenue in China and emerging markets.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC and UMC report strong Oct sales growth, but remain on their bigger trends: TSMC on a high growth plateau, UMC in a slow recovery period.

Advanced products at 3Q24 are showing strong performance with 20% topline growth, driven by flagship mobile revenue in China and emerging markets.